Yankees vs. Marlins: Luis Gil's Return From The IL

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00:00the new york yankees and the miami marlins luis heel back up to major league baseball taking on

00:04mr cabrera the lefty hasn't been too bad here we'll go over those statistics in just a few

00:09moments overnight tom minus 115s minus 120s in the marketplace today this morning same exact thing

00:15a total of eight a lot of seven and a halves starting to show up here and you know what

00:19i'm actually believing this game probably plays to an under here but how you feel about the

00:24yankees and the marlins heel back big time under in this there's what we saw on friday night you know

00:3020 some odd runs whatever it was like that's not the standard now obviously it's not a ton of crazy

00:34games at night but regardless of that the yankees just aren't hitting right now and the marlins they've

00:39been playing much better but it's also fair to say that the yankees bullpen and the defaults that they

00:44had on friday night that's obviously not going to be the the trend or the standard going forward and

00:49they do have a very good bullpen when it's all said and done luis heel is making his uh season debut for

00:54the yankees he made a rehab start on july 29th uh he was in the uh low 70s when it comes to pitches

00:594.1 innings seven strikeouts from him going back over his first three years he's always been a big

01:04strikeout pitcher 29 26 26 in his first three years but he was also at a 12.5 walk rate last year so i

01:10think that'll drive up the pitch count and yeah you can have six strikeouts but also probably three walks

01:15which will cause him trouble so i see this game as a clear under cabrera on the other side donnie like

01:19you said he has been downright solid over the past you know month two months whatever it is

01:24and i just don't see the yankees getting to him or really to the marlins bullpen we just kept a lot

01:29of teams under control as of late so under eight that's the play that i like and by the way like

01:34yesterday yuri perez like you might not know that name is a household name he's been really good again

01:38this season you saw that yesterday in that yankees game because the problem i have sometimes is usually

01:42tom right good pitching usually holds out over good hitting the reason i bring that up is i'm expecting

01:47edward cabrero to have a pretty good start and why not his last 45 days tom 41 and a third innings

01:52pitch a 240 era and a 351 x fifth number we're not playing in yankee stadium today 85 degree

01:57temperatures wind blowing out you're in one of the best pitchers ballpark in major league baseball but

02:02look at that yankees lineup and i say tom just iso power numbers against right-handed pitching over

02:06the past month for the yankees grisham 220 rice 211 bellinger 377 stanton 407 chisholm 230 dominguez

02:13196 mcmahon 254 volpe 306 277 for austin wells it can't get any better than that and yet we're

02:20saying to ourselves wait eights are now down to seven and a half and i'm with you tom like yesterday

02:25the yankees projected well but a good pitcher on the mountain of the pitchers ballpark didn't work

02:28out in their direction are we saying we're gonna have shutouts where it's like okay three to nothing

02:31in this game two to nothing probably not but it's hard for me to look at that lineup for the yankees

02:35like why can't they hit and then go well did you see the game yesterday as well pitchers usually rule the

02:40day in pitchers ballparks that they really do and you know frankly i i think this game should probably

02:46just be minus 110 on both sides at least when it comes to the money line that's what i think it should

02:49be and if you told me either team won this game four to two i wouldn't be surprised like i it's really

02:56that easy and frankly you can get the marlins at even money now and you can just play the yankees

03:01at plus money in game if they fall down by a run or two no doubt yankees need a win in the worst

03:07way today trying to hold on back to third place now tom no longer in second place or first place

03:11here how low is the bottom for the yankees maybe today they bounce back with a victory but certainly

03:15going to be tough pitcher coming back to the mound for them solid pitcher on the other side yankees

03:19certainly have their work cut out for them let's head out to wrigley exciting game yesterday i've seen

03:23late night late game theatrics you take a look at baltimore today do they have it in them because

03:28they're in last place in their own division baltimore's gonna have young chicago's gonna have ray

03:32975 976 on the rotation a 220 start from wrigley and most people just see the number eight and a

03:38half down to eight oh no the wind is blowing in it's not 20 miles per hour i'm showing under 10

03:42miles per hour both of these pitchers for me tom can get hit today you look at the price point too

03:47ray overnight who i don't even like all that much minus 165 we don't see as high as 190 at the

03:53marketplace at bet mgm in new jersey this morning my goodness the money firing on the cubs this morning

03:58yeah this game doesn't make a whole lot of sense to me now i know there are there are trends to

04:04back the cubs in this or there are reasons to back the cubs based on trends because they have been a

04:08great team this year bouncing back after losses and we all know that the cubs are significantly

04:13better than the orioles no one's going to disagree with that it again it comes down to the price do we

04:18like the minus 180 no of course not you know there are some hitting options from the cubs i like which

04:23we'll get to in some of the later segments when we're giving out some picks but frankly minus 180 on

04:27colin ray is i i think is a bit aggressive you know we're looking at a picture with a four five

04:31one exit like donny that's not good like a sub not just a sub 20 strike rate he had 16.8 strike

04:37rate 1.61 home runs per nine like that is not good in any capacity and we flipped the other side with

04:42brandon young again another picture yes small sample size but 1.96 home runs per nine a 20 strike

04:48rate and a 9.5 walk rate like there should be some runs scored today i know we didn't get a whole lot

04:53runs yesterday four three final but going over eight take because the pitchers are so bad i think

04:58that's what we see but minus 180 is a crazy price to pay even though i think the cubs are so much

05:02better than the orioles

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