Adam Caplan's Expert NFL Insights & Division Picks Revealed

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00:00Adam Kaplan is our NFL insider on SportsGrid.

00:03You can catch him across the board on all kinds of shows, and then again, he does the

00:07most damage on coast-to-coast, just like he ought to.

00:12And you can follow him on Axe at Kaplan NFL, almost 30 years covering the NFL.

00:17Who needs anyone else on this network?

00:19As I said earlier today, when we have Adam Kaplan handling our pro football for us, I've

00:24heard all of the experts, and they all bore me.

00:27Then there's Kaplan.

00:28And not only that, on Fridays, he does bust-a-capping-yo-ass spread picks for NFL games, which is unequaled

00:38by his peers on any network anywhere.

00:41The best show on TV, CBC.

00:42Here we go.

00:43Today, Adam busting out his moves for divisional picks.

00:48He's gonna give us all of his picks to win divisions.

00:50And we start in the NFC East, Adam, where, of course, your homerized milk toast, I'm

00:56sure, and taking your Eagles.

00:59It's funny.

01:00The Eagles were, about two months ago, minus 110 or minus 120.

01:04Now they're minus 150 to win the NFC East, and look, it's very clear.

01:08They're the best team in this division.

01:09I'm not saying they're the best team, or even close to it, in the NFC, but they're the best

01:14team in the NFC, and they're gonna try to win, and not only try to win, but just dominate

01:21this division, where we have not had a repeat winner since 2004.

01:26You got two new coordinators, right?

01:28That's the big thing.

01:29More professional.

01:30Guys, I'm told, are buying in.

01:33Eagles are the clear favorite at minus 150.

01:34The Cowboys, with all their turmoil with contracts, injuries in the secondary, they're plus 170.

01:40Yeah, but what does contract negotiation have to do with winning?

01:45The bottom line is, is that they win 12 games three years in a row, and they are loaded,

01:51and Lamb is unstoppable, and Prescott's better than Jalen Hurts.

01:56Lamb, you know, he holds out.

01:59He's back.

02:00Yes, he got his contract done.

02:02Jerry Jones takes his shots about what happened last year in the playoffs, at home against

02:07Green Bay, where they got blown out.

02:08Yeah, they're a good regular season team, but I worry about the drawn bland injury.

02:14They've got injuries in their secondary.

02:16Remember, Dick's coming back from the ACL injury.

02:19They've got problems in their secondary.

02:20Eagles are the clear winner here at minus 150.

02:22Why in God's name do you have faith in a team that melted like an ice cream cone last year?

02:28That was the worst.

02:29It was an abortion, is what it was.

02:32Lost six out of seven.

02:33Got embarrassed at Tampa Bay, but what they did is they got two new coordinators.

02:39They got guys who've been there and done it, with Vic Fangio on defense, and Kellen Moore

02:43on offense, and that's what they had to do.

02:45Get guys who've been there, done it, and been successful.

02:48Let's go to the NFC North, where you and I are in concert here.

02:54I'm not going with the chalk.

02:56The Lions are plus 130.

02:57They're the clear favorite.

02:59Everybody's darling.

03:00I get it.

03:01They've been phenomenal the last two seasons, but I like the Packers at plus 210.

03:05Why do I like them?

03:07Change in defensive coordinator.

03:08They're changing schemes under Jeff Halfley, the former Boston College head coach.

03:12They're going to a 43 front.

03:14I like it.

03:15I like their front.

03:16I think this actually helps them.

03:17They were very soft on Joe Barry, not aggressive enough.

03:20I was told to finesse.

03:22This is going to be exactly what they need.

03:24You know how great their offense is.

03:25We've been singing the praises of Jordan Love now since mid last season.

03:29They're going to shock the world at plus 210 and win that division.

03:33I couldn't agree with you more.

03:35Let's go to the South, where today Carver High broke the news to me that Joey Prawns,

03:43and go for the two, Joe Lisi, is calling for the Carolina Panthers to beat the Saints

03:50on Sunday in the game of the week in the NFL.

03:53I said, I would rather be in a Turkish prison than watch the Panthers and Saints game.

04:00I want to know, who do you like in the South?

04:02All right.

04:03Again, I'm not going with a chalk.

04:06Everybody's darling now.

04:08It's the Bears and the Falcons.

04:10The Falcons at minus 140.

04:11They're the clear favorite.

04:13I'm going with the repeat division winner here to be the Bucs at plus 300.

04:16They smoked the Eagles in the playoffs.

04:18I get it.

04:19They have a new coordinator.

04:21That head coach now is in Carolina.

04:22That coordinator was with the Bucs last year.

