Texas A&M's Betting Odds in Match Against Mississippi State

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00:00Texas A&M, 14th in the country, off since the dominant win at home against Missouri.

00:09Kev, you have made this point about this A&M team, only 14th in the AP Top 25, but 10th

00:15best price to win a national championship at 40-1 right now on those odds book.

00:21How do you feel about A&M in this matchup, laying 19 and a half against a Mississippi

00:26State team that has been a hefty underdog in every SEC game?

00:29I was actually a little excited to lay this with A&M.

00:32I've been kind of trying to find the appropriate spot to bet against Mississippi State.

00:36Because of that Toledo loss, we saw their numbers kind of shoot up the sky, and boom,

00:41they cover against Texas.

00:42I'm like, all right, well, maybe now we're going to get some value with Georgia.

00:44Probably a little too much, pull back, and they cover that game as well.

00:49But now I look at it here, now I wonder if the books are still baking in the Toledo performance

00:54too much.

00:55Elko's off of a bye, 2-0 against the number in the first half in his two seasons at Duke,

01:00so maybe we could see A&M early.

01:03But the other angle of this is Michael Van Buren, the freshman QB for the Bulldogs, might

01:09have some juice here.

01:11If I'm on this game, I would look towards maybe a first half over Joe, but I couldn't

01:17find enough value to bet it confidently.

01:19Yeah, here's the thing.

01:20I mean, if you're looking last year, they got hammered.

01:23Texas A&M beat them 51-10.

01:25They're a different team, obviously, from last year than this year.

01:28Front seven for Mississippi State, giving up 201 rushing yards per game.

01:32But in back-to-back games against Texas and Georgia, under 200 yards.

01:36So that shows me that Jeff Lebby, all right, they're not winning games, but they're starting

01:40to progress, starting to understand the scheme from a defensive perspective.

01:45Maybe they are slowly getting better.

01:47I'm not suggesting that they win as an 18-and-a-half point dog, but I'll be inclined to take the

01:52points in Starkville just because it's a very difficult place to play in.

01:56I keep going back to Trevor Knight in 2016 when A&M went in there.

02:00They were ranked fourth in the college football playoff, and they lost outright by Rodgers

02:06and the crew.

02:07They got smashed.