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Dilip Buildcon's Growth Outlook For FY25 | NDTV Profit
NDTV Profit
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5/13/2024
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00:00
Rohan Suryavanshree, Head Strategy and Planning at the Lib Bill Con joins in to break it down
00:04
for us.
00:05
Afternoon Rohan, thanks for joining in.
00:08
Your stock has been quite a star performer in the last couple of months.
00:12
Today of course, the market sentiment is not very supportive, but it's been a good quarter
00:16
from your stable.
00:17
You want to walk us through what the last quarter F524 looked like and looking into
00:22
F525, what sort of guidance are you giving us?
00:25
Hi, coming out, pleasure to be on your show.
00:30
Yes, it was a good quarter for us, but then it's a good quarter for the infrastructure
00:35
sector in general when we look at the final quarter.
00:40
And this pace is kind of continuing into the quarter one till the rainfall bit.
00:45
So it was a good one.
00:46
We did almost about 2,900 rows of top line on a standalone basis.
00:54
And even the EBITDA was good at almost 350 crores.
00:57
PAP was also good at almost about 120.
01:00
And for overall year, we closed at about the full year at about 10,500 crores.
01:06
So it was a good year.
01:09
The EBITDA was healthy about almost 1,300 crores of EBITDA and plus of 420 crores of
01:15
net profit.
01:16
So we were happy with the performance.
01:20
In this financial year, we've kind of guided towards a similar kind of number right now
01:27
in terms of top line of Francine EBITDA of 12 to 14 percent range and improving PAP margins.
01:35
The bigger thing that we've talked about in this year is we have already reduced debt
01:41
by 860 crores in FY24.
01:45
And right now our current debt to EBITDA is almost 1.1 times net debt to equity is 0.29
01:53
times.
01:54
So our total net debt is about 59 crores.
01:59
Now we're going to reduce this by at least 500 crores more in this financial year and
02:04
bring it down to 1000 crores.
02:06
And the idea is to be a completely debt free company by FY in the next couple of financial
02:13
years.
02:14
So that's the broad idea for us in FY26.
02:18
Those are the kind of focus areas for us.
02:22
And in terms of revenue, I think we've said that we will kind of upgrade you guys or tell
02:27
you more as the year progresses because of this being an election year, the ordering
02:31
was weaker, but as soon as results are announced, we expect the ordering to be strong.
02:36
I'm glad you bring that up Rohan because when we spoke to L&T earlier this last week, they
02:41
indicated the same thing.
02:42
They said the next two quarters will remain slow because of election.
02:47
Employees and workers have already left for their villages, which of course, on the back
02:51
of voting.
02:53
So all that would mean that the next two quarters or the first two quarters of FY25 will be
02:58
slow.
02:59
Is that a similar sort of trend we can be expecting from you?
03:02
Quiet next two quarters and a pickup from third and fourth quarter?
03:06
Yeah, in terms of ordering, it will, you know, once the government, whatever government comes
03:11
to power, I think because so if I talk specifically about just NHI and MORTH, the road ministry,
03:18
there are almost one lakh twenty thousand crores of orders which have been floated for
03:23
a while, but they were not awarded.
03:25
So we feel there will be a flurry of ordering activity as soon as elections start.
03:30
Now how that pace will look at whether this will be more muted in the coming quarter and
03:36
then pick up from quarter three or quarter four is anyone's guess.
03:39
We, you know, we will see, depending on who the minister comes in, you know, what the
03:44
government is.
03:45
So all those things will definitely matter.
03:46
But the orders are already kind of floated, even in other sectors where we are actively
03:50
looking at, whether it's railways, whether it's water resources, all those areas, there
03:55
are a bunch of orders.
03:56
And I think they're just waiting for this.
03:58
So I wouldn't want to venture into the area of when the ordering activity would really,
04:03
really pick up.
04:04
But ideally, I would definitely agree with our friends at LNG that the ordering activity
04:10
tends to be stronger in the second half of the financial year.
04:14
No challenges in execution, right?
04:16
You want to tell me what your order book is and what the execution timeline is looking
04:19
like with everything that are currently sitting on?
04:22
Currently, our order book is 17,000 crore plus.
04:26
So to do that 10,000 crores of revenue, I don't really see a challenge.
04:30
I think we are in good space from that perspective.
04:35
The year after is where we would want to have comfort and for that, where, you know, the
04:40
new ordering activity can really help.
04:43
But I don't see it as a big concern because of the number of orders that have already
04:47
been floated and my team's been working very, very actively on working all those different
04:55
tenders.
04:56
Also, I mean, you are from a capital intensive business and it's very impressive to know
05:02
that you have successfully reduced your debt significantly and plan to do so furthermore.
05:06
We will talk about that in a minute.
05:08
But your margins have improved substantially this quarter.
05:11
I think you are up around 9, 9.5 versus 6.5 odd that we have seen in the same quarter
05:18
last year.
05:19
Going into FY25, you think this could be the lower end of the margin band, double digit
05:25
margins can be expected?
05:27
I mean, our margins are improving primarily because, you know, in during COVID time, we
05:32
suffered a whole bunch of losses and we were carrying a lot of projects where timelines
05:37
expanded because of which those projects gave us certain losses.
