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Caleb Williams vs. Geno Smith: Quarterback Head-to-Head Analysis
SportsGrid
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12/26/2024
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🥇
Sports
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00:00
Well, it sounds like, in terms of the two QBs, if we put them head to head, you're back
00:08
in the dog here.
00:10
Caleb Williams, it's a much more modest number at 215.5.
00:15
His passing yards on Fandle compared to Geno Smith at 250.5.
00:19
How do these guys shake up in your mind?
00:21
Well, I wouldn't be surprised to see a pick from Geno as we often do them pushing down
00:26
the field.
00:27
They have a wonderful 10 play drive and all of a sudden leads to an interception.
00:29
So we could be possibly looking at that, but we know that Kenneth Walker is ruled out
00:33
for tonight.
00:34
Zach Charbonneau should be the main back, although I'm expecting a modest role for him.
00:37
Overall, again, I have a good bit of faith in Caleb Williams.
00:40
Will they be the most efficient yards?
00:42
Will they be the prettiest yards out there?
00:44
Will the play calling be the best?
00:45
Absolutely not, because we literally haven't seen that at any point this year.
00:49
But we get to the second half and they simply have to pass the ball.
00:52
And he's surrounded by a good set of weapons.
00:53
We can look to DJ Moore, Kenan Allen, who's been super hot over the past few weeks.
00:57
So I like yards for Caleb Williams.
01:00
Am I going to say I'm like thrilled about it?
01:02
But at the same time, again, I don't have faith in the Seattle defense, who's basically
01:06
shown us nothing over this past five week stretch that they can shut down anyone.
01:12
We know Walker has been ruled out, which again, ironically enough for Seattle, they don't
01:18
lose a whole lot.
01:19
Do they there?
01:20
What about the running backs on both these teams?
01:24
So Zach Charbonneau, I think, has looked good, especially when he stepped into a full-time
01:27
starting role.
01:28
You know, him up at 22 carries against Arizona a couple of weeks ago, I think doesn't tell
01:33
the entire story where, you know, they were up 24 at 10 at halftime, they're up 27 at
01:38
10.
01:39
They're up by multiple scores.
01:40
And that's where he's really fed a high volume of carries.
01:42
That's not what I'm expecting tonight.
01:44
Again, I'm expecting to keep this game somewhat close.
01:46
As I mentioned, I think Chicago is likely to cover this.
01:48
I don't know if we're going to be seeing Zach Charbonneau and seeing a ton of carries.
01:51
So specifically, I like him under 16 and a half attempts.
01:54
I think he will get to that 14, 15 kind of range.
01:57
But him pushing past that would have to, the game script would have to get a little bit
02:01
out of control.
02:02
And that's just not what I'm expecting because I just don't think Seattle's amazing overall.
02:04
They're an okay team.
02:06
So I like him under specifically.
02:07
On the other side of things, I think Swift has played a good role for Chicago overall.
02:11
You can look to him in the passing game.
02:12
I wouldn't mind a little bit of that.
02:13
But I think the receivers for Chicago are my, the spot that I have the most interest
02:17
tonight.
02:18
Let's go there then, Tom, because in terms of the pass catchers, I mean, you have some
02:23
names, obviously.
02:24
I mean, on the Seattle side, Jackson Smith and Jigba, who has really come on over the
02:28
last half dozen weeks.
02:29
DK Metcalf, who is consistent, not in the way that maybe he used to be, but he still
02:34
produces out there.
02:35
For Chicago, though, Keenan Allen, DJ Moore, even Roma Dunzey.
02:40
These guys consistently getting targets, hands on footballs, and moving the chains.
02:46
Where are you going to invest?
02:49
I love Jason, but I think his number is just a touch too high.
02:52
Obviously, he's been awesome over the past few weeks.
02:54
That number's been bent up.
02:55
I don't want to say we missed the boat because he's obviously been awesome.
02:57
I don't want to bet on number one receivers all the time.
03:00
I prefer to take some of those secondary options.
03:02
So let's turn to the Chicago side of things.
03:04
DJ Moore is just racking up the targets week in and week out.
03:07
So I like him over five and a half receptions.
03:09
That's sitting at minus one away.
03:10
He comes in with a 27% target share.
03:12
I also like DJ Moore to find the end zone up at plus 185.
03:15
Seattle, they've allowed 18 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers.
03:19
That's tied for the third most in the league.
03:21
As I've said before, I'm kind of of the belief that quarterbacks should try and keep their
03:24
star wide receivers happy.
03:26
We've seen Keenan Allen rack up the touchdowns.
03:28
We've seen Roman Dunzey have that two-touchdown game.
03:30
It's time for DJ Moore to find his way into the end zone against a secondary I am not
03:35
confident in.
03:36
I will take the yards and the receptions and the touchdown from DJ Moore tonight.
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