Phillies Host Padres in a Stellar Pitching Matchup on Tuesday

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00:00Today, it's one of Donnie's favorites, pitching Nick Pravetta on the bump in Philadelphia.

00:04But Christopher Sanchez on the other side for the Titans, minus 162.

00:09That home money line price in favor of Philly.

00:12In Philly, total is eight and a half.

00:15Will the Phillies make it two straight against San Diego here to start off this midweek set?

00:20Yes, they will.

00:20They're going to win this game again.

00:21Like them yesterday, run line minus one and a half.

00:23Just got burned a little bit on that team.

00:24Total over four and a half.

00:25They scored four runs, had the three-run home run taken away.

00:28But they had the four runs by the fifth inning.

00:30So again, six, seventh, and eighth innings.

00:31No runs there, but a victory still for the Philadelphia Phillies.

00:34Let's understand something again.

00:36The Phillies, every single day, they are better than your rotation.

00:40And that includes Christopher Sanchez, who will be on the mound today.

00:42His last 45 days been in Major League Baseball.

00:45How about an X-fit minus number of 71?

00:47It's stellar.

00:47That's second best on the card today.

00:49An ERA over the past 45 days, 2.68.

00:52An X-whip of 2.83.

00:54Nothing short of spectacular.

00:55And let's look at the optics here of how he got to those numbers.

00:58His last 133 batters that he's faced.

01:02How about a walk percentage of only 4.5%.

01:04How about an ISO power number of 0.64?

01:07A weighted on base percentage of 233 and a K rate of 25%.

01:11He's been spectacular this entire season.

01:13Louie Rice, Manny Machado, Jackson Merrill.

01:15Plus batters with weighted on base percentage against left-handed pitching.

01:18The rest of that lineup is terrible.

01:20Now flip it over to the Phillies, because we do like what Pavetta has done.

01:23And on the card today, Ben, over the past 45 days, he does come in 7th on the card.

01:27An 83 X-fip minus.

01:29A 3.66 ERA to go with a 3.33 X-fip number.

01:34You look at the lineup today.

01:35It's better for the Phillies than it is for the Padres.

01:37So understand this.

01:38Better lineup for the Phillies.

01:39Better pitcher on the mound.

01:40Even though Pavetta is a good one, Sanchez is better.

01:43You see that 8.5 total?

01:44It's 81 degrees with the wind blowing out.

01:46And maybe the San Diego Bats wake up.

01:48But you saw what you saw last night.

01:504-0 final.

01:51I'm not saying 4-0 tonight.

01:53But I don't think we get nine runs.

01:55So I do think the Phillies win.

01:56It's a higher price.

01:57But I don't think we get the nine runs regardless if the Phillies win or not.

02:00I'm taking the under in Philadelphia.

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