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NBA Cup Semifinals Preview: Celtics' Big Night Ahead
SportsGrid
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12/12/2024
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Sports
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00:00
Live right here on the early line on Sports Grid, we go around the association on this
00:10
Thursday following two consecutive nights of two games in the NBA Cup in the quarterfinal
00:17
round now with semifinal Saturday in Sin City on the horizon.
00:22
You would think DRS after a ton of NBA Cup action the last few weeks, group play nights
00:27
on Tuesdays and Fridays, a quarterfinal doubleheader day on both Tuesday and Wednesday that those
00:33
teams not on to the knockout round, who did not advance past the group stage, a ton of
00:38
them would play today.
00:40
No, in fact, only three games in the association on this Thursday, a slew, and I mean a ton
00:48
of games on a Friday in the NBA.
00:52
Let's start in the NBA with the favorites still, that being the Boston Celtics, who
00:57
were the favorites to win the NBA Cup, did not advance out of the group stage after the
01:02
upset to the Atlanta Hawks, who of course are on to the semis.
01:06
But Boston back at home tonight and as a hefty favorite, laying 12.5 points against the Detroit
01:11
Pistons.
01:12
What do you like?
01:13
Yeah, Fandu opened up this one as a 14-point favorite for Boston, now it's trickled down
01:17
to 12.5.
01:18
And it's not a really overwhelming public favorite on either side, 55, 56% of the tickets
01:23
coming in at Fandu here for the side of the Boston Celtics.
01:26
I tend to go that route.
01:27
If you're just looking at the starting lineup, and also we always like to use that term rested
01:31
and ready.
01:32
The Boston Celtics should be that tonight, Drew Holliday, Derek White, Jalen Brown, Jason
01:35
Tatum, and Kristaps Porzingis in that lineup tonight.
01:38
And then we know how deep that bench is and the three-point capabilities that they have.
01:42
I think the Pistons are a quality team and it is hard to win in the NBA by double digits
01:46
or more, but tonight I'm going to back the Boston Celtics.
01:48
I'll lay the double digits and figure they win by close to two touchdowns.
01:52
DRS in these games this year for the Celtics, they have been booked as a favorite in 23
01:59
of 24.
02:00
They are still 19-5 straight up.
02:03
They have the second best record in the Eastern Conference, only behind the Cavaliers.
02:08
Just because they were not thriving in the in-season competition does not mean that Boston
02:12
is still not the expected Eastern Conference favorite and NBA champion to potentially go
02:19
back to back.
02:20
Again, favorite in 23 of 24.
02:22
Just 9-14 against the number as the favorite side this year, but even more importantly,
02:28
a double-digit favorite, Donny, in 13 of the 23 games this year as just the favorite.
02:35
They are 5-8 against the spread as a double-digit favorite so far this season.
02:41
Detroit still figuring things out, even after the dismissal of Monte Williams a season ago,
02:47
10-15 if the season ended today.
02:49
It does not.
02:50
They would be on the outside looking in of the Eastern Conference play in tournament,
02:55
but the two teams they would be looking up at, Indiana and Chicago, also 10-15.
03:01
The Pistons do have a little bit of life in the Eastern Conference.
03:04
Elsewhere in the Eastern Conference, we've got the Miami Heat hosting the Toronto Raptors
03:10
tonight.
03:11
Of course, it's been an interesting week in South Beach as a lot of trade speculation
03:15
has been floated around a long-time member of this Heat organization, Jimmy Butler.
03:22
10.5 points spread tonight, DRS, in favor of Miami as they welcome in the Raptors.
03:28
Toronto is not a great team outright, but they've been booked as a favorite basically
03:32
in every single game this year, and they are keeping games close.
03:37
Can they stay within this 10.5 point margin tonight in South Florida?
03:40
Yeah, I think we might get three blowouts tonight here and also take a look at the home
03:44
team to get a little bit of that Miami flu.
