World Series Game 3 Preview: Yankees at Home as Favorites

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00:00tonight, D. R. S. The pinstripes return home as a

00:06Moneyline favorite. Minus 144 is that number. We have seen

00:11some offense but it did take extra innings to push game one

00:15to the over of eight and a half. Game two stays under

00:18tonight. The total remains at that over under of eight and a

00:22hook. What are your thoughts for game number three of the

00:25World Series tonight in the Bronx? Maybe even looking at a

00:29chance to get that total. Now, you're gonna get cooler

00:30conditions that you're gonna have in New York City than they

00:32had in Los Angeles. About 51 degrees at first pitch. Wind

00:35blowing slightly out to left field but if we're looking at

00:37the factors here, Clark Schmidt, right-handed pitcher, last 60

00:40batters that he's faced. He's really gotten hit around by

00:43left-handed batters. A 204 Iso and weighted on base

00:45percentage of 359. Right-handed batters, he's absolutely

00:48stellar against Ben. 091 Iso, weighted on base percentage,

00:52229. Now, normally, you'd say like, boy, Oton is a left-handed

00:55batter. Right off the bat, that's one of the first guys

00:57you're going to look at. Not the case tonight. We don't know

01:00how well if he is going to play, how that shoulder is going

01:03to hold up. Freddie Freeman, you say, hey, Donny, man, this

01:06is perfect. Why don't you get after Freddie Freeman? He

01:08probably has great numbers. Over his last 29 at bats against

01:11right-handed pitching, Ben, an 074 Iso and a 241 weighted on

01:15base percentage. Theoretically, one of the worst batters in that

01:18lineup. Tesker Hernandez, Max Muncy, Kike Hernandez all have

01:21solid Iso power numbers and weighted on base percentages

01:24and also against Mookie Betts. Now, if you're looking at

01:26Mookie Betts, 43 at bats, you usually say to yourself, I

01:29don't care what pitcher he's going up against. He should be

01:32able to be dominant. He's been phenomenal against right-handed

01:34pitching but again, as I told you, Clark Schmidt on the

01:36season and the past 30 days has been very good against

01:39right-handed batters. If I'm picking one batter in the lineup

01:42tonight that I'm probably going to press it down on to get

01:45either a base hit, maybe an RBI or just to get on base, total

01:47bases, one and a half in that range. Max Muncy, 47 at bats

01:51against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days, a 273

01:54Iso and a weighted on base percentage of 454. If we go to

01:58the opposite side, Walker Bueller, as we know, Ben, the

02:01statistics bear hasn't had a great season here but over the

02:03past 41 batters, he's been pretty good. If you look at the

02:06lineup tonight for the Yankees against right-handed pitching

02:09over the past 30 days, the first five guys, Torres, Soto,

02:12Judge, Stanton, and Chisholm all have high Iso power numbers

02:16here but if we're being honest, how much longer can you ride

02:19Aaron Judge's 189 Iso which is dropping like a rock? If I'm

02:22looking at one player that I want to get after for the New

02:25York Yankees, how can you go against Juan Soto? A 483 Iso

02:28and a 564 weighted on base percentage over the past 35 at

02:32bats against right-handed pitching. That's how you play

02:34it. Also, that's what it's good to see the totals, Ben. Those

02:37six and a half, those sevens, those seven and a half, eight

02:39and a half. I do think there's a chance we get nine runs

02:41tonight in the Bronx.

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