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Can China's IT sector become independent?
DW (English)
Follow
6/27/2024
China wants to finally break free from its dependence on the US IT sector. That's why, among other things, its governmental authorities are no longer supposed to use foreign hardware. But can the country really achieve this goal, and at what cost?
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00:00
China doesn't want any foreign hardware in its public authorities.
00:03
China is building a more nationalistic approach as the chip controls continue to increase.
00:10
And that could have far-reaching consequences.
00:13
Many people call it a tech Cold War.
00:17
Where will this ultimately lead? And why will the military play a decisive role?
00:22
China's public authorities are still using hardware and software from the West.
00:27
Replacing it with Chinese products is a priority. But what is behind this?
00:32
China has been trying to replace Western technology for a pretty long time.
00:37
Partly because of the Snowden leaks and what it revealed around US espionage with US technology.
00:44
But is it technically possible?
00:49
Especially graphics processing units, the things the US is now restricting from exporting to China.
00:54
Those are one of the hot points where there will still be problems.
00:59
And in addition, of course, Chinese companies can choose Chinese products,
01:05
even if they're not as good as foreign products, as long as they're good enough to do what you need to be doing.
01:13
And how is the US reacting? In a word, tick-tock.
01:17
The US government is demanding that it be sold to an American company.
01:21
Otherwise, they are threatening to ban it from US app stores.
01:25
The US wants to protect user data from being accessed by the Chinese authorities.
01:30
Then there's NVIDIA. The US manufacturer's most advanced high-tech chips are not allowed to be sold to China.
01:38
The goal is to deny China access to the latest high-tech.
01:42
US companies are being threatened with stiff penalties.
01:47
If China is able to move even a handful of percentage points off of US-based semiconductors,
01:54
for instance, to do semiconductors that can be developed and built in China,
01:59
that will mean billions of dollars of revenue for these US-based companies.
02:04
No company wants to be locked out of the lucrative Chinese market.
02:09
Of course, you're seeing the US-based companies are continually playing a bit of a cat and mouse game with the US
02:16
and with China to build semiconductors that fall beneath the regulations,
02:19
so that they are able to ship product into China.
02:23
Having said that, with more and more pressure, those bars continue to be moved.
02:29
China, therefore, wants to catch up technologically, quickly.
02:33
It's pumping up its startups with the equivalent of billions of euros,
02:37
especially in China's Silicon Valley to the north of Beijing.
02:41
Because whoever has the most powerful IT will also have the strongest army in the future.
02:48
What we are seeing is China making progress.
02:50
We know they're willing to invest to almost no end,
02:53
because this isn't just about a little bit of a geopolitical tension.
02:57
This is about global economic leadership in technology and in AI.
03:01
And AI is going to be the most important front in which economics are fought
03:06
in terms of a battle for domination globally over the next two, three decades.
03:12
China is still behind.
03:14
But if it were to play a leading role in AI,
03:16
it would also be able to sell its IT products and applications abroad.
03:22
I am totally convinced we're going towards two ecosystems.
03:25
And the question is, I mean, beyond China's huge economies of scale,
03:31
given the size of the country, can they impose their standards, their systems beyond borders?
03:38
And I think that's a big fight.
03:41
The US versus China.
03:43
Experts believe it will be several years, however,
03:46
before the Chinese are technologically on par.
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