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Angels vs. Braves: Elder to Pitch, Atlanta Favored at Home
SportsGrid
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00:00
Let's go to Atlanta now.
00:01
A little bit later on in the day, it's the Braves and the Angels once again.
00:05
Bryce Elder gets the nod for Atlanta.
00:07
They're a minus 152 home money line favorite.
00:10
Those lines increasing in favor of the Braves at home.
00:14
Over-understands at 9, East versus West, kind of East, Southeast Atlanta.
00:20
The Braves taking on the Angels today.
00:23
What do you like?
00:24
Yeah, by the way, you take a look at Elder.
00:26
Not a very good pitcher for me.
00:27
Over his last 45 days, he does have an average XFIP number of a 99, that XFIP minus.
00:33
But his ERA is 8.25.
00:34
And by the way, take a look at it as an equal opportunity guy.
00:37
They get hit by both lefties and righties.
00:39
Yeah, that's him.
00:40
Zach Neto, Noah Chanuel.
00:41
You take a look at Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Joe Adele, even Kevin Newman in that lineup.
00:45
All high weighted on base percentages and ISO power numbers against right into pitching.
00:48
But by the way, like yesterday, you said, I needed over three and a half for the Angels.
00:53
They scored two runs in the first and they ended up with three runs.
00:55
And it wasn't until a Jorge Soler solo shot, excuse me, in the ninth inning to get them that third run.
01:01
But Jose Soriano, let me just give you a little bit of a piece of what he's doing this season, Ben.
01:06
418 batters faced.
01:07
An ISO against 071.
01:09
His last 30 days, an ISO against 083.
01:11
He's been fantastic.
01:12
What if I told you he's number two on the card today with an XFIP minus of 82?
01:16
Even though his ERA is high at 4.60, his XFIP number brings that back down to a 3.38.
01:22
A strikeout pitcher and a ground ball pitcher?
01:26
I don't want to say the wrong team is favored today, but give me the plus 118 price on the Angels.
01:30
The better pitcher on the mound and a lineup that should be able to hit Elder.
01:33
Why not go for the small upset?
01:34
Why not go for the small basket?
01:51
Why not go for vielleicht 10 a month?
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