Skip to player
Skip to main content
Skip to footer
Search
Connect
Watch fullscreen
Like
Comments
Bookmark
Share
Add to Playlist
Report
Target This QB's Passing TD Prop For The 2023 NFL Season
SportsGrid
Follow
7/24/2023
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
Display full video transcript
00:00
(upbeat music)
00:03
- Let's start with a quarterback.
00:05
Why do you think Joe Burrow has a good year for Cincinnati?
00:09
- Well, starting off with season-long props,
00:11
they can be super tough to do,
00:13
especially, you know, this far out,
00:15
but I like to correlate season-long props
00:17
with season-long award markets.
00:19
So if we look at the NFL MVP odds,
00:22
Burrow, Mahomes, and Josh Allen are all tied
00:25
as co-favorites at plus 700 for the shortest odds.
00:27
So Burrow's expected to have a huge season.
00:30
He's had 34 and 35 touchdowns in the past two seasons.
00:33
And if we look back over the past 10 years,
00:35
a quarterback has won the MVP award
00:37
in each of those 10 seasons,
00:38
and only one time did a quarterback finish
00:41
with fewer than 33 touchdowns.
00:42
That was Tom Brady in 2017.
00:44
So if we use the award market as an indication,
00:48
if Burrow is quote-unquote a favorite to win that award,
00:50
he's likely going to need to have at least 33 touchdowns
00:54
to put himself in a spot to win that award.
00:56
Yeah, we can look at all those underlying metrics
00:58
of touchdown rate and the Bengals passing rate.
01:00
Those are all phenomenal.
01:01
I will say they are, a lot of the insecurity
01:04
or the uncertainty about their team
01:05
comes from their offensive line,
01:07
which is actually ranked 17th right now,
01:09
according to PFF, which seems very mediocre.
01:11
It was actually set 11 spots higher
01:13
compared to the end of 2022.
01:14
And they also have the top-ranked wide receiver unit.
01:17
So Burrow is unbelievable,
01:19
and he's likely going to need to have a huge season
01:21
if he were to be in a spot to win that award.
01:23
(upbeat music)
01:26
[MUSIC]
Recommended
1:16
|
Up next
Juan Soto Surpasses Jimmie Foxx in Career Multi-Homer Games
SportsGrid
today
1:27
Emmet Sheehan: A Potential Boost for the Dodgers in 2025?
SportsGrid
today
2:39
Cincinnati Bengals' Playoff Hopes Dwindle After Rocky Start
SportsGrid
9/26/2024
1:48
NFL AFC North Market: Are The Bengals (+210) Playoff Contenders
SportsGrid
6/4/2022
1:48
Cincinnati Bengals 2024 Season Prediction: Key Insights
SportsGrid
7/16/2024
3:43
Exploring Tee Higgins' Consistent Performance in NFL Fantasy
SportsGrid
6/16/2024
1:38
Cincinnati's AFC Playoff Chances After Recent Games
SportsGrid
10/24/2024
0:39
Circa Survivor Contest Nears $12 Million Pool Prize
SportsGrid
9/5/2024
2:32
Exciting Draft Opportunities for Wide Receivers in 2024
SportsGrid
6/16/2024
3:12
2024 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Rankings and Predictions
SportsGrid
4/14/2024
0:42
NFL Preseason Insight and Week One Betting Analysis
SportsGrid
8/22/2024
2:34
Insights on NFL Coach of the Year Trends & Predictions
SportsGrid
2/28/2025
2:39
Latest NFC Championship Odds: Analyzing Key Teams and Stats
SportsGrid
3/15/2025
0:59
Unexpected Super Bowl Winners and the Decline of Top Teams
SportsGrid
7/30/2024
2:34
Mid-Season Review: Chargers' Outlook Ahead of Week 5
SportsGrid
10/2/2024
2:04
2025 NFL Season Analysis: Chargers Aim for Deeper Playoff Push
SportsGrid
2/18/2025
3:31
Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Insights & Strategies
SportsGrid
5/12/2024
2:16
Pittsburgh Steelers Win Totals and Aaron Rodgers Potential Impact
SportsGrid
5/9/2025
2:37
Pittsburgh Steelers' Odds Shift After Loss to Browns
SportsGrid
11/22/2024
2:19
Anthony Richardson's Rising Stock in Fantasy Football 2024
SportsGrid
5/12/2024
2:45
NFL MVP Odds Update After Week 2: Mahomes Leads the Field
SportsGrid
9/18/2024
2:07
Analyzing NY Jets' 2024 Playoff Chances with Aaron Rodgers
SportsGrid
7/9/2024
1:22
Analyzing the Upcoming NFL Schedule: Impact on Game Outcomes
SportsGrid
4/27/2024
1:20
Miami Dolphins' Slim Playoff Chances After 10 Weeks
SportsGrid
11/13/2024
3:38
Buffalo Bills Close Win Raises AFC Championship Hopes
SportsGrid
11/4/2024