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Exploring AFC Playoff Odds: Steelers, Texans, Chargers
SportsGrid
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12/22/2024
Category
🥇
Sports
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00:00
But I want to take the AFC odds or just a moment here
00:03
Which is Buffalo as a favorite to 2 to 1 Kansas City plus 230 and then the Ravens are plus 350
00:09
My question to you guys is if you are currently without a wager in the AFC, right? Yes
00:16
from Houston down
00:18
13 to 1 13 to 1 13 to 1 Texans Chargers Steelers got big ticket items potentially on these wildcard teams
00:25
I'll go to you first Donnie
00:26
Does anyone actually look worth it to you the Steelers at 13 to 1 really when they're right?
00:32
And they're healthy in probably in environments where to be colder weather if a veteran quarterback. They have a running game
00:37
They have defensive guys. They can step up and make plays. Do I love it?
00:40
No, but if the question has to be answered
00:41
I'm not gonna say I don't like anybody down there from the 13 to 1 the Texans completely shot
00:45
They shouldn't be 13 when it should be 23 to 1 at this point. The Chargers 13 to 1 is interesting
00:50
I just don't think they have enough weapons when it's all said and done to get their love to coach love the quarterback
00:55
But I don't know if it's like hey, let's just ride loud McConkie all the way to an AFC title at this point
00:59
I just think the Steelers when they're right Joe in a day-to-day environment where it's like to any given Sunday
01:04
You can win a football game. I trust them at the 13 to 1 price way more than Texans Chargers Broncos Bengals, whoever
01:09
Yeah, I agree with Pittsburgh being the most, you know, because they're the most physical
01:13
I believe out of all of that group that were there and
01:16
Even though the Chargers at one point a couple of weeks ago had the number one scoring defense in the NFL
01:22
That was before Baker sliced and diced them for 40 plus
01:25
I still believe in the Steelers now if I had a bet in terms of this market
01:30
I I don't know if I would bet the Steelers
01:32
I probably would just even though I don't love it
01:35
I would take a shot on Stroud because we talk about quarterbacks being able to take over a game
01:39
They haven't done it to this point
01:41
I know and I said there's been regression, but I would still take a shot in terms of
01:46
Houston just because they do have weapons in a playoff situation
01:50
Hoping that they could kick it up a notch because when they're on calves, they're better
01:54
I believe than all these offenses right now, including Denver, but even with all the injuries though
01:59
I still would take a shot on Stroud. They have Dalton Schultz
02:01
They have Nico Nico could take a game over at any given moment when he's on right?
02:06
He is that type of player where he can take a game over
02:09
Especially in a playoff environment the way they run the football at times with mixing, right?
02:15
I would take a question on that too real quick. The Texans even a favorite at home and around number one against Pittsburgh
02:21
Yeah, it would be by like what three. I don't know and not by a ton. I look here
02:26
Let's just handle this with Pittsburgh, right? So they enter that stretch of schedule where we go, man
02:31
How are they gonna beat these playoffs teams?
02:32
They beat Washington and Baltimore by a combined three points
02:36
It doesn't mean they don't it doesn't count right but by a combined three then they played Philly in Baltimore again
02:42
And those games were they lost by a combined 31 points
02:46
So which one do you think is more real ultimately on the Steelers?
02:50
I I mean the team that that snuck out one point victories or the teams that don't even look anywhere near as good
02:56
Considering they were never supposed to get anywhere near as good like I leave a lot to be judged
03:00
Like let's just say Pickens does come back against the Chiefs and they beat the Chiefs like everybody at this panel including my siblings
03:05
Oh, you know what Steelers?
03:06
All right training in the right direction this point they lose to the Chiefs with Pickens and ugly and then they head down the stretch
03:11
And Kareem off the path like yeah, I'm gonna be off but I want to judge them at their best
03:14
That's what I'm saying. Maybe I'm unfair, right?
03:16
They could beat Kansas City with Pickens and it will not change one thing
03:20
I think about Pittsburgh it will just confirm what I think about Kansas City. I
03:25
Think they get it done with defense more times when they're winning games than they do so much with their offense and I'm not taking
03:31
Away from Russell Wilson success. I'm just saying TJ why and that defense can take games over, right?
03:37
We always know that they they got into the playoffs last year with Mason Rudolph in that defense
03:42
Running the football with Najee Harris
03:44
So you can't say they can't do it or strike the upset what I just will say out of the handful of teams that you just
03:50
Mentioned Houston down to Denver at 32. Yeah, if you go position by position
03:55
Offensively, I would rather have Stroud over Wilson. I would rather have Nico over George Pickens
04:00
I would rather have mixing over Najee Harris and and we'll go down the list
04:05
I would take Schultz over Friar Muth
04:07
So in a playoff setting right where we're we're talking long shots. I would take Stroud so
04:14
Here's how I I personally feel right now, right because ultimately we all would assume
04:20
One of Buffalo Kansas City or Baltimore will win this right? I think if you take their combined odds
04:26
Probability right there about 85. It's about 85 percent. It's gonna be one of that trio. So for me
04:33
13 to 1 on any of that isn't long enough. I would have much rather
04:38
Honestly take the Cincinnati, Miami
04:41
Indianapolis group and say well if I get in I got a crazy ticket on my hand because it's gonna take something
04:49
Absolutely insane for one of the big three not to do it ultimately like like Donnie we could debate Houston vs. Pittsburgh
04:56
Here's what we wouldn't debate. We don't think either one of them is going to actually win this conference, right?
05:00
So at 13 to 1 I don't think that's enough of a long shot
05:04
I don't think Miami's gonna win the conference, but I'd rather a hundred and fifty to one on Miami than 13 to 1 on Houston
05:11
Hmm, I mean because again Miami's probably I'm gonna get into the playoffs
05:15
But for me, I just like if I get into a one-game scenario and you say how you gonna put that out 13 to 1 or?
05:20
Higher I trust the Steelers more than any other team. That's 13 to 1 or higher
05:24
Yeah, the Denver Broncos nice season
05:26
Cutting into the playoffs you take a look at the Chargers a lot for me left to be desired on the talent end of a
05:32
Particularly on offense and sometimes that defense has been disappearing as of late the Cincinnati Bengals so much fun in a one-game wire
05:38
They would be fun. Then you go
05:41
Anybody in the playoffs so from be just it's almost like just a path down
05:44
Who do I trust the most in a one-game scenario?
05:47
It's the Steelers for me because I can't trust Miami because I don't think they're getting you can make the argument that Steelers have
05:51
The best defense out of that whole group, right?
05:53
That they could take a game over and they can win it just based off of potentially defense
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