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Optimizing Fantasy Football Drafts: The Value of Derrick Henry
SportsGrid
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6/23/2024
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Sports
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00:00
Well, look, I'm talking about these guys where if they're going in the first few rounds,
00:07
you're only going to get one or two of them, but there's, when you have the whole board
00:10
to yourself, right?
00:11
And you're out there and you're looking at who are the names are, I'm trying to help
00:14
you focus in on the ones that I think are actually going to be the most helpful.
00:19
And it's funny, you know, every year we look at the first round and some years it looks
00:22
really good.
00:23
Some years it doesn't.
00:24
We look at the first five rounds and we say, sometimes it's really deep.
00:27
Sometimes it's questionable.
00:28
You know, you look deeper into guys like Christian Watts and that's an easy one.
00:31
I think when you're looking earlier, you're going to see Derrick Henry go later than normal.
00:36
Derrick Henry is usually a second round pick.
00:38
Sometimes he's going around the third round.
00:40
Now he is the 10th running back off the board and call me crazy, but when you take the most
00:48
prolific rusher, just rusher of the football in the last 10 years, and you put them on
00:52
the team that has led the league in rushing last year, that wants to run the football
00:56
that has to run the football because of the way that they are constructed as a roster.
01:01
What a fantastic scenario.
01:03
Now I understand that he's 30, but Derrick Henry is also a physical specimen, unlike
01:08
a lot of other running backs.
01:10
So I don't think his 30 is the same as a 30 year old running back.
01:13
That is half his size.
01:15
I think that he is also in a great position to have a ton of goal line looks this year.
01:20
Lamar Jackson, another year where he has slimmed down, where I don't think you want him working
01:26
at the goal line as much with that smaller frame, two years in a row where Lamar has
01:30
done that.
01:31
And don't think that that isn't also part of the fact you've got Derrick Henry to run
01:36
that ball in.
01:37
I think that's a huge connectivity issue there between those two factors.
01:41
So I'm looking at Derrick Henry, I know he's not going to catch 80 balls or 50 balls.
01:46
He's not that kind of running back, but yards are yards and touchdowns are touchdowns.
01:50
So I don't care if it's a standard league or a PPR league or a half PPR league.
01:54
I want the guy who's going to get the touches, who has a touchdown equity and Derrick Henry
01:57
still that guy.
01:58
And you look at that running back board, Kyron Williams with his foot issues are ahead of
02:02
him.
02:03
Jonathan Taylor, who had some health issues the last two years is ahead of him.
02:07
Travis ATN, who's a nice player is ahead of him.
02:09
I don't think he's got the kind of touchdown equity that Derrick Henry has this year.
02:12
I just don't.
02:13
So I'm looking at the discount of Derrick Henry and people say, well, I can't leave
02:16
the league and rushing, you know, at 30.
02:18
Well, Barry Sanders did it at 29.
02:20
So let's not pretend like it's not impossible to do.
02:24
So again, Barry Sanders, a little different than the average bear.
02:27
I think the same thing when it comes to Derrick Henry.
02:29
So I'm looking at Derrick Henry in the third round is your hero RB potential league winner
02:35
kind of guy.
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