AFC Playoff Contenders: Best Bets, Long Shots & Predictions

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00:00Just, you know, value to win the AFC, win the conference, forget, you know, getting all the

00:05way to the dance and taking care of business there. I mean, it's a huge drop-off, right?

00:09You get the Chiefs, Bills, Ravens all inside 4-1, then Balloons, Texans 13-1, Chargers 15-1,

00:18Steelers 17-1. Again, Chargers haven't even clinched yet, have better rods than the Steelers.

00:24Broncos 22-1. I would like to talk myself into the Bengals at 90-1 to be perfectly honest with

00:32you, but I'm just not sure the path to get in is realistic enough to light the money on fire.

00:38And then Dolphins, Colts, you know, we don't really need to go there. So, I mean,

00:43where is there value that is worth investing in here in this conference or does it not exist?

00:48Yeah, well, the Bills or the Ravens right now, that's it. Because the numbers ain't going to get

00:54better than that right now if you're not already holding a ticket. Listen, we already know the

00:59Texans and the Steelers, that's two out of the three teams here that we know are making the,

01:05or out of the next, I mean, the Texans won their division, so they're in regardless, right? But

01:11let's just put an X through them. Let's put an X through the Steelers. Do I think the Broncos

01:17may not even make the playoffs, if we're being honest here. They're not beating the Bengals this

01:23week. They will get a break with maybe a Chiefs team next week that wants absolutely nothing to

01:28do with playing Mahomes and company. But are we really just handing the Broncos a win there? I

01:34don't think so. So, the Broncos, they still control their destiny, but they may need,

01:41would a rookie quarterback not have what it takes in order to get there, which would open the door

01:45for a team like you said, Cincinnati, which is going to be very dangerous because I would equate

01:50Cincinnati to what Detroit is right now, a team that can drop 40 points on anybody, but they may

01:58give up 30 as well, and that's kind of what we're dealing with. But they still have an opportunity.

02:04I don't see Burrow and company faltering down the stretch. The question is, they're going to need

02:10they're going to need Denver to lose out here. They'll handle Broncos this week,

02:16and then they got to hope the Chiefs, for some reason, want to win that game to go 16-1 in the

02:22regular season. And the Chargers, I think of the wild card. I will take Herbert anytime at 15-1

02:29against just about anybody except maybe the Kansas City Chiefs. But the Chargers are, to me,

02:37the sleeper of any of these teams in the AFC. And it's because of Herbert. It's because of Harbaugh.

02:44It's because of the coaching, which matters in a one-game situation.

02:48Why not the Chargers at 15-1 if you're looking for a long shot?

02:54At that point, it's me talking myself into Harbaugh and what he's been able to accomplish

02:59as both an NFL and obviously college coach, more than it is that team. I mean, I like Herbert.

03:05I love Ladd McConkie, though he's a rookie. And the defense. Defense has done a solid job.

03:11I mean, Dobbins is bad in this league, too.

03:13But yeah, I mean, they could use him, obviously. That run game has been awfully inconsistent

03:18without him. Hell, inconsistent with him, but more so, obviously. To your point, though,

03:25I just I can't get beyond that top three. Not to where I want to invest in it. I mean,

03:30you want to root for it as a fan, just root for chaos. That's one thing.

03:33But I'm not even sure. Not that the I wouldn't be shocked, obviously. I mean,

03:38how can you say in the wake of what we saw yesterday, you'd be shocked if the Ravens

03:42make it to the Super Bowl? I wouldn't. Still, I feel like it's the Bills. I feel like the

03:46Bills are the team that ultimately is going to get there. And it's the one that I'm rooting for.

03:51I would like to see Josh Allen and that team on that stage, especially coming into the year

03:56when there were so many people, myself included, that were skeptical of what this

04:00Bills offense was going to look like with virtually nothing around Allen.

04:07It's it's so top heavy. It's kind of hilarious here. But I do think that you still have I think

04:14this seating is going to matter. We know Kansas City is going to have the bye. Right. So I do

04:19think that seating with the, you know, five, six, seven, I think that's going to matter this year

04:26on who gets who, when, because styles make fights and there's some interesting ones that may take

04:31place there in the opening round.

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