NCAAF Best Bets: College Football Week 8 Showdowns

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00:00Week 8 of this 2024 college football season and this Saturday's slate somehow some way if even

00:10possible could be just the best single Saturday of this year. An incredibly significant Saturday

00:18especially in the SEC. It is one versus five. Number one Texas, number five Georgia,

00:29under the lights in Austin on Saturday night. The Longhorns playing host to the Bulldogs the first

00:36time. Texas has hosted a top five opponent DRS in nearly 20 years since 2006. When the line

00:44opened for this game in the summer months, Texas was a slight and I mean very slight home favorite

00:51in this potential matchup. Game of the year three billing is certainly justified against UGA. The

00:58line as it opened early this week for week eight three and a half it is being added on for Steve

01:05Sarkeesian's Longhorns. Texas a four and a half point home favorite. DRS the last time that Georgia

01:13was booked as an underdog way back at the start of the 2021 season and another top five tilt to

01:19begin against Clemson. UGA won that game outright 10 to 3. We have not seen the dogs as a dog in a

01:28very long time. Do you agree with a four and a half point spread in favor of UT? I do and the

01:35line actually opened up at two and a half in is now you know up to that four and a half and even

01:39five ranges of some outlets out there. I don't think it's going to continue to get much much

01:42higher than that because there will be a buyback on Georgia. They're a pretty good football team

01:46but when I'm looking at Texas you watch that game against OU last week 34 to 3 final. If Quinn

01:51Ewers was the Quinn Ewers that started the season not injured that game might have been 54 to 3 and

01:57it would have been over much quicker because there were a lot of throws to be made in the first

02:00quarter and first half that he did not make but if you're looking from Texas you see it's like hey

02:04Sarkeesian's offense is completely rolling. They're fantastic on offense but look at the defense

02:08starting with the Michigan game 12 points UTSA seven points ULM three points Mississippi State

02:13who is a SEC team 13 points OU three points here so as much as I want to focus on the offense for

02:20Texas that defense was an absolutely sensational now we understand Georgia is a quite good defensive

02:25football team as well fell asleep a little bit in the first half against Alabama but the rest of

02:29their games lower scoring as well for me I think Texas is better if I think they are better they'll

02:34be able to cover the four and a half but that's 56 and a half I understand how good these offenses

02:39can be I'm looking towards the under on that total I am two really good defenses in a high

02:44stakes environment game I lean towards the under I don't know if we get 60 points in this one

02:49Texas's defense DRS leads the nation in terms of opponent yardage output and in terms of opponent

02:56point total they are the only team allowing less than a touchdown per game on average it's 6.8

03:04but the Longhorns have not really seen an offense just yet like Georgia where Carson Beck has thrown

03:10for more than 430 yards in two of the last three against Alabama a lot of it in the second half

03:17after three interceptions he ended up with 430 plus yards and three touchdowns more than 450

03:25last week at home against Mississippi State Donnie there were some questions about Georgia

03:31as they started their back-to-back title run in 2021 and 2022 last year with a very easy schedule

03:38as well in 2023 and their inability perhaps for Kirby sports dogs to cover games in non-conference

03:45but an SEC play they were lights out 16 and 12 against the spread in conference action from 2021

03:52to 2023 they have not covered so far in four tries oh and four against the spread for Georgia so far

04:00this year in SEC action it has not been a great recipe for the dogs just yet Texas meanwhile a

04:09favorite in all in every game this year they are five and one against the number a huge spot for

04:17Quinn Ewer sued through for less than 200 last week a quarterback match of DRS as you look at

04:23the NFL draft odds for this upcoming April between the two guys that are co-favorites right now

04:29to be that number one overall pick Beckett six to one viewers at six to one as well and to your

04:35point as we continue the victory lap this game has a magnitude and an atmosphere that we have not seen

04:42in Austin in nearly two decades because we have two teams still very much in a hunt for a college

04:49football playoff spot an SEC championship and even more than that a national title as well Texas is

04:56the favorite in its debut year in the southeastern conference to win the SEC at plus 115 but beyond

05:03that DRS look at the CFP prices both hefty minus money favorites to see the playoff Texas enters

05:10this monumental matchup in Austin as the national championship favorites at plus 350 Georgia third

05:16best price about a dollar and a half behind at plus 490 this would be one of those games where

05:21you say okay Georgia went to Alabama had the lead late lost that game even having a massive comeback

05:27okay they got one loss they can still get into the national championship picture if they win

05:31their way out this is really going to test the boundaries of can a true loss team actually get in

05:35because that Georgia game that wasn't in Georgia that's in Alabama that's a tough place to play

05:39against a top-ranked opponent you're going to go into Texas against the number one team

05:43let's just say Ben it's a fantastic game all the way through 31 30 Texas here you can still say

