Analyzing AFC Odds: Houston, Pittsburgh & Top Contenders

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00:00Fourth best price got 9 to 1 for Houston to win the AFC.

00:07There is a clear tier of three at the top right now.

00:10The Chiefs, the favorites of plus 220.

00:12The Buffalo Bills back by only 70 cents at plus 290.

00:16The Ravens, a dollar back of Buffalo's price at plus 390.

00:21And Scott, when you look around the AFC, we mentioned the

00:24Chargers, you've talked a lot about the Steelers, Pittsburgh

00:27at plus 950, LA at 13 to 1, and there's Houston at 9 to 1 as well.

00:33I think you could make an argument, Scott, that when you're looking

00:36at some of these teams, the Steelers are still slightly being

00:39undervalued, at least the odds maker's not fully bought into

00:42the idea that Pittsburgh can actually contend for that AFC crowd.

00:47Yeah, you know, I'm not going to say I don't know why, but I

00:50don't think it's based on the record and I don't think it's

00:53based on the team, you know?

00:55So what else would it be based on then, Scott, right?

00:58It would be based on their schedule.

01:00You know, right now they control their own destiny.

01:04They have a game at Kansas City, so they should be, if, you know,

01:08big if, but if they were to beat, and it's actually at home, if

01:11they beat Kansas City, they would be the number one seed, which

01:14would make their life so much easier, right?

01:17So why are they 21 to 1 to win it all then, Scott?

01:19Because you look at their schedule.

01:21It's just a gauntlet.

01:22Like we've talked about it before.

01:23It is one great team after another.

01:26So chances are really, really good that not only won't they be

01:29the number one seed, they might not even win their own division

01:32when you look at their schedule.

01:34So there's a lot of factors playing into their monster odds.

01:37And again, as crazy as it sounds, but I don't think it's based

01:40on how good they can be.

01:41It's based on chances are pretty good.

01:43You're going to be a number two or number three seed or, you

01:47know, at best and maybe even be a wild card, which would really

01:50make their road to the Super Bowl that much tougher.

01:53When you look at the division price, of course, Pittsburgh,

01:56a huge win on Sunday at home against the Ravens.

01:59They have a game and a half lead.

02:01And right now the direct to head-to-head tiebreaker against

02:04Baltimore, but still only minus 160 for the Steelers to win

02:08the AFC North because against Baltimore, it was their only

02:12division game so far this year.

02:13They'll see the flock in week number 16 through the last weekend

02:18of this NFL regular season.

02:20And Scott, although Pittsburgh right now based on remaining

02:24strength of schedule, the records of your opponent still on the

02:28docket, it doesn't seem overly difficult because they have

02:31the Browns and the Bengals both twice.

02:34We know since he is maybe not at least in caliber of team quite

02:38to be the four and seven team their record indicates.

02:41And although the Browns only have two wins, that's how we start

02:44off week 12.

02:45The Browns a just a three and a half point underdog at home

02:49against Pittsburgh on this Thursday.

02:52Yeah.

02:52I mean that that alone tells you, right?

02:54I mean, you would think Pittsburgh nice win on Baltimore.

02:57I know that the road team Brown stink, right?

02:59You know, last place two wins, you know, fighting for the worst

03:03record in the NFL.

03:04Again, here Pittsburgh is only a three and a half point favorite.

03:07Just that's why you can't take those Browns games or the

03:10Bengal game and just say, well, they're bad football teams.

03:13They're playing not in the AFC North.

03:15No, those will all be wars.

03:17Those will all be tough game.

03:18Then you throw the other game of the Eagles and the Philadelphia

03:21in the Kansas City Chiefs.

03:22They have on their schedule.

03:23It's a it's a gauntlet for them.

03:25It is.

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