05:41
But now as those projects have been completed and handed over and as new projects are coming
05:46
in, so margins are obviously improving continuously based on that.
05:51
And this should continue to happen because debt will be keeping paid down, it's getting
05:56
paid down.
05:57
We are not investing a lot in new equipment.
05:59
Earlier, Dilip Pilpon used to invest almost 500 crores ballpark every year in new equipment,
06:05
which has come down to 50 to 70 odd crores now.
06:10
So we have a great asset base already.
06:14
We are looking at securing good orders.
06:17
We are looking at focusing on cash flows and bottom line improvement rather than making
06:22
large capex investments.
06:25
And even so, equipment investment was one area where we made investments, then there
06:29
was working capital.
06:30
And then the third was equity in our PPP projects.
06:33
Both the equipment and the working capital we have been, you know, consciously and very
06:38
aggressively reducing.
06:39
We look at, you know, the debt reduction and all, so that that has been constant sort of
06:45
planned.
06:46
So we have done a lot of investment into equity of PPP projects.
06:48
There, what we've done, we've also partnered with funds.
06:52
A, we were earlier monetizing our assets as they were completed and using that capital
06:57
to then reinvest into new assets.
06:59
Now, we've also, along with that, partnered with Alpha Investments, Alpha Alternative,
07:04
where we are setting up an in-bid together.
07:06
So even that progress is going pretty at a pace.
07:09
Rohan, bring us up to speed with timelines there, because I know there'll be significant
07:14
cash flow generation from there, which will flow back into the business.
07:20
Has it started yet?
07:21
When can we see that cash flow flowing in?
07:24
First quarter F525, maybe a few months out.
07:27
You want to just give us a sense of a timeline so we get a better understanding of the strategic
07:31
tie-up?
07:32
Sure.
07:33
So the in-bid would be set up sometime in the, I mean, the process is on, it's with
07:39
saving consideration.
07:40
That would be set up in, I think, quarter three to quarter four is anyone's guess based
07:44
on when we have the final sort of go ahead from saving.
07:50
Once that is done, so the deal with Alpha is we are giving them 18 projects in total.
07:55
So eight projects are going in the first bit of it, and then the 10 projects will be going
07:59
by FY26 completion.
08:01
So these eight projects and those 10 more projects in total would be giving us a cash
08:11
flow of almost 450 to 500 crores every year from these assets, besides the monetary sort
08:19
of compensation that we're having for the 74% units that we'll be holding in the in-bid,
08:25
which will be worth of like four and a half to 5,000 crores kind of ballpark figure, like
08:29
based on what the final valuation comes out.
08:32
So that would be giving us that, like I said, 450 to 500 crores of free cash every year.
08:39
So that will be rose Rohan to retire 500 crores of debt this year and an additional thousand
08:46
next year?
08:47
No, so this 500 crore number we will hit from FY26 end onwards, because these projects will
08:53
come on to the in-bid.
08:54
So I think in the first of the first eight projects, if I was to, you know, and I'm ballparking
08:59
it, so somewhere in 200 something odd range is the money that we will get by the end of,
09:05
you know, whenever there's a first full year completion of the in-bid cash flow.
09:10
For the first eight projects, about this much and when the other 10 projects add up, it
09:14
will jump up to 450 to 500.
09:16
The first eight, about 200 to 250 ballpark figure.
09:23
So I do understand that this is capital intensive and that in-bid cash flow will only flow for
09:29
the next year, and that will flow in later on.
09:31
And you have an ambition of reducing your debt.
09:35
Is it at all task to turn debt free?
09:37
Is that even a potential likelihood over the next couple of years?
09:43
And also what I want to understand from you is while everything is status quo and you're
09:46
not going to be looking at more investments in the business, is there a possibility that
09:50
over the course of the next one, one and a half year, you may actually revisit those
09:54
plans and reinvest in the business?
09:56
So it's not required at this stage.
09:59
So we will be continuing to invest in, you know, PPP assets and that is a separate cash
10:04
flow that we're getting.
10:05
When it comes to debt reduction, there are strong cash flows that the company is generating
10:10
on its own.
10:11
Those are the ones which are primarily being used to retire debt.
10:15
Along with that, we had also issued warrant to Alfa Alternatives of about 500 crores out
10:21
of which, so 533 crores to be exact, out of which about 130 odd crores of capital has
10:28
already been converted and has come into the company.
10:31
The rest of these almost 400 crores worth of warrant need to be converted by June of
10:36
25.
10:37
So we have another year or so that's left.
10:41
So that capital coming in plus, you know, our internal cash flows being very solid.
10:48
And then the monetization capital from Alfa, so because Alfa is buying out that 26% in
10:54
all these assets, so that capital coming in.
10:57
So I don't foresee it to be a challenge given our current business sort of opportunities
11:05
that we've invested in.
11:06
Right.
11:07
Thank you, Ron.
11:08
It's always great talking to you and it's always good to know that things are looking
11:11
great for the Lipple Corn.
11:13
Of course, the investments made in the past are paying up and the legacy projects that
11:17
you were, of course, putting pressure on Marge, it's also now behind the company.
11:22
But thank you.
11:23
We'll try and connect with you again soon to get a better understanding and a more in-depth
11:25
conversation of business.
11:27
Up until then, good luck and congratulations.
11:29
[Music]
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