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Report
U.S consumer is stronger than the data shows
The Street
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6/24/2025
Nancy Tengler, CEO of Laffer Tangler Investments, explains why the American consumer is stronger than reports show.
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Sports
Transcript
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00:00
How are you thinking about the consumer overall? We did, of course, see retail sales fall more than
00:05
expected last month. The economy, though, has been pretty resilient. The consumer has been
00:11
pretty resilient. Is that kind of the first signs of cracks that we're seeing in the consumer? And
00:16
what does that mean for the overall economy? Well, Caroline, I think what we saw was the
00:20
consumer that pulled back after actually bringing increasing demand ahead of the tariffs,
00:27
so sort of front running the tariffs. And then you saw a breather afterwards. But what you also saw,
00:33
no one's really talking about, is that the savings rate went up for the very same reason.
00:38
People tend to spend out of what is called their permanent income, and then they save the rest.
00:44
Well, because they had spent so much the previous month, you saw savings increase. That's going to
00:49
provide a cushion. I don't think the consumer is done. It's going to, you know, it's not going to be
00:54
sort of bullish across every retail environment. There's going to be winners and losers. But I do
01:02
think that the consumer is still healthy. Average hourly earnings have gone up. I don't think we're
01:07
done yet with the consumer.
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