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Washington Commanders' Odds to Reach NFC Championship
SportsGrid
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2 days ago
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Sports
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00:00
I would say the team that enters with the most optimism is the Washington Commanders,
00:04
at least to do something we have not seen in a very long time.
00:08
Obviously, something Washington did last year, led by Jaden Daniels in a record-setting rookie season.
00:14
The Commanders reaching the NFC Championship game for the first time since 1991
00:19
before getting blown out by the Birds.
00:22
Here are the odds for the Commanders each and every step of the way.
00:26
To miss the playoffs, not the most likely outcome.
00:28
That is to make the playoffs, minus 134 to make, plus 110 to miss.
00:33
To win yet another playoff game to get to the divisional round, plus 180.
00:38
To reach the NFC Championship game for the second time in two years, plus 440.
00:44
And DRS, it is funny to say, for the Commanders, what would be that next step of growth?
00:49
It would be winning the conference crown and playing in a Super Bowl that is 19-1.
00:53
So the buy or sell question to you, DRS, Washington is more likely to miss the playoffs this upcoming season
01:01
than make the NFC title game for a second straight year.
01:04
I'm going to buy that, and here's the reason why.
01:07
Because I do think the Washington Commanders do make the playoffs, but the question is not asked
01:12
if they make the playoffs.
01:13
It's what's more likely to make the playoffs or make the NFC Championship.
01:16
It's hard to make the NFC Championship.
01:18
It's hard to make the Super Bowl.
01:19
It's hard to win a Super Bowl in advance, specifically if you have only one buy,
01:23
which again means you must win your wild card round game and also the divisional game
01:26
before you even wind up in the NFC Championship game.
01:29
You saw last year Washington was able to do that.
01:31
Donnie, why can't they do it again?
01:32
They just did it.
01:33
The expectations are they're supposed to be better this year, fortified,
01:36
coach with another year in the system here, young quarterback, another year in the system.
01:40
It all makes sense.
01:41
But let's understand this.
01:43
Look at the teams that made the playoffs last year in the NFC.
01:46
Lions, Eagles, Buccaneers, Rams, Vikings, Commanders, and Packers.
01:50
There's only one team in there that has a question mark, and that's the Minnesota Vikings
01:54
because they're going from Sam Darnold, who was very good in the regular season,
01:57
racked up 14 regular season wins, then sort of, you know,
02:00
petered out, if you will, in the playoffs.
02:03
But if you are looking and say, all right, let's just say the rookie isn't as good as
02:07
Sam Darnold and they get knocked out of the playoffs, that's only one team.
02:10
Like the expectations for all those teams to be back in it are very high.
02:14
Now, as you say that, well, can anybody actually like invade that playoff market
02:18
who didn't last year?
02:19
You take a look again.
02:20
The Seattle Seahawks had 10 wins.
02:22
Expectations for them, I don't know, changing over from Geno, going over to Sam Darnold.
02:25
Does that make a difference?
02:26
But they won 10 games last year.
02:27
Atlanta Falcons, who won eight games, their expectations are higher this year.
02:31
They re-upped on defense here, got a couple pass rushers.
02:33
Michael Penix coming around the block in year number two.
02:36
But also, the Falcons, eight and nine, excuse me, the Cardinals, eight and nine as well.
02:41
They're supposed to be a little bit better this year.
02:42
Then comes these next three teams.
02:44
The Cowboys missed the playoffs last year, Ben.
02:46
The San Francisco 49ers missed the playoffs last year.
02:48
The Chicago Bears with monster expectations.
02:51
There are teams that are chomping at the bit just to get into the playoffs here,
02:54
which if you miss the playoffs this year, you're probably going to have 10 wins again.
02:58
So making the playoffs is going to be hard, which I think they can.
03:01
But also what I'm saying is, Ben, that playoff field is going to be unbelievably talented
03:05
and unbelievably deep.
03:07
And if I don't think Washington is the one seed, that means, again,
03:10
two playoff wins are going to be required to reach the NFC championship game.
03:15
It's not a slight on Washington.
03:16
It just tells you how deep the NFC is expected to be this year.
03:20
And I think they make the playoffs, but I'm just going with the odds.
03:22
I don't think they get to the NFC championship game.
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