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A powerful low-pressure system off the NSW coast is whipping up dangerous surf, strong winds and heavy rainfall, with the potential to trigger flash flooding.
Transcript
00:00What we've seen overnight obviously many communities had a very sunny fine day
00:05yesterday. Went to bed but overnight and waking up this morning they're finding
00:10that there are some strong winds and some significant rainfalls that are
00:14happening right across the east coast from up in the north at Coffs Harbour
00:18right through down to even the New South Wales Victorian border. So it's a very
00:24significant widespread dynamic and complex system. We do expect that we will
00:30see wind gusts in pockets of up to 125 kilometres per hour. We do expect that we
00:37will see rainfall from moderate to heavy in many areas from 50 millimetres right
00:45through to 150 millimetres and in some pockets isolated rainfalls of in excess
00:50of 200 millimetres. Whilst the impacts at the moment are more in the mid north
00:56coast area we are seeing impacts already in Sydney and Illawarra and down the
01:02coast. These as this system tracks southwards we will expect to see greater
01:08impacts from mid afternoon today into tonight and tomorrow for the Sydney
01:13Illawarra and south coast areas. This system will continue to move southward and
01:20likely remain active until at least Thursday. So for communities in New South
01:26Wales along the coast you can expect the most impacts from midday today right
01:33through tomorrow. Now in terms of those winds it's likely that we'll see some
01:39damaging winds of around you know 60 to 70 kilometres an hour and gusts of about 90
01:44to 110 kilometres an hour. That includes across parts of the ranges but also nearer
01:48the coast. This includes southern parts of the mid north coast, the Hunter, Sydney and
01:53down through the Illawarra and parts of the south coast. Now as we start to see
01:57that low pressure system deepen further today and move a little bit further south
02:00the threat of destructive wind gusts is going to increase. So what we're talking
02:04about here is destructive wind gusts of around 125 kilometres an hour being
02:08possible right along the coastal fringe and we're expecting that that risk is
02:12going to shift southwards towards parts of Sydney and potentially parts of the
02:15Illawarra even as far south as Jarvis Bay or Ulladulla. Now this system is quite
02:20dynamic and quite vigorous and we're expecting conditions to escalate through
02:24the afternoon. What this means is that's why we're looking at that wind potential
02:28increasing but also that threat of heavy rainfall increasing. This is most likely
02:33for areas across the Illawarra as well as parts of Sydney. This means that we have a
02:37greater flash flood risk and with potential for some fairly heavy falls to
02:41develop over a short period of time and we could see some of those falls in
02:44excess of 100 or 120 millimetres over the course of three to six hours. So that
02:49is one thing to be prepared for but what we will see in terms of some of these
02:53conditions easing is once we start to see that low weaken and shift further
02:57offshore. So in terms of the timing of that we are still expecting the low to move
03:01further south through tonight and that rainfall threat will shift down towards the
03:06southern parts of the New South Wales coast but then we start to see numerous low
03:10pressure centres within a broader area of low pressure across the Tasman Sea and
03:14that's when we'll start to see conditions ease in New South Wales. So at this stage
03:18the earliest that we'll see some of those warnings being cancelled from the
03:21weather side of things is going to be potentially later Wednesday or more likely
03:26on Thursday with that wind threat persisting into Thursday.

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