OpenAI has finally confirmed the first stage of GPT-5's rollout—starting with the surprise launch of GPT-4.2 🔥💻. This gradual release strategy is turning heads in the AI world, raising huge questions about the future of artificial intelligence and its impact on society, jobs, and innovation.
In this video, we break down: 🔹 What’s new in GPT-4.2 🔹 How it leads into GPT-5’s full capabilities 🔹 The global shockwave it’s creating in tech and beyond 🔹 Why this matters more than ever for AI developers, startups, and users
💥 The age of advanced AI is accelerating. Don’t blink—this is the beginning of the next technological revolution. Stay tuned, stay informed, and subscribe for more mind-blowing AI news.
00:03But before you get too excited and start imagining a future where you're chatting with robots that are smarter than you,
00:09let me tell you something that might surprise you.
00:12GPT-5 will not be released all at once.
00:15Nope, not even close.
00:17Instead, it will be released incrementally in stages, with each new version building on the previous one.
00:24Why, you ask?
00:25Well, there are a few reasons, and I'm here to break it all down for you.
00:28First, let's talk about what we know about GPT-5 so far.
00:33Greg Brockman, the president and co-founder of OpenAI, recently tweeted about the company's plans for releasing GPT-5.
00:41Brockman made several interesting points in his tweet, but the most significant one for us is that GPT-5 will be released incrementally.
00:49Brockman explained that it's easy to create a continuum of incrementally better AIs by deploying subsequent checkpoints of a given training run.
00:56In simpler terms, this means that OpenAI will release GPT-5 in stages, with each stage being an improvement on the previous one.
01:06It's a bit like watching a toddler grow up.
01:08You don't wake up one day to find that they've suddenly turned into an adult.
01:12They grow and learn and develop over time, gradually becoming more and more capable.
01:17But how exactly will OpenAI create these incrementally better AIs?
01:21Well, let's say they're working on GPT-5, and they've already trained it on a huge data set of text from the Internet.
01:29At some point during this training process, they might decide to take a checkpoint, a snapshot of the current value of the parameters of the model,
01:37which is basically like taking a photo of the AI's current understanding of the data.
01:42Then they'll keep training the model on more data, or maybe just the same data more times,
01:47until it's improved to the point where they want to take another checkpoint.
01:51This new checkpoint will have updated parameters, reflecting the model's improved understanding of the data,
01:57and so on and so forth, until the model is deemed ready for release.
02:02Now, you might be wondering, but wait a minute, isn't GPT-4 already trained on all the data on the Internet?
02:08How can it get smarter than that?
02:09Well, my friend, I'm glad you asked.
02:12While it's true that GPT-4 has already been trained on a massive data set,
02:16there's still plenty of data out there that OpenAI could use to train it even further.
02:21In fact, they estimate that they still have an order of magnitude more data to work with,
02:26which means 10 times more data than they've already used.
02:30And when it comes to data, quality matters just as much as quantity.
02:33OpenAI could purchase proprietary data sets on specialized topics like math, science, or coding,
02:40which would give GPT-5 access to even more high-quality data.
02:44But here's the really interesting part.
02:46OpenAI doesn't just have to rely on existing data sets to improve GPT-5.
02:51They can also use your prompts, responses, uploaded images, and generated images to make their AI even smarter.
02:58Isn't it a wild thought that we are shaping the future of AI with our own curious minds and seemingly innocuous interactions?
03:07Every chat, every question, every prompt we toss at ChatGPT is like adding a little more lightning to the storm,
03:14bringing the next generation of GPT to life.
03:17Of course, there are some concerns around data privacy and the ethical implications of using people's personal data.
03:23And although it's a significant issue, I'm getting a little tired of reiterating the same points about safety and privacy.
03:30So, let's move on.
03:31Okay, now that we have a better understanding of how GPT-5 will be released incrementally and how it will be trained,
03:38let's talk about some of the potential implications of this new AI.
03:42First of all, it's important to note that GPT-5 will not be a magic solution to all of our problems.
03:48It will still have limitations and weaknesses, just like any other AI.
