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Alabama vs. South Carolina: A High-Stakes Football Matchup
SportsGrid
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10/12/2024
Category
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Sports
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00:00
As a three touchdown favorite today at home against South Carolina, Kev, how does Alabama
00:06
respond to a loss?
00:07
Well, I don't go off of the Saban samples, I'll go off of the DeBoer samples.
00:12
And while it's not as long, it is about as small.
00:17
Since he took the job at Washington, that loss that he had was his third in the regular
00:22
season.
00:23
Again, Kalen DeBoer has proven to be excellent.
00:26
However, the two losses that he had at Washington were not followed up with, hey, we got this,
00:34
do not worry.
00:35
They lost to UCLA.
00:36
They went to Arizona State, no problem, we're laying 15 and a half, oops, they lost outright
00:41
by seven.
00:42
They gave up 45 points.
00:43
Yeah.
00:44
Well, then the next week, no problem, we're laying two scores to Arizona.
00:48
They won by 10.
00:49
They didn't cover.
00:50
They gave up another 39.
00:51
My bet in this game is South Carolina's team total over 14 and a half, if it was 13 and
00:56
a half, it's a full best bet.
00:58
At 14 and a half, I think they go through it, but I'm a little bit more cautious on
01:02
the chance that Alabama in a show-up spot under DeBoer looks different than Washington
01:08
in a show-up spot under DeBoer, where it's more defense first than offense first.
01:13
But South Carolina scored 30 plus points against Kentucky, against LSU, and as I mentioned
01:18
with the Ole Miss game, they moved the football a lot more than the three points scored suggest.
01:24
But I also think it is on the board here, Lacey, that this game is a super shootout
01:28
because Jalen Milrow is still leading the country in passer rating.
01:34
Jalen Milrow, I still think, play for play, has been one of easily the five best quarterbacks
01:39
in college football, and Milrow off the first SEC loss in his career, I expect to dazzle.
01:46
I think this game's in the 60s.
01:48
To take one from you, I altered it as high as 65 and a half.
01:54
That has to make you proud.
01:55
Yeah, no, I love it.
01:56
I love the look.
01:57
I can only look Alabama here.
01:58
I'm not as confident in regards to South Carolina in regards to this matchup.
02:03
I think they have an identity problem in regards to their offense.
02:07
They only scored three points.
02:09
I understand earlier in the year, they were throwing it with Sellers, Robbie Ashford took
02:13
over when he was hurt, and they had some consistency, putting up 50 against Akron.
02:18
But here's the problem.
02:20
Again, long third down situations.
02:23
Offensive line has allowed 22 sacks on the year.
02:25
I just see Alabama's front seven pinning their ears back, getting to Sellers, getting to
02:30
Ashford.
02:31
I don't care who's back there.
02:32
The offensive line, for me, is a main problem for South Carolina.
02:35
I think Milrow does eat in regards to this matchup.
02:38
I think he throws it to open up the rushing attack later.
02:42
I see probably 40 to seven.
02:44
I lean to the under, but I'm not playing it because I don't like South Carolina's
02:49
offense right now.
02:50
So now let me ask you, because I think if you're going over here, there has been a lot
02:54
of concern about this Crimson Tide defense in the last six quarters.
02:58
They gave up more than 500 yards of total offense to Georgia.
03:02
In the last six quarters, second half against UGA, last week against Vandy, who had more
03:07
than 400 total yards, and Pavia accounted for 300 of those 400, 67 points, 784 total
03:15
yards.
03:16
The Crimson Tide are converting it 54% of their third down rates.
03:21
And Lee Seaguy, last week, you talked about an Alabama team pinning its ears back.
03:25
They did not sack Diego Pavia, and they are now the third worst rushing defense in the
03:30
SEC, allowing more than $1.28 on the ground.
03:33
Where must Alabama improve first and foremost defensively?
03:36
Well, front seven, right?
03:37
You got to be more physical.
03:39
I think that's the biggest change from Nick Saban to Kaelin DeBoer.
03:42
But this is the perfect opponent, guys, to get right.
03:46
We'll see if it plays out.
03:47
I still believe under DeBoer, get right means Milrow puts 40 points on any opponent.
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