2024 NFL MVP Futures: Odds, Analysis, and Predictions

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00:00Let's go to NFL futures.

00:04Let's start with the AP NFL MVP, looking at the odds and the leaderboard here.

00:12Top two names are the same, but that third name is going to pull in a lot of money, Joe.

00:18Yeah, it might, but the third name being CJ Stroud, I don't know if that's where I want

00:22to go quite yet.

00:23I think that's putting a lot on the young kid.

00:25I don't even know if it's seem I like to win that division because I like the Colts.

00:29I'll come back to it again.

00:31Houston Texans were maybe the story of 2023, but it's 2024 and we've got to look at what's

00:36on the field here.

00:37And I love CJ Stroud.

00:38I mean, this is tough for me because I was the defender of CJ Stroud during the draft

00:43last year, during a mini camp last year, during NFL drafts, dynasty leagues, all that stuff

00:49that I said, CJ Stroud's the best quarterback in this class and he's going to have the most

00:53impact right away.

00:55But Anthony Richardson is the guy that over time has the, he's going to have that ability

00:58to do something maybe we've never seen.

01:01But the most polished guy coming into the league was CJ Stroud.

01:03It was just easy to watch the combine and see that.

01:06And he's got a lot of weapons.

01:07So maybe CJ Stroud is somebody we really should consider more for this award.

01:10But what I like to do here at MVP and I do it every single year is I find two guys that

01:14are always quarterbacks because it's a quarterback award that I invest in that I know the number's

01:18going to shrink.

01:19Typically that person, number one is always Patrick Mahomes and somebody else.

01:24And this year is the first year in a couple where Patrick Mahomes is under 600.

01:29Typically it's 600.

01:30Even last year, it was plus 700 for Patrick Mahomes this early last year.

01:33It's starting off on plus 500.

01:36So if Patrick Mahomes is starting off at plus 500 in Vegas, and we looked at some of those

01:41numbers for him earlier in the passing totals, don't you think that seems kind of curious?

01:46Don't you think it seems like those numbers are off that they're telling you he's potentially

01:50the favorite for MVP?

01:51And yes, he's the very public player and yes, they've won a lot.

01:54They are going for something very special.

01:56This three-peat is very special to them.

01:57They are focused on it.

01:58They were talking about it as soon as the Super Bowl ended, and I think it's something

02:02we should be talking about too.

02:03Josh Allen, I will fade away from that plus 800.

02:06Maybe he'll have this transcendent season and become the quarterback everybody wants

02:09him to be where he just makes all the pieces around him better.

02:11Maybe.

02:12I got to see it.

02:14Joe Burrow, on the other hand, has all the pieces to compete, has the ability to continue

02:21to handle their business in the AFC.

02:23Now it's a very competitive division.

02:25It's another thing that Patrick Mahomes has going for him as he plays in a weaker division

02:28than the AFC North is.

02:30But Joe Burrow up 10 to 1, really intriguing.

02:33Look, Lamar continues to be statistically really interesting.

02:36I just wonder if he starts to lose some of those touchdowns that he's had over the years

02:40to Derrick Henry, a very different running back than they've had.

02:44They have pieced it together with everybody from Mark Ingram to Gus Edwards to J.K.

02:48Dobbins over the years.

02:49I mean, it's been a who's who of retreads and veterans and just another guy.

02:56But they've never had a Derrick Henry.

02:57So that's going to be different.

02:59And I don't know if it's going to eat into a little of the success around him.

03:03Christian McCaffrey theoretically should have been in this conversation more, but he's just

03:07not because he's not a quarterback and that's typically not what happens.

03:10But early on, Mahomes is the guy that I would circle.

03:13He's the early investment for me because I do think by the time we get to midseason,

03:16that number is going to be more like two to one.

03:18And you can always cash out if you don't want to see it all the way through on some sites.

03:21And then Joe Burrow at ten to one, I see that number shrinking as well.

03:24So those are the two guys I would invest in early for MVP.

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