QB Performance Insights: Props and Predictions Tonight

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00:00All right, but here's the interesting props tonight are with the quarterbacks.

00:08Let's dive in real quick.

00:09We'll take a look and see if you have any positions on tonight's game.

00:12The passing guards for Jane Daniels is fluctuated quite a bit 226 and a half.

00:16He's, you know, miss some time and been in and out of games and the first halves of look kind of ugly with it.

00:21But then all of a sudden he comes alive at the second half 226 and a half passing touchdowns.

00:25The under is the heavy juice here at minus 178 plus money on the over rushing

00:29yards 43 and a half that straight money at 113 anytime touchdown plus 210.

00:34Yes on an interception minus 102.

00:36No at minus 128.

00:39So I mean look the way that I guess like if the prop was available that I would look at this.

00:44Adam is probably under on his passing yards in the first half.

00:47I don't know why it's so strange that it's taken just him some time to get going in all of these games.

00:53It feels like they struggle in the red zone a lot in the first half in all of these games,

00:57but then somehow he comes back.

00:59He comes alive and then crushes those second half props.

01:03Yeah, it's an interesting angle.

01:04I can't say that I've ever really spent much time in the prop market in terms of halves.

01:10So it's you've given me a little something to think about after,

01:13you know, we're done here to dive into a little bit of research.

01:15But in terms of the full game passing under for Jaden Daniels,

01:19it's actually one of my favorite plays in this game.

01:21And I know you can look at it and say man 226 and a half really like the guy usually throws

01:26for at least 200. I just there are confluence of factors that come into it.

01:30For one defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is excellent against rookie quarterbacks who again,

01:36you know, he is seeing now for the first time in his coaching career.

01:39He is 20 and 10 straight up against rookie QB's and Daniels.

01:44They're just it doesn't mean he's going to go out and have a terrible game.

01:47There are just so many different ways that even if Washington can keep this close

01:51or win outright the Daniels can beat you,

01:54you know with his legs with his feet,

01:56obviously, I don't think the arm is going to be a huge part of it.

02:00Necessarily the Eagles over the course of this year are improved in terms of their defense,

02:06especially that past defense looking at some of the numbers right here.

02:09This past defense is allowing 173 passing yards per game.

02:13It is 140 on average over the last six contests.

02:17And as for Daniels, you know, his he's just he leans a lot.

02:23We've seen it and you know, probably no better example obviously

02:27than that Hail Mary against the Bears a couple weeks back,

02:31but he leans on the big play and you know,

02:35like the commanders it was only weeks ago.

02:37We're constantly in these previews touting man,

02:39the commanders they have more 20 plus passing yard plays than anybody in the NFL

02:43and this is how they thrive and all that.

02:45Well, the Eagles have allowed the third fewest big plays big passing plays of 20 plus yards.

02:51So they find a way defensively to keep guys in check on the other side.

02:55They don't allow a ton in the way of yak yards after the catch.

03:00They just find a way to again limit you in that space.

03:04And so I think the Jaden Daniels going to have a tough day.

03:07Now you may be hitting the nail on the head in terms of the slow start play in the first half assume

03:12that commanders are going to be down going to have to pass to keep up something like that

03:16and and then he balloons for yards in the second half.

03:19That may be the way the script goes.

03:21I played the full game under though.

03:22I like to play gotcha.

03:24Yeah. I mean, I don't even know if that's the case considering Philly can't score in the first half of any of their games either.

03:28So it just may be an under across the board.

03:31McLaurin has had some really big games against Philadelphia in terms of patches and yards.

03:36So we'll keep an eye on him to all right.

03:38Now, let's go to Jalen hurts who has similar numbers here passing yards to 24 and a half at minus 113 is passing touchdowns.

03:46I mean imagine a one and a half under juice at minus 165.

03:50If we look back to last year how many touchdowns especially he was throwing in September and October of last year that completely cratered

03:56rushing yards 38 and a half anytime touchdown minus 110 and anytime interception plus 136.

04:03No minus 138.

04:05So, you know running a little bit more of a conservative offense than a year ago.

04:08It feels like Adam for now using their running back more than anybody has in the NFL that makes some sense too.

04:14It's why Philadelphia has gone on this run.

04:16What do you make of hurts his props?

04:19Well using their running back, but also using their running quarterback.

04:21Don't forget the Jalen hurts has eight rushing touchdowns in his last handful of games.

04:26So he is, you know, they're they're tush pushing like you read about in terms of the passing yards.

04:32I don't have a play on it in terms of one that I invested on myself forced to make one.

04:36I would lean toward the over simply because it really comes down to one guy or really two guys, but opposite sides.

04:43There is no March on Lattimore in this game.

04:45He has been ruled out and so without him.

04:48I just don't know who contains AJ Brown.

04:51I think AJ Brown is very live to not only go over his passing profits in the low or receiving profits in the low 80s,

04:58but to you know, ladder him up a hundred hundred twenty five.

05:01I think AJ Brown could go crazy.

05:03And if he does, you know right now that that has is talking about.

05:06Well, if AJ Brown gets half of Jalen hurts his passing yards,

05:09and of course, but you know, you like the over 220 and change.

05:13So I would lean in that direction and you know,

05:18but I do think it's it's a very interesting number because as we know hurts like Daniels is just as likely to run around.

05:25And as you noted the lean on Saquon Barkley,

05:28who is coming off, you know, people want to say well and a short short week.

05:31It's a Thursday. How involved is Barkley going to be?

05:34He did not have a heavy workload over the weekend.

05:37I think in part because of this game and knowing that they were going to use him.

05:41This commander's defense is bad against the run.

05:44It's allowing almost five yards per carry.

05:47I think Saquon goes off tonight.

05:49So if you're looking at overs over on Saquon rushing yards over on Brown receiving yards,

05:54and then, you know, just see what hurts does around it.

05:56Basically.

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