05:49Georgia comfortably is one of the 12 best teams in the country but now you're going to test those

05:53boundaries of what happens if another team has one loss and the discount Georgia because of that

05:58schedule that they had or you just say we had your chances to win on the football field and you didn't

06:02I want to see how this one plays out but if you are Georgia this is must win territory if you're

06:07Texas of course you want to win this football game you want to be number one you want to win the SEC

06:10you want to leave no doubt out here but this is a quality football team coming to town where if you

06:14do lose and lose close once again Austin Texas will wake up on Sunday morning like oh that's

06:20terrible we lost that game but hey we can still win a national championship and play meaningful

06:25football the rest of the way I do think Texas does win and actually would like to see Texas win

06:29because I do want to see Georgia as a two loss team how they'll actually factor in if there's an

06:34outside slim chance that they can make the championship by saying dude did you see the

06:38two teams we lost here basically number one teams on the road here and close yeah Donnie you bring

06:45up a great point I don't even think a second loss on Saturday eliminates Georgia from college

06:50football playoff contention it should not it more than likely will not does it make the margin of

06:57error the rest of the way still with Ole Miss and Tennessee on the docket that much more slim

07:03for sure will we see a three loss team in the first year of a 12 team college football playoff

07:08that remains to be seen but multiple losses as it had in the previous 10 years of the 14

07:14format of the college football playoff should not eliminate you just yet the third Saturday in

07:20October is always a huge one in SEC territory and will they be singing a rocky top all Saturday long

07:28in Knoxville Tennessee hosts Alabama both teams suffered a loss two weeks ago both on the road

07:37but both as FD favorites Tennessee in Fayetteville against Arkansas Alabama of course in Nashville

07:43against Vanderbilt and neither responded all that well last week Tennessee survives in OT against

07:50Florida in Knoxville Alabama survives at home against South Carolina late in the Crimson Tide

07:57DRS enter this Saturday tilt a top 15 one at that as a two and a half point road favorite in

08:04Knoxville how do you break it down we used to feel like all gas no breaks here but basically it's been

08:09all breaks for the Tennessee offense the past couple weeks 25 points against OU 14 versus

08:14Arkansas 23 in overtime against the Florida Gators Alabama seemingly sleepwalking through

08:20their past two weeks here taking a loss to Vanderbilt which is unheard of down in Alabama

08:25Tuscaloosa territory then South Carolina 27 to 25 or quite frankly with multiple chances for South

08:30Carolina to win that football game even late here I don't know what I'm getting out of these two

08:34football teams but I know they're not playing their best football 56 and a half this game Ben

08:39the way these two teams are playing in this important game same thing as I just told you

08:43about Texas Georgia I'm going under I don't think we get 60 points in this game I don't

08:48Tennessee's defense has been one of the best all year long second best total defense

08:53fourth best scoring defense the offense DRS has been a struggle as it has been for the freshman

09:00quarterback in Nico Iameleava a little bit more college football than Thursday night football

09:05next there are so many great games on the Saturday week eight slate it is hard to determine which

09:10ones even to preview but we could not leave this one out for our very own Miami backer that is

09:17Donnie right side the Canes on the road in Louisville Kentucky in the noon eastern window

09:24on Saturday Miami off a bye and a perfect six and oh start just a four and a half point favorite

09:32against the cards on Saturday 61 and a half is the total DRS expected to be close just how close do

09:41you expect it to be I think it is going to be close here I still will take Miami with the minus

09:45four and a half points but if you're more comfortable that's 61 and a half I've been going

09:49under on the previous two breakdowns I think this one does go over Miami rested and ready for this

09:53one we know that offense is going to put up a lot of points but also we know this defense is capable

09:57of giving up a lot of points 38 points to Cal 34 points to Virginia Tech which if they didn't

10:03overturn that final play they would give up 40 points to Virginia Tech so I think both of these

10:07football teams will move the football if you're looking at you know prop bets for Cam Ward

10:12absolutely he's still going to be in the Heisman race after this game I think they win I think this

10:16game goes over the total but if you're saying confidence meter I'd rather go over 61 and a

10:20half than lay the four and a half yeah I would agree with that DRS I think we see some offense

10:25a matchup of two very experienced and solid collegiate quarterbacks Cam Ward of course

10:31for Miami he has thrown for at least 304 yards and all six tilts for the Hurricanes this season

10:37Tyler Shuck for Louisville not bad on the either side how good will the Cardinals be under Jeff

10:44Braum who is good at pulling upsets go back to his days at Purdue as an underdog though for Louisville

10:51just twice which is kind of crazy to say both against Notre Dame an outright win a year ago

10:58a non-cover just a couple of weeks ago in South Bend Miami unable to cover in its last two games

11:05of course as a double-digit favorite in ACC play both at home against Vontech and on the road a

11:11couple of Saturday nights ago in Berkeley

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