Texas vs. Michigan Game Preview: Key Matchup Analysis

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00:00With by far the game of the week in Ann Arbor, a top 10 tilt between Texas and Michigan.

00:11Zeno, let's start with the line movement that we have seen for this matchup inside the big

00:16house on Saturday afternoon.

00:18When the line came out earlier this summer, it was the Longhorns already booked as a three

00:23and a half point favorite against the reigning national title winners.

00:26That caught some people by surprise, Michigan at home the last few years has been darn good.

00:32Now after week number one, Texas shuts out Colorado State, Michigan a little bit leaky

00:38against Fresno State in the big house.

00:40The line is north of a touchdown.

00:44Has it worked too far in favor of Texas?

00:48I think the line is about right.

00:51You know, you look at that total though, you know, you start to get into a range where

00:55you're asking yourself, how does an under come in in Texas still cover the number, right?

01:00Like you have to get into this range where you're sitting there at 28, you know, 2817

01:06kind of final that gets you where it is.

01:08I mean, it's just those kind of numbers when you look at it.

01:11And I don't know that necessarily favors Texas.

01:14You have to rely on Michigan's defense here.

01:16You mentioned they were leaky, right?

01:18Like if you hit the rewind button and go back to Michigan at the beginning of last year,

01:22it didn't really look impressive in a lot of games, especially in the first half.

01:26They pulled away late, but they played a lot of close games in the first half.

01:28So if you're feeling frisky and would like to take the Wolverines here, who no doubt

01:33have a little bit of a chip on their shoulder, given the fact that the defending national

01:37champions are being disrespected as a seven and a half point home underdog to the Texas

01:43Longhorns.

01:44I look at the game script and I go, well, look, if Texas isn't in this game early, guess

01:48what?

01:49I mean, sorry.

01:50If Michigan isn't in this game early, I don't think they have the offense to play catch

01:52up against Texas, right?

01:53So this is a first half under, this is Michigan plus the points in the first half.

01:59If you want to play it, you get the feeling that Texas could pull away late.

02:03You know, if it's a Texas up by a field goal at half, you know, they just may overwhelm

02:07Michigan in the latter half of these games.

02:09But Michigan, again, has proven in the second half, guys, that they can be a lot stronger

02:13defensively than they are in the first.

02:15So if this thing goes over, I don't see how Texas doesn't cover, right?

02:21Michigan has to keep this thing low scoring.