Game Five Preview: Betting Insights & Key Player Stats

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00:00Something you're looking for with Game 5 a few days away?

00:03Well, immediately I would say I would love to take a live number on the Thunder,

00:08obviously better than what it currently is.

00:11I don't want to be laying 9.5, but that may never come.

00:14I mean, I would love to get a 3 or 4 on the Thunder if the Pacers get off the hot start.

00:18But outside of that, because it's a market that is yet to be materialized,

00:23OKC team total over 116.5.

00:27Shot horrendous.

00:29Especially from 3.

00:30Now, in the game overall as a team, 47%, that's fine.

00:34But 3 of 16, just the volume of 3s was low.

00:37The percentage is, again, terrible.

00:39They'll be back at home.

00:41They got to come out firing, and that's what I expect.

00:44So as of now, 116.5 over for OKC is where I'm looking.

00:47You know, for me, it's got to be about the start.

00:50Because as momentum has been snatched away from you,

00:54I think the first quarter for Indiana,

00:56if they're going to win this series, I think they – I know this sounds crazy.

01:02They're not going to win game seven in OKC.

01:06So they got to get game four.

01:07I mean game five.

01:08Which means they need a quick start.

01:10They need a really good start.

01:13And I went to this for game three.

01:15Same number.

01:16I'm jumping back into it in game five.

01:19And that's Tyrese Halliburton over four and a half points in the first quarter,

01:22plus money.

01:23I was there, too.

01:23He's got – yeah, he's got to show me something.

01:27And he's got to get off to a good start.

01:29Because I think that that becomes critical for them and what they need to do.

01:35So over four and a half points in the first quarter is something I'm looking at.

01:39And then, you know, if you want to parlay it, because we've kind of went after him a little bit,

01:45Pascal Siak minus 146, over four and a half points.

01:49I need – if we're going to be in this game, and maybe this game may go up and down a little bit,

01:54and Kevin, you know, talked about this.

01:55We talked about this last night.

01:56And if I remember, Kevin said, if game four goes under, game five's going over.

02:02And to quote Kevin Walsh.

02:03So if he thinks that, still, I think that you've got to get 10-plus points from those two.

02:09So either over four and a half, over four and a half, or there's something that they put out there

02:14to see, you know, Halliburton and Siakam 10-plus points in the first quarter.

02:20That's something I want to jump on if it comes out.

02:22Yeah, so I can't wait to bet this total.

02:26Except I am waiting because maybe it'll keep dropping.

02:30This was – you know, when Tom and I had the conversation last Saturday,

02:35and I said – or maybe it was even game one.

02:37I was like, I hope you're right.

02:39Oh, yeah.

02:39Because that will be the opportunity.

02:42And this is the thing, your OKC team total pick.

02:46I agree with everything you said.

02:48My only thing is, are you sure you want to leave the Pacers out of it

02:51with the fact that this Indiana team has not been held under, let's call it 110,

02:57to keep it simple, in consecutive games this postseason?

03:01I think – I mean, it's like – I don't want to say, like, you can be right on both.

03:06Yeah.

03:06Like, I – and this is in reference to you talking about the game total,

03:09I'm talking about just the Thunder team total.

03:11Yeah.

03:12I think they both can be fine.

03:13Mm-hmm.

03:14I am – I would say I would have more concern with the Pacers.

03:17But do you see a 120 to 98 type of game on the board?

03:23Not – that's – hey, my final score is this.

03:26So, if they go over 116, they would – I mean –

03:29Yeah, because I don't think you're expecting an inch past the number, right?

03:32No, right.

03:32So, if they go over the Thunder, then just go over 116 and a half.

03:35If they get to, let's say, 118, let's keep the math simple,

03:38and then the Pacers are at 100, we are going over the number comfortably.

03:43Mm-hmm.

03:43So, yeah, I think both can be true.

03:45And that, to me, is, again, why this number is going to be incredibly tempting.

03:51And that's why – you know, we can talk about it later.

03:55Here's where I'm at, though, in terms of the – where the series is right now.

04:00I entered the series saying to myself, the Pacers could win a road game, just one,

04:05and they could win two of three home games, right?

04:08So far, they've checked the box, right?

04:11So, maybe they can win game six.

04:12They can't win the series, though.

04:13It was really my thought coming in.

04:15And also just – well, there's no way they win again in OKC.

04:19The one thing that's changing for me a little is the way they won game one,

04:26I wonder if that almost is its own separate thing.

04:31Like, if we win a game like – so, against the Knicks, right?

04:36They won that game on the road, the crazy game.

04:39They won in MSG again.

04:41They won – the crazy game against the Bucs was at home.

04:45The crazy game against the Cavs, they won two other games in Cleveland.

04:49I am not telling you that I am picking the Pacers to win this series.

04:55But I – again, and this has been true the whole way.

05:01Should the Thunder be favorites?

05:02Yes.

05:04Am I willing to grab the Pacers right now at plus 430?

05:07Not really.

05:09I don't need to.

05:10But it is too big a number.

05:12They are not dead.

05:14The Thunder have not – I feel as if how I felt during the Denver series has helped me a lot in this series.

05:24Because I was the guy who walked up to every Denver game,

05:27and you guys both kindly laughed at me, and you should have.

05:31Like, oh, the Thunder are going to win this game by 28 points.

05:34And it's like, oh, they lost again.

05:35Or, oh, they won and did not cover again.

05:38And I think a lot of people elsewhere are going through that with this series.

05:43I think a lot of people out there are – every time the Thunder step on the court against the Pacers,

05:49expecting them to win by 15 plus, I don't expect that.

05:53I really don't.

05:54I would be pretty surprised that – like, you're like, hey,

05:57you think this is probably going to be done in six now?

05:59Why are they winning three straight against this Pacers team?

06:02That would be pretty stunning based on what we've seen.

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