03:46
You know, Toronto probably flew in a day or two before, got to enjoy that South Beach
03:50
atmosphere, hit a couple clubs, and also, Scotty Barnes not projected to be in the starting
03:53
lineup.
03:54
Why?
03:55
Because he's injured.
03:56
He's going to be out for several weeks here.
03:57
Mitchell, Dick, Barrett, Ogbaje, and Pirtle in the starting lineup for the Raptors tonight.
04:01
Hero, Duncan, Butler, Highsmith, and Adebayo is what the anticipation is.
04:04
I'm interested to see what we get out of Jimmy Butler tonight, too, because is this one of
04:07
those, I need to showcase that I'm legitimate so I get another team to bite where I want
04:11
to go, or is it the Jimmy Butler?
04:14
We don't necessarily want to overuse you and get you injured so we can't trade you.
04:18
That's an interesting one if you're looking at it from a prop perspective for me, but
04:20
I do think Miami Heat probably in the driver's seat, a double-digit win.
04:24
I'll go with another easy victory like I had with the Boston Celtics earlier.
04:27
Again, the Raptors are not a great basketball team outright.
04:31
They are just 7-18, but they have been booked as a dog in all 25 contests this year, and
04:38
they are 17-8 against the number.
04:41
They are one of two teams alongside the Nets that have been booked as an underdog 20-plus
04:47
times this season, and have covered more than 65% of their games.
04:52
Miami has won three straight, the Heat now two games above .500 at 12-10, and yet might
04:58
be making some very significant changes to their roster and organization if they do decide
05:04
to send on Jimmy Butler.
05:07
Let's go to the big easy tonight as well to round out the triple-header.
05:10
The Pells, a home underdog as you would probably expect against the Sacramento Kings.
05:15
That line now 7 in favor of Sacramento on the road in New Orleans, 231.5 is the total.
05:23
Donnie, are you agreeing with the line movement on the FanDuel Sportsbook?
05:26
Yes, I am, and once a month, usually the Pelicans get a victory.
05:30
I think they already used that up, and by the way, I did pick them last time they took
05:33
on the Suns at home outright to win that game, and they did.
05:36
Then they lost by double digits, then lost by the Spurs.
05:38
They're going to get hammered again tonight because you have one team that's rested and
05:41
ready, one team that's dead in the water.
05:43
I agree.
05:44
That 5.5 to 7, we should be looking at a road victory for the Kings of at least double digits
05:49
tonight.
05:50
They're intact in their starting lineup, and you know who's not intact in their starting
05:52
lineup?
05:53
It's the Pelicans, and they stink.
05:54
No juice tonight for them.
05:55
We're going to go with the Kings.
05:57
5-20 is the record for the Pelicans this season.
06:02
Of course, it has been a dismal year already in New Orleans, even with the acquisition
06:07
of DeJounte Murray.
06:09
Zion Williamson has not been healthy.
06:11
Murray was out for a long time.
06:13
Brennan Ingram now sidelined indefinitely once again.
06:17
It's just a disaster.
06:18
They have been booked as an underdog in 19 of 25 games.
06:23
They are 8-11 against the spread, a little bit better covering numbers than they are
06:27
in winning games outright, but it's not been a recipe for success.
06:32
Sacramento, meanwhile, 12-13 this year, DRS, and we are starting to already see this for
06:37
them very early on this season.
06:39
In the first month and a half of this NBA campaign, there was about four teams that
06:44
were above .500 in the Eastern Conference.
06:47
Right now, there are seven teams above .500 in the Eastern Conference, but you've got
06:53
everybody else, eight of the 15, four games below .500 or worse.
06:58
There are only three teams that are below two games below .500 in the Western Conference,
07:05
so the Kings, only a game below .500, trying to get back to that even number.
07:10
Right now, they're not even sniffing to play in tournament because of how deep the Western
07:14
Conference in this year and how weak the Eastern Conference is this season.
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