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AgriCast Episode 10: November 27, 2024 | Knowla Livestock's approach to weather data
AgriCast
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11/26/2024
Jack and Ted Laurie from Knowla Livestock reveal how weather data impacts daily decisions on their beef cattle farm.
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00:00
Welcome to AgriCast to talk about weather and how we can access the best data.
00:13
We have Ted and Jack Laurie from Nola Livestock.
00:16
Tell me about Nola Livestock, what you do and then why weather and knowing about the
00:21
data up front is so helpful.
00:23
Nola Livestock is basically a beef cattle property and we have a pedigree Angus herd
00:30
and a bull sale every year, but also we have a commercial herd that's integrated into that
00:34
program. The weather is crucial for us because we're primarily grass fattening and we don't
00:39
supplementary feed a great deal, it's only in drought conditions, so rainfall predictions
00:44
is crucial to our business.
00:46
Research shows that farmers are actually accessing six or more weather sources daily.
00:52
Is this true for the two of you?
00:54
Look, I think it probably is really.
00:56
As Dad mentioned, it's such a crucial part of our business, so the more knowledge we
01:00
can source to try and get better predictions and make better decisions here on farm, that
01:05
number is probably pretty accurate.
01:07
I have about four sites to look at every day, twice a day, three times a day sometimes if
01:12
I'm really interested.
01:13
What are your main go-tos?
01:15
The BOM obviously is probably a starting point.
01:17
YRB, a Scandinavian site I look at a little bit, and also I've come across another one
01:22
called Metrologics.
01:23
I quite like it because it brings all the different European models, the US models,
01:28
the GFS system I look at, brings them all into one site and you can get a little bit
01:32
of a snapshot of what all the models are saying because quite often all the models over a
01:38
week period can vary quite markedly of what you actually see.
01:42
What do you do with that information, particularly if you can see differences in what the models
01:47
say?
01:48
Well I think a lot of the time it's an indication, it doesn't actually tell you how much rain
01:52
you're going to get but it probably gives you a good indication whether there is something
01:56
on the horizon.
01:57
So it's basically a snapshot in time.
01:59
I think too that then affects what we can actually do on farm, whether that is postpone
02:05
weaning calves or we're right, we need to wean calves today to get ahead of the rain
02:09
or postpone to get in on the back of some rain and I think that's the crucial part of
02:14
looking at some of those, all those models is if all the models are saying we're going
02:19
to get rain at the end of the week, well maybe we don't know how much but it still has an
02:23
impact and we know right, we need to do dry weather jobs now and wet weather jobs at the
02:27
end of the week.
02:28
I suppose that blending of regional knowledge as well is really important.
02:32
How much do you rely on that sort of data?
02:35
It's essential, you know, all regions are different.
02:38
You know, in the last six months is a classic example, you know, the south's been dry and
02:42
we've been wet, unusually wet for us this time of the year.
02:45
So I think if you look at history in the long range forecast, you'd be a pretty good bet
02:50
to say next year the south will be probably pretty good through the winter and the spring
02:53
and there'll be probably a greater than average chance that we'll be dry and that's not based
02:57
on any forecast, it's just based on what's happened in previous years.
03:00
I think the technology is getting better.
03:02
I think it comes down to a user-based scenario.
03:06
So some people will use it, some people won't.
03:09
Adoption of that technology probably still has to go a long way from a broader perspective
03:13
across the industry.
03:14
Whatever the average age of farmers are, but I'm guessing it's up around the 60 mark.
03:18
And quite often, you know, we're probably not the best users of new technology, especially
03:25
I don't think Jack's 60, are you?
03:30
So, you know, so maybe that is a bit of a limiting factor that, you know, some of my
03:35
generation is not as skilled as digital technology and bringing it all together as some of the
03:40
younger generation.
03:42
Jack and Ted Laurie, thank you both for joining us on AgriCast.
Recommended
3:11
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