Top NHL Goal Scorers: Odds and Predictions for 2025-26

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00:00The Rocket Richard, George, which of course goes to the guy who scores the most goals in the NHL.

00:07We know that it's kind of been the same guys around this thing the last couple of years.

00:13Dreisaitl and Matthews are the two favorites by a pretty significant margin.

00:18They're both in the threes.

00:20Then you dip down to Kaprizov and then Pasternak.

00:25I actually see Pasternak at even less time.

00:28That's a good number we have on that board there, 15, because I'm looking at a book that has Pasternak at 9.

00:33So if you get Pasternak at 15, by all means, go ahead and get it.

00:39McDavid, Nylander, Tage Thompson on my board at 20-1.

00:43Most goals scored.

00:44It's usually the usual suspects, right, George, when you look at a market like this?

00:50Listen, I already said Austin Matthews, it's going to come down to do you believe the wrist is healed, right?

00:55And I don't know.

00:57That was a lingering issue all season long.

00:59We have not heard.

01:00Listen, you and I were complaining before the show, right?

01:02Hockey, funny hockey news in July can be rough here.

01:04So I don't know what's going on with them.

01:06Are they going to have surgeries?

01:07Are you rehabbing?

01:07What's the deal here?

01:08But that wrist was bothering him all of last season.

01:10So that's definitely a concern there.

01:11Plus no Mitch Marner, which granted may not be a total kill.

01:15There's still a lot of talent there with Nylander, Matthew Neves, who re-signed to Lars and such.

01:20So I probably don't feel great about Matthews, not with the injury.

01:24Listen, I'm Captain Chalk.

01:26I think it's going to be Dreisaitl, all right?

01:28That one time on the power play in the low circle is just devastating.

01:31He never misses the damn net.

01:33And McDavid's looking for him over and over.

01:35They're all looking for him for him to hit that shot here.

01:38So it's hard not to take Dreisaitl.

01:40McDavid's more of a points guy, right, than he is a goals guy.

01:43So I don't think he's going to get the most goals.

01:44You probably need 60.

01:45You and I were already talking about Wedgkin.

01:47Okay, they had a magical year, but that's not happening again.

01:49So he's not going to have that kind of year.

01:51And once again, McKinnon, so a lot of points.

01:53Guys, Kucherov, they're sort of a mixture of both.

01:55I'm going to be with the chalk here with Leon Dreisaitl, a team that scores 1,000 goals.

02:00They just want to get him the puck over and over again.

02:02Trying to find you some interesting deep shots, maybe.

02:05How about, you know, Rantanen's 22-1.

02:11You know, it's obviously a little different.

02:13How many guys on that team?

02:14I know, that's the thing.

02:16Like, is he going to be able to score the amount of goals he did playing with McKinnon?

02:21And look, he's got talent.

02:23He's going to be playing with talented guys in Dallas.

02:25There's no doubt about that.

02:27But it's just a different structure.

02:31And you've got a new coach coming in.

02:32The whole thing could change around, honestly, in Dallas.

02:36Jake Gensel, 60-1.

02:41Not much of a good, but he's a guy who generally gets hurt a lot as well.

02:44Well, yeah.

02:44And I think you would need some of those guys at the top to get hurt for him to maybe have a chance at that.

02:51Like, you would need – I think any of these deep shots, you would need some of those guys to miss time in order to get them up there.

02:58In the deep shot, though, you're sort of – you're accepting this risk, right?

03:01You're accepting the risk.

03:02Okay, I need Gensel to play 75, 77 games.

03:05And I need other guys not to have down years or get hurt.

03:08So, you're accepting that.

03:09Gensel, by the way, he did play 80 games last year.

03:12And even the – he has an injury history.

03:16But his last four years, he's averaging about 75 games.

03:20That's not terrible here.

03:22But he's also averaging about 40 goals.

03:25He's going to need to – you know, he's going to need to bring that up about 25% to even have a shot at this.

03:30He may need to bring that up 50% to get 60.

03:32So, I don't like my chances here again.

03:35So, but at 60 – listen, 60 to 1, like I said, you're accepting the risk.

03:38You're going for the odds.

03:39Right.

03:40And look, everybody else is real deep.

03:42I mean, I know I go back to Panarin because I feel like Panarin's numbers were in the same range, George, as some of these other guys.

03:51Like, Panarin is 100 to 1 to score the most goals.

03:57Like, let's say he has a monster year.

04:00It's – oh, 300 to 1, George.

04:02I'm sorry.

04:03300 to 1 for Panarin.

04:05It's just it's not a bad dart throw to have if he has a monster year.

04:10He had 29 two years ago.

04:11He had 37 last year.

04:1350 is not another possibility here.

04:15It's not.

04:16All it takes is a little bit of a – you know, your power play kicks a little bit more for a good stretch.

04:21You get – you know, you add a few more here.

04:24300 to 1 for a guy who you just said can get in the 40s without usually breaking a sweat.

04:30But probably – I wouldn't mind that.

04:33I wouldn't mind that.

04:33Awe Bandra going up at the party.

04:38Can I give you some water?

04:41You could turn it into my head.

04:42Bestinson's number of efficiencies.

04:44I'll show you everything.

04:45unning?

04:46What Amanda's next?

04:461 to 500 kg.

04:472 to 75 kg.

04:482 to 65 kg.

04:482 to 75 kg.

04:503 to 65 kg.

04:513 to 56 kg.

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