Geopolitical analyst Mark Sleboda joins Jamarl Thomas to expose the real story behind the recent attack on Russia’s military base in Syria. He breaks down what the mainstream media won’t tell you and reveals crucial updates from the Ukrainian battlefield, including strategic advances and shifting power dynamics. An unfiltered look at global conflict zones and the evolving chessboard of war. 🛰️📰
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NewsTranscript
00:00you mentioned syria i have to hit syria before um i let you go because i'm going to the battlefield
00:04but i want to also hit syria there were attacks that there were well there were reports that
00:09there were attacks on the russian base in tartarus i believe it's called um yeah yeah in syria and
00:18apparently these were jihadis i don't think it's coincidence that there's a jihadist government
00:23that trump just shook the man's hand told him hey great job great beard the guy looks tough
00:29tough history whatever the hell he said good looking yeah yeah yeah anything but saying i'm
00:34shaking hands with the former leader of both al-qaeda and isis in syria who was wanted with
00:41posters for a 10 million dollar bounty uh by by the united states even during the biden administration
00:49the hand that shaked has used to chop somebody's head off let's do far moralizing about dead people
00:57again right yeah um right i know exactly right but is it a coincidence that that base comes under now
01:07there are two parts to this one russians were protecting the alibi community that was being
01:11slaughtered by his dogs in syria there's that yeah meaning they were housing them at that military base
01:18yes does it have more to do with that it's like hey how dare you protect these innocent people that we
01:25want to chop their heads off or is it yay what got a call from trump that we need to put more
01:31pressure on russia and we don't want them in syria in the first place or for that matter as european
01:36backers that we don't want russia here in the first place so put pressure on the base i mean granted
01:42there's no way you know you can know as a flat fat but where does your mind go when you're seeing
01:48something like this because it's it's random that they're just all of a sudden hitting a russian base
01:53okay so this was may 20th and they hit a russian base right they hit an outpost on the outskirts
01:58drones were involved right they used drones and they used snipers uh and reportedly uh two russian
02:06soldiers were killed and four to five injured and at least two of uh the jihadis uh were killed um so
02:14a terrorist group claimed responsibility uh the group is saraya birkin al farat the euphrates volcano
02:24brigades right they are a group directly affiliated with hait tahir al sham um they um they uh the two
02:35killed were reported former members of hait tahir al sham right hait tahir al sham is just al qaeda rebranded
02:42right the the uh went when it came to dominate the the uh the entirety of the jihadi um forces uh that
02:53for years were holding out in northern idlib right and then were were brought in and and took over
02:59syria with turkish and western help right um so both of them were part of hait and and the new leader
03:07is the new you know warlord of syria is the terrorist warlord he al julani was the leader
03:13of hait tahir al sham right so both of the the two were killed are a member of were or were members of
03:21hait tahir al sham special unit known as the red bands right some type of elite jihadi special forces
03:29right so but what do we know there all right so first of all obviously this is it is extremely unlikely
03:36that this is some rogue element that was acting without julani's knowledge uh and uh you know
03:44uh permission um i mean that's the same thing he claimed as the jihadis you know uh ethnically
03:52cleanse and commit genocide uh killing hundreds if not thousands of uh alawites and uh syrian christians
04:00uh on the coast over the last uh couple of months right that you know that which has resulted in all of
04:07these refugees hiding and still you know being protected within the russian uh base there uh so
04:16is is this a change in position from erdogan right because erdogan seems interesting by all accounts
04:26who have previously wanted russia to remain there right that's possible i don't know that right i
04:34think that is probably the less likely oh mark i didn't even think of that please is it julani simply
04:40no longer agreeing with erdogan right they do because he's he's erdogan's proxy you know al qaeda is his
04:48proxy now governing syria but eventually you know it's it's he's going to have his own desires right
04:56and plans that that may conflict with erdogan or is this the british or the americans right uh or a
05:05far outside possibility the israelis i guess i don't think it was the israelis i think they also have an
