New Hurricane Prediction: Fewer Storms But Higher Risks

WooGlobe

The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast just changed — and here's why it matters. Top expert Dr. Phil Klotzbach and his team have slightly downgraded their storm outlook, predicting 16 named storms instead of 17. The shift is due to increased wind shear over the Caribbean, which can weaken or prevent storm formation. But don’t get too comfortable — ocean temperatures remain warm, and the odds of a hurricane hitting the U.S. coast are still above average. With an active season still expected and even small storms capable of serious damage, it’s a reminder that preparation is key. Watch this quick breakdown to stay informed and ready. WooGlobe Ref : WGA221643 For licensing and to use this video, please email licensing@wooglobe.com

Transcript

00:00This year's Atlantic hurricane season forecast just took a turn.

00:03Top hurricane expert Dr. Phil Klotzbach and his team

00:06have trimmed their storm prediction from 17 to 16 named storms for 2025.

00:12Why the change?

00:14It all comes down to a hostile Caribbean atmosphere.

00:17Powerful wind shear, that's when wind changes speed or direction with height,

00:21is making it harder for storms to form and grow.

00:24Only three tropical storms have formed so far, and none have reached hurricane strength.

00:28Still, this season is predicted to be slightly above average with eight hurricanes expected,

00:33down from nine originally forecast.

00:36So what's keeping things active?

00:38Warmer-than-usual Atlantic waters are creating fuel for storms,

00:42even though they're not as hot as last year's record levels.

00:45And in the Pacific, things are neutral, no El Nino or La Nina,

00:49which usually makes Atlantic storms more likely.

00:52Here's the bottom line.

00:53There's a 48% chance a hurricane hits the U.S. coast this year.

00:57A major hurricane in the Caribbean?

00:5953% chance.

01:01Even small storms can still cause big damage,

01:04like Chantal, which brought deadly floods to North Carolina.

01:07So don't let your guard down.

01:09It only takes one storm to change everything.

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