Angels vs. Braves: Elder to Pitch, Atlanta Favored at Home

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00:00Let's go to Atlanta now.

00:01A little bit later on in the day, it's the Braves and the Angels once again.

00:05Bryce Elder gets the nod for Atlanta.

00:07They're a minus 152 home money line favorite.

00:10Those lines increasing in favor of the Braves at home.

00:14Over-understands at 9, East versus West, kind of East, Southeast Atlanta.

00:20The Braves taking on the Angels today.

00:23What do you like?

00:24Yeah, by the way, you take a look at Elder.

00:26Not a very good pitcher for me.

00:27Over his last 45 days, he does have an average XFIP number of a 99, that XFIP minus.

00:33But his ERA is 8.25.

00:34And by the way, take a look at it as an equal opportunity guy.

00:37They get hit by both lefties and righties.

00:39Yeah, that's him.

00:40Zach Neto, Noah Chanuel.

00:41You take a look at Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Joe Adele, even Kevin Newman in that lineup.

00:45All high weighted on base percentages and ISO power numbers against right into pitching.

00:48But by the way, like yesterday, you said, I needed over three and a half for the Angels.

00:53They scored two runs in the first and they ended up with three runs.

00:55And it wasn't until a Jorge Soler solo shot, excuse me, in the ninth inning to get them that third run.

01:01But Jose Soriano, let me just give you a little bit of a piece of what he's doing this season, Ben.

01:06418 batters faced.

01:07An ISO against 071.

01:09His last 30 days, an ISO against 083.

01:11He's been fantastic.

01:12What if I told you he's number two on the card today with an XFIP minus of 82?

01:16Even though his ERA is high at 4.60, his XFIP number brings that back down to a 3.38.

01:22A strikeout pitcher and a ground ball pitcher?

01:26I don't want to say the wrong team is favored today, but give me the plus 118 price on the Angels.

01:30The better pitcher on the mound and a lineup that should be able to hit Elder.

01:33Why not go for the small upset?

01:34Why not go for the small basket?

01:51Why not go for vielleicht 10 a month?