Week Ahead 04/11/2024 – More anticyclonic gloom? - video Dailymotion

Met Office

This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the week ahead 04/11/2024.   High pressure continues to dominate the weather across the UK but will anything shift the anticyclonic gloom?  Bringing you this weekend’s weather forecast is Aidan McGivern

Transcript

00:00Hi there, and welcome to the Met Office forecast for the week ahead. High pressure has brought

00:04us a prolonged settle spell during the past week, but over the next week as that high

00:09pressure remains close, the question is will it bring us any sunshine? The high is moving

00:14to the east, we've got more of a southerly airflow, but we've still got the jet stream

00:19pushing well to the north of the UK, directing the more unsettled Atlantic weather away from

00:24the UK for the time being. So, widely settled on Tuesday, but that doesn't necessarily mean

00:29sunny skies, a lot of low cloud once again covering the UK, one or two exceptions, parts

00:34of north Wales, northern Scotland, and perhaps later on a few cloud breaks developing in

00:39the south and south east. Otherwise, it's grey skies once again, a few spots of drizzle

00:43in the west, a bit of a breeze in the west as well, that breeze coming from the south

00:48providing mild air, 13 or 14, even 15 in the south. A little bit fresher for northern Scotland,

00:55but nevertheless, it is settled, end to the day. So, if you're heading out to view fireworks,

01:02bonfire evenings, looking calm and settled, fairly straightforward, one or two cloud breaks

01:07possible. Otherwise, generally cloudy skies, a few light showers in the west perhaps, drizzly

01:12rain here and there, especially over western hills, most places though dry, a bit more

01:17of a breeze in the west of Scotland, some showery rain turning up later. The most reliable

01:22clear skies, north east Scotland where temperatures will fall away after dark. But otherwise,

01:28for the vast majority, high pressure clings on. And ahead of this cold front that's bringing

01:32the showery rain, actually, temperatures rise because we've got this warm air coming up

01:37from the south. So, it's a remarkably mild start to Wednesday, but it could be a very

01:42gloomy start. We've got the bonfire smoke, we've got the potential for clear spells overnight,

01:47warming fog in places. All of that could lead to some persistent mist and fog across

01:52southern areas in particular, first thing Wednesday. Again, there'll be some cloud breaks,

01:56west Wales for example, north east England, more reliably northern Scotland as the cloud

02:00breaks up over the hills to the south. But it is a mild day, mid-teens in many places.

02:06Thursday starts off similar, mild but gloomy. Some persistent fog, could last all day in

02:11one or two spots because it is November, the sun is weak. But otherwise, it's overcast

02:17skies, a few spots of drizzle here and there, especially in the west. Again, northern Scotland

02:21favoured for cloud breaks and remarkable temperatures could be 15, 16 or even higher in some parts

02:27of, say, the Moray Coast because of the wind warming up and drying out over the hills to

02:32the south. Higher pressure stays to the east as we go into Friday, but a weather front

02:36does tend to sneak in from the west and that's going to bring about a change for northern

02:41Ireland through the day and then later other western fringes of the UK. Increasingly breezy,

02:47outbreaks of rain moving in during the morning, turning heavy at times by lunchtime. Those

02:52outbreaks of rain, fairly showery in nature, reaching western Scotland and west Wales.

02:55Drier to the east, some clear spells for north east Scotland, north east England once again.

03:00But it's a wet end to the day for western and central Scotland, north west England.

03:04These are the kinds of rainfall totals we're talking about through Friday, 15, 20 mils

03:09or so in some of the wetter spots, perhaps up to 30. But nothing of huge concern, it's

03:14just a change compared with the last week or so. A few spots heading into the south

03:19as well, but this front is weakening as it runs into higher pressure. It then swings

03:24away. What it does do is it allows clearer skies, fresher air to come into the north

03:28and west, so a better chance of sunshine across northern Ireland, Scotland and parts of northern

03:33England on Saturday. Cloudier skies further south and south east and a few spots of rain

03:38as the front clears away. Then, another weather front turns up later in the day on Saturday,

03:44so effectively a repeat with some rain moving into the north west, weakening as it crosses

03:49the country. There are some question marks though about this low pressure attached to

03:53the weather front and how close it will get to the north west of Scotland, how many isobars

03:58will be attached to it and it could bring a windy spell in the far north west on Saturday

04:02night going into Sunday. Either way, once that system is through, it does follow the

04:06jet stream to the north of the UK, so nothing widely unsettled. And then it does move through

04:12and for the start of next week, high pressure builds back in, so yeah, effectively next

04:18week more of the same. Lots of low cloud, some mist and fog in places.

Week Ahead 04/11/2024 – More anticyclonic gloom?

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