Quarterback Comparison and Passing Props in the NFC Title Game

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00:00 [MUSIC]

00:03 Now to the individuals in the quarterback comparison.

00:06 Blew it, there are the narratives entering conference championship Sunday.

00:10 Then there are the numbers, 274.5 for Brock Purdy,

00:14 who was not great last week by any means, 23 of 39 for 252.

00:19 In his NFC Championship game appearance last year in Philly,

00:23 it was short-lived, knocked out of the game early, did come back

00:26 because the Niners had no other options at QB.

00:29 Jared Goff is thrown for more than 255.5, at least 277

00:34 in both of the playoff games this year for Detroit.

00:37 He returns to his native Northern California, albeit outdoors,

00:41 on Sunday night in Santa Clara.

00:44 Blew it, what do you expect out of the quarterbacks matching up

00:47 in the NFC title game?

00:49 Yeah, like I've mentioned before, I think the real key is making sure

00:53 that they stay clean throughout as much of the game as they can.

00:56 Goff has been really good in the playoffs.

00:59 Goff's been really good for most of the season.

01:02 He's obviously throwing to an all-pro player in Amon Ross St. Brown.

01:05 The Niners have had some injuries over the course of the season

01:08 to their secondary as well.

01:10 It doesn't have the same challenges, I would say, as Detroit's secondary,

01:13 and Detroit's secondary is dealing with more weapons.

01:17 But I think this is going to be a case for Goff to utilize LaPorta and Gibbs

01:25 and Amon Ross St. Brown in the best way possible.

01:27 I believe it was a total of 17 receptions between Gibbs and LaPorta

01:31 last week alone.

01:33 So that is a big recipe for success for them.

01:35 But keep in mind, you're going against a linebacker core in the Niners

01:39 that will make it as hard for Sam LaPorta as any team has made it this year.

01:44 Drake Greenlaw and Fred Warner are going to give him a very hard time.

01:49 I think it is extremely important that Goff continues to stay away

01:53 from any interceptions.

01:55 But what concerns me about that is they're going to have to be too conservative.

01:59 Will they then have to rely so heavily on the run game that it becomes

02:03 Detroit having to run over the Niners, which is a task in and of itself

02:07 that is a little bit too much.

02:09 It's why I'm leaning towards the Niners winning this game.

02:11 But again, I think the spread is a little too fat here.

02:14 I just think that the Lions can keep this game close.

02:17 I think it's lower scoring than the total implies.

02:21 I just think this leads to a Niners win, but it's really about how clean

02:28 can he be in these pressure situations.

02:30 If the Lions get out to a lead, which is going to be the key for them

02:34 to win this game, the Lions get out to a 10-point lead, say, in the first half,

02:38 that's the recipe for them winning.

02:40 This is not a come-from-behind Lions victory.

02:42 [MUSIC]

02:45 (bells chiming)

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