04:26Dave Canales is now the head coach of the Panthers.

04:29Liam Cohen comes in from Kentucky.

04:31You might remember him and Baker Mayfield worked together with the Rams for a brief

04:34period.

04:35They revamped their secondary.

04:36This is a well-coached team.

04:38This is another one.

04:39They're just a value, Scott, at plus 300.

04:42The Falcons are not a value at minus 140.

04:45I agree with you again with the Buccaneers.

04:48I said earlier on the show that they were an interception away from upsetting the Lions

04:54in the playoffs.

04:55Baker threw a bad pass and they lost.

04:57They could have won that game.

04:59Could have, would have, should have.

05:00Let's go to the West where you have who winning?

05:05Yeah.

05:06I like the Niners at minus 200.

05:08Trent Williams got his deal done today.

05:10He reported.

05:12It was structured down.

05:13They took care of him.

05:14Aiyuk's got his deal done.

05:16Everybody's there.

05:17They're actually going to be pretty healthy for week one against the Jets.

05:21They're minus 200.

05:23That one is clear to me.

05:24I don't see the Rams who overachieve every year without Aaron Donald, by the way, plus

05:27325.

05:28They're in second, but the Niners should be easy called minus 200.

05:32So he's the number two coach, allegedly, McVay in the NFL behind Andy Reid.

05:38And you say that they, uh, that they, uh, you know, I guess overstate or welcome winning

05:43games or something.

05:45All I know is I like the Rams at that fat price.

05:48I'll be counting money with my tongue when they take the division.

05:51Well, I'll say they're not, but here's what they will do.

05:53And we'll talk more about this on Thursday.

05:56You might like their overtotal and their win total.

05:58Nobody believes in the Rams this season.

06:01That's too bad.

06:02Uh, you know what I believe in the Niners having all kinds of injuries.

06:05That's what I believe in.

06:06Um, the AFC now, like all these grandiose people think it's just such a walk in the

06:12park for the Niners and chiefs, right?

06:14That a Superbowl.

06:15Yeah.

06:16Until, uh, until that injury bug comes around the corner and bites you in the ass.

06:20That's what I'm hoping for.

06:21Anything, but those two, anything, but those two, let's go to the AFC East, the jets.

06:28I know it.

06:29Carter doesn't like it.

06:30A lot of people don't agree with me.

06:32Jets have one of the best Rogers to the national football league.

06:34Their quarterback is back.

06:35If Rogers plays just 15 games, okay, he plays at least 15 games.

06:41They're winning that division.

06:42They are plus one 60.

06:44I love them.

06:45And by the way, it's tight.

06:46The bills are plus one 80, but I like the jets to win at a plus one 60.

06:49I'll tell you what I'll take, uh, Rogers to be able, I'll take the over that he can play

06:53over 15 minutes this year, uh, as opposed to 15 games, give me the dolphins at plus

06:59two 25 AFC North Ravens man.

07:03This one's also tight between them and the Bengals.

07:05The Ravens are plus one 25 families at plus one 65.

07:10I love the addition of Derek Henry.

07:11Now, am I going to pick them to get the screwball?

07:14No, but I like the Ravens at plus one 25.

07:16I like everything they've done.

07:18The only issue is a new defensive coordinator and Zach or at 31 years old, the former linebacker

07:23for them.

07:24That does worry me a little bit, but they're the clear favorite of plus one 25.

07:27I won't argue with you, but, um, when the Steelers win the division and at seven to

07:33one, I'm counting that money.

07:34I'll take you out for a steak.

07:36Um, the AFC South, the Texas at minus one Oh five, man, what a year it's been in this

07:43time.

07:44Last year, people were saying, well, they get over five and a half wins.

07:46Well, they've got the best roster in that division.

07:48And by the way, a tight division, very competitive Colts, Colts at plus three 25, the Jaguars

07:53who choked last five out of six, they should have won it.

07:56The plus 300, but the Texans, the obvious favorite, and that's my team at minus one

07:59Oh five.

08:00I'm not going to argue with the Texans.

08:03They're loaded.

08:04I think they'll win on the road in week one as well.

08:06Let's go to the West.

08:07Gee, who do you have here?

08:10Chiefs at minus 300.

08:11How are they not minus 500?

08:13They're so obvious, but so many people think the charges are going to go over that.

08:17You'd have in total charges of plus three 75.

08:20Now we'll talk more about them on Thursday.

08:23They're the hype team to go over their total at eight and a half.

08:25I don't see it.

08:26All sorts of injury issues and revamped defense, but the chiefs are the most obvious favorite

08:32of all divisions and minus 300.

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