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Why San Francisco Should Be Favored Over Miami Today
SportsGrid
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12/22/2024
Category
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Sports
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00:00
I do think the wrong team is favored in Miami, San Francisco.
00:03
Now look, I know that of the three of us, right, I'll make a much bigger stink
00:08
about a team being a two-point dog instead of a two-point favorite
00:11
when ultimately the game is likely not going to land inside that range of outcomes, right?
00:16
Team wins by a field goal, but it just, to me, is a bit stunning to see this be the number.
00:23
Like, ultimately, let's just say home field advantage was worth one and a half points, right?
00:30
Well, if you were to flip this game then back to San Francisco, I mean,
00:34
you're approaching the Niners laying a touchdown.
00:36
That is preposterous.
00:38
The Texans last week laid two and a half to this Miami team at home.
00:44
Now, Miami was atrocious.
00:46
I think that's why we're overreacting, and it's, well, we most recently saw Miami be atrocious.
00:52
Was Miami any worse than the Niners were in that game against the Rams?
00:55
No, no.
00:56
They rushed for 3.3 yards per carry in terms of that wet track on that Thursday night.
01:01
I will say this.
01:02
You know, you look at the 49ers, they're two and four on the road, Kev, right?
01:06
So they've struggled going away from home, and that's a cause of concern in a warm weather
01:11
environment.
01:12
But again, you have two teams that are six and eight overall.
01:15
One has lost four of the last six.
01:17
The other has won four of the last six.
01:19
But again, it's going to come down to, in my opinion, which team is more physical.
01:24
I'm not betting this game strictly because I don't know what you're going to get.
01:28
But just looking at it from the statistics and knowing the eye test, I do believe San Francisco
01:34
on the road can run the football.
01:36
I know that Miami struggles shutting down the run.
01:39
And more importantly, they can't run the football in big matchups.
01:42
They rushed for 2.7 yards per carry against Houston.
01:46
Sorry, but are you not worried that now we're on RB5?
01:49
No.
01:49
I mean, Correndo's out of the game.
01:50
It doesn't matter that it's Patrick Taylor.
01:52
Because to me, it's the offensive line, right?
01:54
As long as the offensive line is opening up holes, you could put a high school running
01:58
back back there.
01:59
They're going to have somewhat success.
02:01
Which do you believe in?
02:02
Do you believe in the offensive defensive lines of San Francisco?
02:05
Or do you buy in to the offensive defensive lines of Miami, especially with the weapons
02:10
gone?
02:10
And that's why I would lay it with San Francisco.
02:12
I'm with Joe on this one.
02:13
I just think a look at pressuring the quarterback.
02:14
I think the defensive stops would come from the San Francisco 49ers.
02:17
We're not lauding them.
02:18
I mean, they've been, you know, the last two road games, they played Buffalo and Green
02:21
Bay.
02:21
Now, granted, much different competition, different environments than what you're going
02:24
to be seeing for the Miami Dolphins.
02:25
But also something has to be said again at the end of the year.
02:28
The Dolphins got a big punch against the Houston Texans.
02:31
It's like, OK, I don't think we're going to make the playoffs now when San Francisco is
02:34
still plotting to say we have a chance to rescue the season.
02:37
Two bad teams.
02:37
We're not saying it's going to be a runway, but I just lean more towards the San Francisco
02:40
49ers than I do the Dolphins, Kevin.
02:42
That's interesting.
02:44
You feel the Niners feel like they have a better chance to make the playoffs than the
02:47
Dolphins?
02:48
Yes.
02:49
That's very interesting.
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