05:12interest actually now now in russia remaining in bases there so uh i think it's entirely possible
05:19that this is british or u.s intelligence right uh uh pushing some members of julani's uh you know
05:26pushing julani to to send a signal you know a further signal a further poke uh at the russians i i think
05:34that's a distinct possibility we don't know for sure right yeah but uh i mean i i find it very unlikely
05:41likely that that julani did not know or did not at the very least green light and then you just have
05:48to ask well then who's behind julani in this particular situation is it erdogan uh i that i
05:57think is an outside possibility or is it more likely the british uh or the americans and i gotta be
06:03perfectly honest i think russia should pull out of these bases i think they should have already done so
06:07right they you you you you just can't possibly whatever advantages you know they have signals
06:14intelligence wise from you know radars or whatever in these bases and uh you know the ability to use
06:22them as air bases and naval bases at tardis i i think is outweighed by the fact of you know them
06:31existing in and essentially uh in islamic state and al-qaeda you know former isis new
06:37islamic state where syria used to be i i i think you can't maintain it now i do think
06:44that the russian government should evacuate all of the syrian all of the syrian alawites and christians
06:54and others right other minorities other other people you know and even if they're they're sunnis and
06:59they're not islamists anyone who wants to get out and not face the genocide that is still raging
07:06outside of russia's military bases in syria they should get them out they should evacuate them and
07:12they should provide them all with russian citizenship that that is my my personal belief i i must have
07:18willing to do that um obviously there's diplomatic concerns uh but i think we will at the very least see
07:29some type of eased or expedited citizenship at some point down the line it's it's possible that it's
07:37already happening now but if they got assad and his family out well then they can extend that help a
07:44little bit to the syrian people who were left behind when when assad fled uh the country with with al-qaeda's
07:52takeover that's that's my personal uh opinion very strongly held yeah and it's already a diplomatic
07:59kerfuffle because they want a side back to yes effectively executed and russia says no so i feel
08:07you i guess my thought is you know i agree with you on this by the way i agree with you if they leave
08:12those people there those people are going to be slaughtered full stop um i wanted the last thing i
08:17want to turn to is what's taking place on the battlefield so i've been seeing russia taking village
08:22after village after village that here you know there goes the belief that drones can somehow replace
08:29military power um because it doesn't seem like those drones are able to hold the line
08:34it doesn't matter i mean the the drones you know considering that the kiev regime has
08:39a dearth of artillery and air power and tanks and everything else at the battlefield now
08:47you know with with that in mind the kiev regime is doing a good job with with what drones it has
08:53right it uses them the fpv drones they're deadly um numbers as that as high as 75 in the mid 70s of
09:02russian casualties come from fpv drones yes yes yeah so 70 from drones and then another 20 from artillery
09:11and other types of long-range strikes and four percent from small arms fire from actual guns four
09:19percent so you never really see the person that killed you exactly that but that's been the story
09:24for most of this conflict right you know the the the videos we see on the telegram channels of of the you
09:31know of the small arms combat of storming trenches and night fights you know that is that that four
09:39percent just just to keep uh in mind uh so i mean they're doing a good job of what they have i'm always
09:46amazed that the kiev regime is able to keep its forces still fighting i mean it's not a surprise with the
09:51bandarite fascist ideologicals azof and idar and you know all of these others uh there's too numerous
09:59to name but there's a large number of conscripts right with no training just able to hold uh trenches
10:06and like and they're still able you know to keep all of their forces from crumbling uh all the time and
10:12that's always amazing to me so they're doing a good job but at the end of the day russia has more drones
10:19drones right and they have uh better drones and a wider variety of strike drones lancets you know uh
10:28or lawns you know um reconnaissance or they have just more and a better a better quality and and um
10:36better variety of drones right for more purposes and they've got everything else on top of that
