Why San Francisco Should Be Favored Over Miami Today

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00:00I do think the wrong team is favored in Miami, San Francisco.

00:03Now look, I know that of the three of us, right, I'll make a much bigger stink

00:08about a team being a two-point dog instead of a two-point favorite

00:11when ultimately the game is likely not going to land inside that range of outcomes, right?

00:16Team wins by a field goal, but it just, to me, is a bit stunning to see this be the number.

00:23Like, ultimately, let's just say home field advantage was worth one and a half points, right?

00:30Well, if you were to flip this game then back to San Francisco, I mean,

00:34you're approaching the Niners laying a touchdown.

00:36That is preposterous.

00:38The Texans last week laid two and a half to this Miami team at home.

00:44Now, Miami was atrocious.

00:46I think that's why we're overreacting, and it's, well, we most recently saw Miami be atrocious.

00:52Was Miami any worse than the Niners were in that game against the Rams?

00:55No, no.

00:56They rushed for 3.3 yards per carry in terms of that wet track on that Thursday night.

01:01I will say this.

01:02You know, you look at the 49ers, they're two and four on the road, Kev, right?

01:06So they've struggled going away from home, and that's a cause of concern in a warm weather

01:11environment.

01:12But again, you have two teams that are six and eight overall.

01:15One has lost four of the last six.

01:17The other has won four of the last six.

01:19But again, it's going to come down to, in my opinion, which team is more physical.

01:24I'm not betting this game strictly because I don't know what you're going to get.

01:28But just looking at it from the statistics and knowing the eye test, I do believe San Francisco

01:34on the road can run the football.

01:36I know that Miami struggles shutting down the run.

01:39And more importantly, they can't run the football in big matchups.

01:42They rushed for 2.7 yards per carry against Houston.

01:46Sorry, but are you not worried that now we're on RB5?

01:49No.

01:49I mean, Correndo's out of the game.

01:50It doesn't matter that it's Patrick Taylor.

01:52Because to me, it's the offensive line, right?

01:54As long as the offensive line is opening up holes, you could put a high school running

01:58back back there.

01:59They're going to have somewhat success.

02:01Which do you believe in?

02:02Do you believe in the offensive defensive lines of San Francisco?

02:05Or do you buy in to the offensive defensive lines of Miami, especially with the weapons

02:10gone?

02:10And that's why I would lay it with San Francisco.

02:12I'm with Joe on this one.

02:13I just think a look at pressuring the quarterback.

02:14I think the defensive stops would come from the San Francisco 49ers.

02:17We're not lauding them.

02:18I mean, they've been, you know, the last two road games, they played Buffalo and Green

02:21Bay.

02:21Now, granted, much different competition, different environments than what you're going

02:24to be seeing for the Miami Dolphins.

02:25But also something has to be said again at the end of the year.

02:28The Dolphins got a big punch against the Houston Texans.

02:31It's like, OK, I don't think we're going to make the playoffs now when San Francisco is

02:34still plotting to say we have a chance to rescue the season.

02:37Two bad teams.

02:37We're not saying it's going to be a runway, but I just lean more towards the San Francisco

02:4049ers than I do the Dolphins, Kevin.

02:42That's interesting.

02:44You feel the Niners feel like they have a better chance to make the playoffs than the

02:47Dolphins?

02:48Yes.

02:49That's very interesting.

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