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00:00Something you're looking for with Game 5 a few days away?
00:03Well, immediately I would say I would love to take a live number on the Thunder,
00:08obviously better than what it currently is.
00:11I don't want to be laying 9.5, but that may never come.
00:14I mean, I would love to get a 3 or 4 on the Thunder if the Pacers get off the hot start.
00:18But outside of that, because it's a market that is yet to be materialized,
00:23OKC team total over 116.5.
00:27Shot horrendous.
00:29Especially from 3.
00:30Now, in the game overall as a team, 47%, that's fine.
00:34But 3 of 16, just the volume of 3s was low.
00:37The percentage is, again, terrible.
00:39They'll be back at home.
00:41They got to come out firing, and that's what I expect.
00:44So as of now, 116.5 over for OKC is where I'm looking.
00:47You know, for me, it's got to be about the start.
00:50Because as momentum has been snatched away from you,
00:54I think the first quarter for Indiana,
00:56if they're going to win this series, I think they – I know this sounds crazy.
01:02They're not going to win game seven in OKC.
01:06So they got to get game four.
01:07I mean game five.
01:08Which means they need a quick start.
01:10They need a really good start.
01:13And I went to this for game three.
01:15Same number.
01:16I'm jumping back into it in game five.
01:19And that's Tyrese Halliburton over four and a half points in the first quarter,
01:22plus money.
01:23I was there, too.
01:23He's got – yeah, he's got to show me something.
01:27And he's got to get off to a good start.
01:29Because I think that that becomes critical for them and what they need to do.
01:35So over four and a half points in the first quarter is something I'm looking at.
01:39And then, you know, if you want to parlay it, because we've kind of went after him a little bit,
01:45Pascal Siak minus 146, over four and a half points.
01:49I need – if we're going to be in this game, and maybe this game may go up and down a little bit,
01:54and Kevin, you know, talked about this.
01:55We talked about this last night.
01:56And if I remember, Kevin said, if game four goes under, game five's going over.
02:02And to quote Kevin Walsh.
02:03So if he thinks that, still, I think that you've got to get 10-plus points from those two.
02:09So either over four and a half, over four and a half, or there's something that they put out there
02:14to see, you know, Halliburton and Siakam 10-plus points in the first quarter.
02:20That's something I want to jump on if it comes out.
02:22Yeah, so I can't wait to bet this total.
02:26Except I am waiting because maybe it'll keep dropping.
02:30This was – you know, when Tom and I had the conversation last Saturday,
02:35and I said – or maybe it was even game one.
02:37I was like, I hope you're right.
02:39Oh, yeah.
02:39Because that will be the opportunity.
02:42And this is the thing, your OKC team total pick.
02:46I agree with everything you said.
02:48My only thing is, are you sure you want to leave the Pacers out of it
02:51with the fact that this Indiana team has not been held under, let's call it 110,
02:57to keep it simple, in consecutive games this postseason?
03:01I think – I mean, it's like – I don't want to say, like, you can be right on both.
03:06Yeah.
03:06Like, I – and this is in reference to you talking about the game total,
03:09I'm talking about just the Thunder team total.
03:11Yeah.
03:12I think they both can be fine.
03:13Mm-hmm.
03:14I am – I would say I would have more concern with the Pacers.
03:17But do you see a 120 to 98 type of game on the board?
03:23Not – that's – hey, my final score is this.
03:26So, if they go over 116, they would – I mean –
03:29Yeah, because I don't think you're expecting an inch past the number, right?
03:32No, right.
03:32So, if they go over the Thunder, then just go over 116 and a half.
03:35If they get to, let's say, 118, let's keep the math simple,
03:38and then the Pacers are at 100, we are going over the number comfortably.
03:43Mm-hmm.
03:43So, yeah, I think both can be true.
03:45And that, to me, is, again, why this number is going to be incredibly tempting.
03:51And that's why – you know, we can talk about it later.
03:55Here's where I'm at, though, in terms of the – where the series is right now.
04:00I entered the series saying to myself, the Pacers could win a road game, just one,
04:05and they could win two of three home games, right?
04:08So far, they've checked the box, right?
04:11So, maybe they can win game six.
04:12They can't win the series, though.
04:13It was really my thought coming in.
04:15And also just – well, there's no way they win again in OKC.
04:19The one thing that's changing for me a little is the way they won game one,
04:26I wonder if that almost is its own separate thing.
04:31Like, if we win a game like – so, against the Knicks, right?
04:36They won that game on the road, the crazy game.
04:39They won in MSG again.
04:41They won – the crazy game against the Bucs was at home.
04:45The crazy game against the Cavs, they won two other games in Cleveland.
04:49I am not telling you that I am picking the Pacers to win this series.
04:55But I – again, and this has been true the whole way.
05:01Should the Thunder be favorites?
05:02Yes.
05:04Am I willing to grab the Pacers right now at plus 430?
05:07Not really.
05:09I don't need to.
05:10But it is too big a number.
05:12They are not dead.
05:14The Thunder have not – I feel as if how I felt during the Denver series has helped me a lot in this series.
05:24Because I was the guy who walked up to every Denver game,
05:27and you guys both kindly laughed at me, and you should have.
05:31Like, oh, the Thunder are going to win this game by 28 points.
05:34And it's like, oh, they lost again.
05:35Or, oh, they won and did not cover again.
05:38And I think a lot of people elsewhere are going through that with this series.
05:43I think a lot of people out there are – every time the Thunder step on the court against the Pacers,
05:49expecting them to win by 15 plus, I don't expect that.
05:53I really don't.
05:54I would be pretty surprised that – like, you're like, hey,
05:57you think this is probably going to be done in six now?
05:59Why are they winning three straight against this Pacers team?
06:02That would be pretty stunning based on what we've seen.