10:42you know the the air power the fabs you know the uh electronic warfare advantage everything
10:49uh so yeah yeah so it's not a surprise but the western mainstream media will stay in denial
10:57and they'll continue to talk about crawling forward inches and stalemate until russia takes some
11:03particularly strategic location they just ignore that right in the middle of may right i don't i don't have
11:09numbers for every day and everything but there were at least three days in the middle of may we're not
11:14even out of may yet so a little over a week ago where i noticed that i you know took a look at the
11:20numbers and russia was taking 31 square kilometers a day that's what i mean right not all in one place
11:28right forward everywhere right but you know it's it's significant in a conflict like this in a war of
11:36attrition it's the it's still a war of attrition but the war of attrition the improvement of positions
11:44is happening much faster than it was before the kev regimes uh you know game of uh plug whenever there's
11:51a hole is running out of effectiveness they just can't defend everywhere it runs now uh russia is you
11:58you know they've got a big uh pocket that they are collapsing both uh in the area around pokrovsk and
12:06even more importantly in the uh limon um uh couponsk area there's a big pocket being uh collapsed there
12:15with the possibilities of of cauldrons or near cauldrons uh developing and the care the western media is
12:23making a big deal out of oh 50 000 troops poised in harkov right that had previously previously been
12:31involved in retaking kursk and now they're being redirected uh to harkov like like oh putin is about
12:39to march on harkov city no no 50 000 troops you need it's not enough at the very minimum 200 300 you know
12:48more troops 100 000 troops right to take uh a city right and harkov is is uh ukraine's second largest
12:57city right so 50 000 troops no now it's possible that that is a preparatory force and if the care
13:04regime doesn't rush significant amounts of reinforces and russia senses a weakness that in the you know then
13:11there will be a surge and that 50 000 will quickly climb but we'll see that now that won't that won't
13:17be so we'll hear about that that won't be something but right now no russia is not threatening to take
13:23harkov they're just improving their positions putin announced right and he's announced buffer zone before
13:31but now he's deadly serious right uh a buffer zone uh on the other side of um brian's uh kursk and uh
13:43uh uh brian's kursk and belgorod regions which approximates to uh sumi uh uh chornigoff um and um
13:56uh harkov region uh so that that is what is going on right now now is it just going to be a buffer zone
14:04well for now right but again as as things happen right um if you'll notice that the
14:13russian diplomats medinsky etc uh by by multiple accounts now both russian and ukrainian said well
14:21if you don't agree to evacuate these four regions now then it will be five then they said no it was
14:27eight well if you take five and you add harkov and sumi and chornigoff to that well then that's
14:36without even counting odessa nikolaev and the nipper pratovsk and by the way russia like is also has
14:43passed into over the last week uh pretty much definitively into the the nipper pratovsk region
14:50right you know they they they crossed the border into the nipper pratovsk grace some flags nothing you
14:56know big yet but that's that that's entering step area there which is not as you know far harder to
15:04defend uh from uh an opponent that has air power and long-range uh advantages like russia does then
15:11the the tight urban agglomerations and hilly uh um forested areas uh of the donbas uh so that uh
15:22that that will be another area that russia will be expanding into now much faster so that that is the
15:29front everywhere along the front russia is advancing there there really is nowhere along the front
15:35that they're not advancing they've supposedly in the past two weeks even crossed the nipper
15:41in hundreds of small boats and are you know whether that is a pressure campaign right simply to force the
15:48kiev regime to keep some troops there to spread them out even thinner all again everything depends
15:54everything is fluid right it's hard to have strategic surprise when both sides have 24 7 satellite and drone
16:05reconnaissance so the way you get around that is by keeping your forces fluid right so that whenever
16:13there is a weakness you could rapidly surge them into an area which means you don't make one offensive
16:21plan you make five of them you make five of them and maybe end up using two of them depending on how
16:26things develop you know a large part what your opponent does on the ground right when you're looking for
