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Weekend to bring severe weather, flooding risk to Southeast
AccuWeather
Follow
12/15/2023
It will be a stormy weekend across the southeastern United States as a surge of tropical moisture fuels heavy rain and severe thunderstorms.
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00:00
Taking a look across your Florida cities today,
00:02
you might be saying, huh?
00:04
This doesn't seem all that bad.
00:06
I mean clouds in Orlando and Tampa.
00:08
Quick shower in Jacksonville,
00:09
sunshine in Tallahassee temperatures
00:11
in the 60s and 70s.
00:12
But the problem with the forecast
00:14
in Florida today is right here.
00:16
Winds, winds, winds, winds, winds,
00:18
your speeds.
00:19
Remember speeds are the one minute
00:21
averages in the teens and 20s.
00:23
Daytona Beach 23 mile per hour wind
00:25
speed clocking in most recently.
00:26
We've got 17 on the board for West
00:29
Palm and 18 in Miami and I'll tell
00:31
you this much.
00:32
Gusts are already up in the 30s and 40s today,
00:35
but that's only half of the wind
00:36
problem on this Friday here.
00:38
The other half is that these strong winds.
00:40
This Northeast wind is very persistent,
00:42
so much so in fact that we actually
00:44
saw some of the water being pushed
00:46
out of Tampa Bay yesterday.
00:48
That's a phenomenon that we
00:49
generally see with tropical cyclones.
00:51
I'm talking hurricanes,
00:52
tropical storms,
00:52
once in awhile,
00:53
tropical depression.
00:54
So I think that's put some perspective.
00:56
Just how strong and again how
00:58
persistent the winds really are.
00:59
Now the other problem with that is up
01:01
and down the East Coast of Florida
01:03
through Georgia in the Carolinas.
01:04
You can see we've highlighted the area in red.
01:07
That's where we're concerned about the
01:09
effects of let's say rip currents.
01:10
For example, really rough surf.
01:12
We've seen some nasty white caps
01:13
out on some of our Florida beaches,
01:15
and even as you're getting out,
01:16
let's say to the North Carolina coast,
01:18
which is very fragile once you
01:20
get toward the Outer Banks.
01:21
That's where we could see some coastal erosion.
01:23
Please be careful as we move through today,
01:25
and no,
01:26
it's not a good day to be out on the water,
01:28
but remember that my friends that was
01:29
the appetizer before a five course dinner.
01:31
Now we have a storm moving in from the
01:33
plains this storm right here.
01:35
We've been tracking this for a couple of days.
01:37
This is going to come through the Gulf,
01:39
pick up a ton of Gulf moisture and
01:41
basically just drop it all on Florida.
01:42
So not only is today a bad day,
01:44
but honestly,
01:45
this weekend kind of stinks too.
01:46
In Florida,
01:47
I'm sorry to say I don't want
01:48
to be the bearer of bad news,
01:50
but Mother Nature is doing
01:51
what she's going to do here.
01:52
You'll notice 4 to 8 inches as we
01:54
look at the rain amounts from
01:55
Apalachicola back to Jacksonville.
01:57
We're looking down toward,
01:58
let's say Orlando down to Cocoa Beach,
01:59
Melbourne, Tampa, Miami.
02:00
I could just name a bunch of
02:02
your peninsula cities here,
02:03
but you get the picture.
02:04
This lighter green representing where
02:06
we have two to four inches of rain.
02:08
But wait, there's more rain and
02:09
flash flooding Saturday and Sunday.
02:11
That's just part of the equation
02:12
on Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.
02:14
We're also looking as this storm
02:16
moves through the sunshine state
02:17
for that severe weather potential.
02:19
We have two levels of risk.
02:21
The first here in yellow.
02:22
That's your some risk for spotty,
02:24
severe storms.
02:24
The second in orange,
02:26
is your moderate risk where more
02:27
numerous storms are possible.
02:29
Now we're looking at almost everything here.
02:31
This is a very saturated system,
02:32
so again,
02:33
flash flooding is a big concern,
02:35
but we could also see damaging
02:37
gusty winds and even some isolated
02:39
tornadoes not out of the question.
02:40
I'm sorry to say I don't want
02:42
to ruin your weekend plans here.
02:44
I don't want to be doing that,
02:46
but this just kind of is what it is,
02:48
and we want to prepare you ahead of time,
02:51
especially in terms of that severe weather.
02:53
Make sure you have the active
02:54
weather app. You can get those
02:56
watches and warnings right to the
02:57
palm of your hand. Just turn the
02:59
push notifications on for your location.
03:01
Weekend summary here from Jacksonville
03:02
to Tallahassee, Orlando, Tampa,
03:03
Miami. Not nice rain, thunderstorms.
03:04
Temperatures are fine.
03:05
60s and 70s.
03:06
That's not anything to write home about,
03:08
but it's the rest of the forecast.
03:10
It's bothersome now.
03:10
Thankfully,
03:11
after this storm leaves,
03:12
we do get a nice break here.
03:14
You can see Monday and Tuesday in Orlando.
03:16
We're right back to sunshine and we
03:18
eventually warm up after a quick burst
03:20
of the 50s back to the 60s and 70s.
03:23
[BLANK_AUDIO]
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