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Look ahead: Remains dry in Northeast; Tropical showers in Florida
AccuWeather
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11/15/2024
AccuWeather Long-Range Expert Joe Lundberg looks ahead to next week where the Northeast and mid-Atlantic could get little drought relief and tropical showers are expected to drench Florida.
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00:00
The crystal ball meteorologist Joe Lumberg with a look at next week. Joe, let's get right into it.
00:06
What's going to be happening here? Well, there are going to be some changes next week, but one
00:10
of the things that's probably not going to change very much, Bernie, is the fact that there's going
00:14
to be a little drought relief for much of the mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. It just looks like
00:18
this dry weather pattern that we've been in is not going to change appreciably. Maybe later in
00:22
the week there's a hope for some rain, but it's not going to be much. Cold air is going to be
00:26
injected into the pattern later next week from a storm system. Actually, two storm systems behind
00:31
that second one. That's where we see this cold air moving in. There'll be some tropical showers
00:35
from Florida, the endgame of the Atlantic hurricane season. All right, and Joe, just to put a ribbon on
00:41
this to show how dry it's been, take a look at this from Philadelphia toward Boston. Yeah, and
00:46
look at the percentage of normal. 12% of normal. This is since the first of September. Allentown,
00:52
Bethlehem, Easton, 15% of normal. 70% around New York City, and these are the areas where we've had
00:58
the biggest concern for bushfires. The Jennings Creek fire obviously is the biggest one,
01:03
and if you look at the U.S. Drought Monitor, of course, these areas, the drought is actually
01:06
growing worse. Now, the good news is we've seen some improvements across the Ohio Valley, parts
01:10
of the Midwest, parts of the Plains, and parts of the Southeast, so that's good news. It'd be nice
01:15
to translate some of that moisture eastward. Unfortunately, very little of it's going to get
01:19
to the eastern seaboard in the week ahead. All right, early next week, Joe, here comes our big
01:23
dip in the jet stream. This, it's what's in the west now. Soaking rain coming again for the central
01:29
U.S. Yeah, there probably will be some flooding here early in the week. We're talking Monday,
01:32
Monday night, including, you know, Wichita falls up toward Wichita, Kansas, maybe Springfield,
01:37
Missouri. There will be a little snow on the northwest side of it, but with this initial
01:41
storm, there's not a lot of cold air. It comes in behind it. There'll be a second piece of energy
01:46
that drops down behind it. In the east, it's generally dry and mild. As we go into midweek,
01:50
though, there are more changes in the jet stream, and it's that second storm system that'll drag
01:54
some cold air into the pattern. Coldest area you've seen so far this season for the Deep South,
01:59
and you're going to see some snowflakes in the air in places like Detroit, Pittsburgh,
02:03
and maybe Charleston, West Virginia later next week. AccuWeather Long Range expert
02:07
meteorologist Joe Lumberg. Joe, thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.
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