16:34those holes and the key to that is two things one having enough manpower which russia obviously has now
16:41uh and two um having an extremely developed logistic system that can move the equipment the fuel uh the uh
16:55munitions everything that's needed then for a rapid movement of troops in that direction and russia has
17:02that as well so that that is what you know that is the future of warfare that is when how you for the moment
17:11get around 24 7 satellite surveillance where surprise is certainly at the strategic level even at the
17:18tactical level becomes very difficult is by keeping your forces forces you know it sounds almost like something sun
17:26sue would say but keep them like water keep them fluid able to flow wherever you know there is a
17:32proverbial hole in the dam in which to surge into yeah there's no other way to do it i mean everybody can
17:39see what you're doing you put 10 troops together everybody already knows and you really get hit by drones and
17:45other forms of long-range strikes on either side that's why everything is so much small when there's large
17:53armies but there's actually usually very small numbers of actual infantry you know or combat forces
18:03along the front lines actually in engaged in what you would consider close quarters combat very small
18:11because any concentration of troops can be hit by the drones and the long-range strikes but wouldn't
18:16that be true for infantry also not infantry i'm sorry for um artillery like meaning for people
18:22who are doing these artillery or drone swarms and those type of things don't they have to organize
18:27in order to do those things or sure sure artillery has to stay spread out and hidden and constantly
18:34moving as well right which it helps because you'll notice that like these uh uh um american uh provided
18:43howitzers the triple sevens and everything they're towed that which makes them incredibly less efficient in
18:50this type of combat where the vast majority of the russian artillery pieces are self-propelled uh which
18:58enables them to move around uh quite a bit you know uh to to a higher uh significant height uh higher
19:04degree so um yeah mobility like horses or you mean by trucks by trucks by trucks yeah not no not horses yeah
19:14but by the way both side you you you've seen probably headlines of the western media oh russian
19:20putin's completely out of tanks and is you or or um you know vehicles and is using donkeys or uh he's so
19:29out of tanks they're using motorcycles and then i just saw the reports this week these are specific uses where
19:37these work better in the modern circumstances exactly in specific locations in specific you know uh
19:44purposes and then but but the headlines oh the kev regime has a new innovative unit using motorcycles
19:52and they're pro they're they're they're reinventing old forms of combat and have come up with the the
19:59logical leap of using uh donkeys uh in you know certain types of hilly terrain in forested areas to get
20:06supplies in and everything like this oh i know the media is such a whore it's such a whore right
20:13you know again it's the uh our uh our glorious leader their their evil dictatorial whatever our
20:22glorious you know self-sacrificing heroic armed forces their evil incompetent brutal terrorizing orcs you
20:30know what you know it's the same thing again and again and and again the way we talk about it
20:36i mean it's just it's just the way media works i mean it's it's take me away to get used to yeah
20:44because yeah you just it's it's a you have to read it right if you're a journalist an analyst but the
20:51goal is to to filter it and to filter out all of that noise and look for the kernels of admissions of
21:01truth or finally admissions of truth you know that you can find in it and and use to construct not
21:08just an argument but a full picture of what is going on right sue me and chance of yar so from my
21:19understanding chess of yar is nearly taken in this entirety sue me yeah well i mean they've been saying
21:24that for months now so and it is more true than it was months ago but don't expect chasse if you are
21:32to be completely taken much much like tourette's the key regime will continue to be throwing counter
21:39attacks to try to to hold and retake it and obscure the issue of exactly how much they've been driven out
21:46of uh so long but my understanding uh from credible reports is that the center of chasse of yar was
21:55taken a week ago you know the citadel area the high-rise section but it's still not uh you know 100
22:04right still fine and they will always surge counter-attacks in to avoid those narrative headlines
22:12of chasse of yar falling to obscure the issue for as long as possible they don't mind sacrificing
22:19people's lives just to for that political purpose they they have done it continually they will continue
