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  • 6/7/2025
Transcript
00:00sky fever no caitlin clark it's a two and a half point line in favor of the road fever here
00:07uh the sky have won two straight entering this game they've not played in a week for some reason
00:14because the wmba schedule occasionally is just all over the place so we've not seen this guy
00:18playing a little bit the fever again road favorites but without caitlin clark uh tom
00:24they do enter this game coming off of their first win since the clark injury
00:31see that it's like you get after caitlin clark is injured like okay you can you lose to new york
00:38we understand that right very very simple then you lose to washington and then you lose to
00:44connecticut that's unacceptable then you bounce back and then you finally beat washington so
00:49the level of consistency we're getting from the fever obviously it varies but this is
00:54a matchup they should be winning how many times on this show to start the season has coach jy who's
00:59not here will be back next week with you tomorrow has talked about the chicago side being one of if
01:05not the actual worst team in the league so to me this comes down to seeing a well-rounded effort and
01:11that's going to start with kelsey mitchell and then duana bonner both putting together good games at the
01:16same time they won kelsey mitchell 24 points in the most recent game duana bonner only nine off the
01:22bench so between her uh bonner off the bench and alia boston it has to be a three-headed monster
01:27for them it can't just be one of them doing the heavy lifting by themselves so i think the i think
01:32the fever come away with it i again we can't we can't get into too much to a player talk about chicago
01:39the chicago sky unless you want to i mean look the angel reese piece of it we know we probably will a
01:46little bit um i just want to the one thing that i've noticed tom the mvp odds for caitlin clark
01:59are sitting very steady and since we've last been here on this show the aja wilson odds have fallen
02:10back quite a bit we have we did talk i believe it was on this show about how brianna stewart's
02:16you know i don't know if it was 60 or 80 to one at the time number could grow shorter at the liberty
02:20keep looking this great and they just keep looking this great so that number's been cut down quite a
02:27bit but it does i am not sure what it is that is specifically stopping the books from moving the
02:38clark odds back is it just a fear of bets are people betting the clark number is there this belief
02:47that when people are voting at the end of this season we're going to remember the struggles that
02:53they're going through right now in her absence as one of the primary cases to make i mean it's it's
02:59going to be any combination of those things where nefisha collier is going to have unbelievable stats but
03:06you could say that the the team around her is so much stronger and and therefore you know they're
03:12not going to move that number yeah i think part of it is that they're never going to hang a five to
03:15five to one six to one number on caitlin car just just out of pure solely protecting themselves right
03:21it's just pure risk risk uh avoidance from the books okay so you're never going to get an eight to
03:26one you're never going to get a nine to one they have to keep it at a spot where it is at least
03:31enticing to bet but it's also reasonable from a risk management perspective we can make the case
03:37that i believe audra wilson she was at eight to one last week down 12 to 12 she shouldn't be there
03:42to me it should be five to one four to one and that's the other numbers then are jumping a little
03:51bit off the page because the clark number has to stay in a certain range again caitlin clark right
03:56now has only played four games but 19.6 boards 9.3 assists and a team that at the time was two and
04:03two they had just really pushed to liberty uh you know she had three double doubles within those four
04:08games triple double starts yes certainly so which was what a moment um the thing is you you look at
04:15this race right now and the defisha collier number is kind of even that number now feels a little
04:23strong to me so she's averaging 25 points a game which is a league best and just about eight rebounds
04:29she's a she's an excellent player but when you look at the two pillars of this award for the last
04:36which which are aja wilson and brianna stewart the last however many years just using some very basic
04:44advanced numbers player efficiency rating pr again not you know your favorite but you you know there's
04:50certain numbers you don't have at your disposal for the women's game yet aja leads at 33.3 fee is
04:57second at 31 uh brianna stewart is actually third in pr win shares brianna stewart's first at 2.2
05:05makes sense fees at two uh and then aja wilson is tied for fifth at 1.5 it is interesting though that
05:13fee right now is not first in any either two of those statistical categories i think the
05:20driving force for nefisha collier is the fact that the links are unbeaten now she missed the
05:27game they won the game they only want to buy three not covering effort i just i look at this race right
05:33now and again the market is telling us it's probably fee but if it's not it's caitlin that's not my read
05:41on this race at all i think there it's simply nefisha collier is just like the best player on the best
05:46team but that can't be the case when but they're not better than the yeah you're just as good they're
05:52better right now right they're so that the the brianna stewart and aja wilson numbers if you have
05:57no if you know position on any of these those would be the most interesting to look at and again caitlin
06:01clark is a fine number but again it's only going it's never going to move it's always going to be in
06:05that same spot just out of again risk
06:07you

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