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Where Does The Market Go From Here? “There May Be Some More Downside Ahead Of Us”
Benzinga
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8/7/2024
Benzinga's Premarket Prep guest Jim Tassoni, CIO at Arbor Wealth Strategies, gives us his market outlook and talks about where we may go from here.
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News
Transcript
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00:00
You know, it's, again, we talk about,
00:02
it's great to kind of talk about what happened,
00:05
but I think for all of us traders, myself included,
00:08
it's much more important to kind of have an idea of,
00:11
or at least a thought of where we may go from here
00:14
or how we might want to position ourselves.
00:17
And so I found another great chart that kind of looked at,
00:20
over the past 25 years,
00:23
when we've had significant blowouts in these spreads
00:27
in terms of the Japanese yen, U.S. dollar spread,
00:31
which has been a trade that has been put on for years.
00:35
It gets attention at different, various points.
00:38
And you can see we had similar types of moves
00:41
in this spread back in 02,
00:45
in that kind of 08, 09 period,
00:48
again in 11, and then right at,
00:51
right around the COVID time.
00:53
And in each one of these cases,
00:57
and it may be a little difficult to see here
00:59
because it's a log chart for the S&P,
01:02
but the total downswing in the S&P 500 was around 15%.
01:10
So you can say we're maybe six, seven, 8%.
01:13
Now we bounced back some off of the all time highs
01:17
when we whooshed down there.
01:20
But in my opinion, I would still tread very cautiously here.
01:24
Now, if you're trading swing or day,
01:26
I'm not saying don't take any longs.
01:29
But what I am saying is based on this information,
01:34
we need to be careful and cognizant
01:36
that there could be a little bit more pain.
01:38
And it may be wise to wait for some really opportune,
01:42
opportunities for lack of a better word,
01:45
in various stocks and positioning.
01:48
Because I think between you and I,
01:51
there may be some more downside ahead of us.
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