22:27to do it sumi that seems the also being pressured at this point i mean the soldiers that were coming out
22:35seem to have started to bank around sumi the idea of potentially going after sumi city do you see
22:41that taking place i mean because this is the buffer zone right and that's all right so first first
22:46it's going to be a buffer zone right and uh um important you know staging areas for the kiev regime
22:54like yanakivka and and other city towns there will be the you know the targets right now is somewhere
23:02down the line might sumi city itself you know the the capital city of the sumi region be targeted yes
23:08at some point down the line that point is not now that point is not buffer zones often need buffer
23:14zones yeah buffer zones can can turn into many other things right but they're not right now now they are
23:24improving of positions right they're there they are creating a buffer zone it has to be
23:31one of the things that escapes notice it's not just about the incursions in the raids
23:36into belgorod and kursk and briansk it is also if you take a look at the distances involved in
23:44these long-range drone strikes it is principally out of a salient region in sumi from which the
23:52majority of these long-range strikes capable of reaching moscow and that far into russia are being
23:59launched from so it's not just to create a buffer on the ground but it's also to create a buffer
24:06against drones and other potential range strikes this is what that's right if you that's why they're
24:14so hot on it right now after the drone attacks you know however ineffectively that reached you know
24:20moscow uh and the like it's just it's to push them back out of drone the problem with that is drone
24:27range is always improving i mean that's that's a bit a a continuance you know throughout the course
24:32of this conflict but you know always good to make it as hard as possible for them you know in that
24:38eventuality yeah mark man you were fantastic thank you for this i mean a great breakdown but you always
24:46give great breakdowns and the audience at this point have come to expect a great breakdown for you
24:50whenever you come on and we have a damn good crowd we have over 1300 people here today
24:54here today well i'm gonna have to change my tactics and come on and say oh we're gonna win
24:58in two months it's all but over end game end game no you've been um practical you've explained this
25:09stuff very well you've been right most of the time so no man i i've appreciated you in the audience
25:14appreciate you when i say damn good analyst i'm one of the best in the business i i mean it mark
25:19sloboda he's international relations and security analyst you can follow marco on twitter at mark
25:23sloboda1 check him out on the sub stack definitely check that out has that come out yet all right this
25:29week this week we have a few things to iron out but we'll be out this week and jamar may i just say
25:36that that entirely undue flattery will get you everywhere it is more than you i i look i my mom can tell
25:45you i don't say this stuff if i don't mean it um i i will just say nothing in this case i actually
25:51don't mean it your analysis has been spot on and this goes back for three years and me covering this
25:56for three years and so it's not like i'm popping in with you every you know 11 years eight months yeah
26:04we've been covering this for 11 years tomorrow it's been 11 years wait a minute well i was at i was
26:11at the radio stage for five yeah yeah i guess i've been eight around 2014 i've been talking about
26:17this since 2014. wow fair enough i guess but that makes my point even more so you've been consistent
26:27over the course of all of those years which is 90s as you say some people have been screaming that
26:31the war supposed to be over two years hey three years everybody every side needs cheerleaders too so
26:37i mean you know we can have a laugh but cheerleaders you know i i i've i've heard someone tell me in
26:43comments before when i thought we want to find out what's really going on the ground you know i i look
26:49to you or brian berletic or some other people like that and i turn to some other people when i want to feel
26:56good
27:03that is useful too we gotta have yeah you need to cheerleaders i suppose i i just want the rant i just
27:07want the reality of what's happening like a clear eye is better than a jaded eye even if it's not seeing
27:13the greatest of things right i want to know the bus is coming um yeah thank you my man you be safe mark
27:20have a good one okay cheers all right marks laboda my man all of the um flattery is due from my point of
27:30view he has been consistent if you look over the course of all of these interviews oh jesus goes back
27:37i started in 2020 we're in 2025 so yeah for the last five six years wow just