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00:00Yeah, I want to read a little bit more of the article that I was just referring to
00:04and pick up on a couple of the points there, because you go on to say that in the past,
00:07it was Iran and its proxies that too often set the pace and the agenda of peace and war in the
00:15Middle East. It was Iran's threats and American weakness that compelled Arab states to hedge
00:21their policies and avoid provoking the beast. You go on to say that things have changed. I mean,
00:27what are the main changes? Just outline them for us. Well, the Iranians' basic requirement of any
00:34state, sovereign state, is to deter attacks and defend their people. And they proved incapable of,
00:40not only incapable of doing both, but they actually brought on the very thing that they said they were
00:45trying to avoid, which was a military campaign that no one really wanted against Iran because of the
00:49behavior of its proxies. Now they no longer have even an air defense system that's meaningfully,
00:55you know, capable of defending their skies. So Israel, the United States, anybody else can wander
01:00with will across their airspace. So this is a devastating situation for an autocracy that's
01:05already not very popular. And the pillars of the regime at this point really were the IRGC.
01:12And they have been, their command and control has been decimated by Iranian, excuse me, by Israeli
01:17actions and humiliated by the United States' ability to conduct this operation against their nuclear sites.
01:23So, you know, there's no organized opposition in Iran, and I'm not predicting regime change overnight.
01:28But this is a regime that is in terrible, I mean, they're on the ropes. They're in a terrible situation.

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