Colorado vs. Cincinnati: Intriguing Big 12 Matchup Analysis

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00:00We begin with the Colorado team that, quite frankly, I cannot figure out.

00:07That is because they keep mixing in good, well-rounded efforts, and that is not what

00:13they usually do.

00:14They're 3-1.

00:15I don't know.

00:16They're kind of still live for the Big 12.

00:17I mean, if Texas Tech is, Colorado has to be.

00:20They're a 6.5-point favorite, Joe, which a win, again, their favorite to win the game,

00:25bowl eligibility, not a lot of people thought that was coming for Colorado this year.

00:29No, not at all.

00:30I know Colorado seems like the pick here, but I actually like the Cincinnati team.

00:34They're a blue-collar team, pounded the rock last week for 191 yards on the ground, picked

00:39up the 24-14 victory over Arizona State.

00:43They've been covering numbers.

00:44They went to UCF, won the ball game outright, catching 6.5.

00:48I'm not discounting what Colorado and Dion have done, but I like Satterfield and Cincinnati.

00:53Give me the Bearcats plus the points.

00:55I think they potentially can win it outright.

00:57Two very intriguing teams, both with two losses this year, both 3-1 in Big 12 play.

01:04Colorado has been booked as a favorite three times this year.

01:07The North Dakota State game to start, twice against FBS foes.

01:10They have covered in all two of those games against FBS competition.

01:15Of course, one in overtime against Baylor.

01:18Just an underdog seven times as compared to the 12 times, or favorite seven times as compared

01:23to the 12 underdog games under Dion Sanders.

01:263-3 in one ATS, 9-3 against the number as a dog.

01:30They've covered in their last three as an underdog.

01:33Held Arizona to only seven points a week ago.

01:36This Colorado defense is improved.

01:39Now, Cincy did allow 44 points to Texas Tech in its lone Big 12 loss this season.

01:45They've only allowed 27 total points in their three other Big 12 games.

01:49Cincy and Notre Dame, two of 28 programs, holding opponents to 20 points per game or

01:55less that allow more than 380 total yards.

01:58They bend, they do not break.

02:00I actually think we might stay under tonight in Boulder.

02:04I'm feeling a little bit dicey and a little bit spicy with that one.