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Does The Dip In The S&P500 Indicate A New Downtrend Or Just A Pullback?
Benzinga
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7/30/2024
Christian Tharp, CMT from T3 Live joined Benzinga's Premarket Prep team to talk about the recent pullback in the market.
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00:00
Does this dip in the S&P 500 like indicate a new trend to the downside versus just a pullback?
00:06
I mean right now it looks just looking at the chart
00:09
Like a pretty similar pullback that we saw like you mentioned back in April then we ended up moving higher from there
00:15
What cues would you be looking for that? Like, okay, this is gonna be a sustained downtrend now
00:20
The trend has shifted versus no, we're still in this bullish channel. This is just a pullback as we often see
00:27
Gotcha always the million-dollar question, right? Yep
00:31
Exactly. So you go back what we're watching multiple levels on the way down
00:36
You know, certainly we always have to pay attention to things like the 200-day moving average
00:40
We have to pay attention to things like that
00:41
I tend to focus more on price itself that whole price is king mentality
00:46
And so as of right now having broken out of that channel again, unless the market sends me a message
00:52
Otherwise it did so at the same time. It was it had weakening momentum on the way up
00:57
So it was kind of saying hey, look, we've had a great run since April
01:00
Let's take some healthy profits when you look at what happened in the market and you look at that rotation
01:05
It looks like a healthy overall bull rotation. So I wouldn't think no matter how wherever this terminates
01:11
I wouldn't think it's putting the bull market in jeopardy in any way
01:14
End of July ish tends to be seasonally can be a little weaker. So seems to be normal right now
01:21
You start breaking things like the high you just mentioned from the previous pullback, I think it was five six seven percent back there
01:28
Right around that you can call it 50 to 50 area from that old high
01:32
You know from that where we pulled back there
01:34
I wouldn't want to see us fall back below that that would be a little bit of a concern to me certainly
01:41
10% is that psychological mark for the market? So I wouldn't want to see things like that get down. Otherwise
01:47
We are simply looking this is a nice. Hey, look at that nice great three month plus run
01:52
You can't go up forever. It's healthy seeing a little rotation
01:57
But areas we wouldn't want to see again as you look at that old peak from back in the April area
02:01
I wouldn't want to go back below that and there are other trend lines that we're watching
02:05
But right now I wouldn't make a big deal out of it
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