03:53For example, while GPT-5 will be able to generate incredibly sophisticated and nuanced text,
03:59it may still struggle with tasks that require a high degree of reliability or accuracy.
04:04As Ilya Sutskever, the chief scientist of OpenAI, has noted,
04:08reliability is a potential weakness of GPT-5 that could limit its real-world impact.
04:14So, what might those different checkpoints look like in terms of growing intelligence?
04:19Sebastian Bubeck, the author of the famous Sparks of AGI paper, provides a great example.
04:25He compares the growth of GPT-4's intelligence to that of a unicorn,
04:29using a chart that shows how GPT-4 improves its performance over time as it is trained more.
04:35You can see the gap between GPT-4 and Charge APT,
04:38and how Charge APT's unicorn improves over time as they keep training it.
04:42One of the most interesting points that Brockman made in his tweet
04:46was how he mentioned existential risks without dismissing them.
04:50He said,
04:52It's important to address the whole spectrum of risks,
04:55from present-day issues to longer-term existential ones.
04:59Existential, by the way, means threatening the entire existence of humanity.
05:04This is a major concern, and AI researchers are taking it seriously.
05:08Recent surveys have shown that 50% of AI researchers believe there's a 10% or greater chance
05:14that humans go extinct from our inability to control AI.
05:19That's a pretty scary thought, and it's not something that we should ignore.
05:23At the end of the tweet, Brockman said that the whole range of emotions, optimism, and concern
05:28is both justified and shared by people within OpenAI.
05:33Even people within OpenAI are concerned about the potential risks and dangers of AI.
05:38That's why it's important to address these risks,
05:40and make sure that we have the right guardrails in place to prevent any negative outcomes.
05:45So when can we expect GPT-5 to be released?
05:49Well, according to the guy behind Stable Diffusion,
05:52nobody is launching runs bigger than GPT-4 for 6 to 9 months anyway.
05:56Why?
05:57Because it needs the new H-100S to get scale,
06:00and they take time to be installed, burnt in, optimized, etc.
06:05Brockman also mentioned in his tweet
06:07that there might be a lag of safety testing
06:09after a model is trained and before it's released.
06:12This means that it could take some time
06:14before GPT-5 or 4.2 is released to the public.
06:18Based on these factors,
06:20my personal prediction is that we might see GPT-4.2
06:23released in about 6 to 8 months.
06:25However, this is just speculation,
06:28and it's hard to predict exactly when it will be released.
06:31What we do know is that OpenAI is taking their time
06:34to ensure that GPT-5 is as safe and reliable as possible
06:38before it's made available to the public.
06:40To wrap things up,
06:42the release of GPT-5 will likely be done incrementally,
06:45with subsequent checkpoints of a given training run
06:48being deployed to create a continuum of incrementally better AI models.
06:54OpenAI has a lot of data still available to use,
06:57including high-quality proprietary data sets
07:00and user-generated data.
07:02They're also taking steps to ensure that GPT-5 is safe and reliable,
07:07with guardrails in place to prevent any negative outcomes.
07:10While it's hard to predict exactly when GPT-5 will be released,
07:15it's clear that OpenAI is taking their time to get it right.
07:19Well, I guess we'll have to wait a bit longer
07:21for GPT-5 to take over the world.
07:23At least we have some time to brush up on our survival skills
07:27in case of an AI apocalypse.
07:29As we wait for the release of GPT-5,
07:32it's interesting to think about the potential impact
07:34that it could have on our world.
07:36While some people might imagine a future
07:38where robots take over jobs and render humans obsolete,
07:42there are other possibilities to consider.
07:44For instance,
07:45with the advancements in natural language processing
07:48that GPT-5 could bring,
07:50we might finally be able to bridge the gap
07:52between different languages and cultures.
07:55One cool way to use it would be as a real-time translator.
07:58So if you're speaking in English,
08:00the other person would hear what you're saying in their language,
08:03and vice versa.
08:04This could open up a world of possibilities
08:06for global understanding and cooperation.
08:08Thanks for watching, guys.
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