PREIS- EXPLOSION!?😱 SILBER bald bei 250 € pro Unze‼️ JETZT ist es möglich...

thesaurus-finance

#silberpreis #goldpreis #investing   Hallo zusammen,  in diesem Video beschäftigen wir uns damit, warum was ein Fairer Wert/Preis für Silber wäre. Dabei gehen wir auf verschiedene Methoden ein. Darunter die Gold-Silber-Ratio, die Fördermenge und viele mehr. Lass doch ein kostenloses Abo da, wenn es dir gefällt und du weitere Videos nicht verpassen willst   #silber  #gold #investment #edelmetalle   Gliederung: 00:00 Intro Silberpreis Explosion 01:14 Aktueller Stand/ Ausgangssituation  02:50 Die aktuelle Marktsituation  03:04 Das Gold - Silber Verhältnis  04:20 warum Silber stark steigen wird  06:06 Der Faire Preis von Silber  09:22 Die Risiken  11:48 Konkrete Prognose / Die Entwicklung des Silberpreises  14:40 Was solltest du tun 15:50 Outro   keine Anlage- oder Kaufempfehlung!

Transcript

00:00Silver, the shining metal, has fascinated humanity for thousands of years.

00:05As the little brother of gold, it is also interesting for many investors.

00:09And rightly so, silver has seen an increase in value of over 85% in the last 5 years.

00:16This is really impressive and beats even the popular stocks by far.

00:20But there is no end in sight yet.

00:23Experts expect silver to rise even higher.

00:26But how high? What price is realistic?

00:30So welcome back. In this video, we'll cover exactly that.

00:35I will discuss various methods of determining value.

00:39And explain to you what price target is realistic.

00:42If this sounds interesting to you, please subscribe for free so you don't miss anything in the future.

00:48On this channel you can expect informative yet entertaining content on the topic of finance.

00:53Before we begin, as always, the note.

00:57The content of this video does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for action.

01:03What I present to you is only the result of my research.

01:07But now let's get started.

01:09Part 1. The initial situation.

01:12But what is it all about?

01:14What makes silver so special?

01:15The changes we are currently experiencing affect the entire precious metals market.

01:21But silver in particular is in the spotlight and can benefit from the developments.

01:26Silver. A metal that most people only know as jewelry or as coins for collectors.

01:31So let's first clarify why silver has been so underestimated.

01:35For years, the price hovered between $15 and $25 per ounce.

01:39Gold, on the other hand, received all the attention and became the darling of crisis currencies.

01:45But now it is becoming clear that this will change rapidly.

01:49Silver has an incredible advantage.

01:51It is not only a precious metal, it is also an indispensable industrial metal.

01:57Let me explain what that means.

01:59Unlike gold, which is mainly stored, we use silver every day.

02:03It's in solar panels, electric cars, medical devices, and pretty much every other electronic device you own.

02:12So each of us invests in silver, whether consciously or unconsciously.

02:17And industry accounts for over 70% of total demand.

02:21There is currently no alternative to the metal.

02:24Silver is very malleable and flexible and also conducts electronic current perfectly.

02:30That’s what makes silver so unique.

02:31It has an influence in the world of safe investments in crises.

02:35At the same time, it is benefiting massively from technological progress and the green revolution.

02:41Part 2

02:41The current market situation

02:43Let's look at what's happening right now.

02:46After decades of underperformance against gold, silver is beginning to catch up and could grow rapidly in the process.

02:53With our first key figure.

02:56The gold-silver ratio.

02:57This indicates how many ounces of silver you need to buy one ounce of gold.

03:03Historically, this ratio was 15 to 1 for a very long time.

03:07So gold was 15 times more expensive than silver.

03:10This is mainly due to its natural occurrence.

03:13Silver is about 15 times more abundant in the earth than gold.

03:17But now comes the exciting part.

03:20The ratio is currently over 90.

03:22This means you would need over 90 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.

03:27Or to put it another way, silver is massively undervalued.

03:31This massive imbalance is not sustainable.

03:34And the market is already beginning to correct.

03:36According to experts, a further correction towards the historical average is to be expected.

03:42And that in the near future.

03:45But what does that mean in concrete terms?

03:47If the ratio were to fall to just 40 to 1, a quite realistic scenario,

03:52because this is still well above the historical average

03:55and the gold price remains stable at its current value,

03:58the price of silver would almost triple.

04:01It would easily exceed 50 euros per ounce.

04:04But there are other factors that drive up the price of silver.

04:09Firstly, mine production has been stagnating for years,

04:12while industrial demand is exploding,

04:15because the energy transition consumes incredible amounts of silver.

04:19A simple electric car requires at least 30 grams of silver,

04:23a solar cell can even weigh up to 20 grams per panel.

04:28However, most of the silver has already been mined.

04:30This results in a massive silver deficit every year.

04:33Last year, 1.2 billion ounces of silver were consumed.

04:38However, mine production only amounted to 800 million ounces.

04:42This resulted in a deficit of 400 million ounces.

04:45Half of the extracted amount.

04:47Let that melt on your tongue.

04:50400 million ounces.

04:52So 5 ounces for every person in Germany.

04:55The deficit was so gigantic.

04:572. The physical precious metal stocks in the registered warehouses of the COMEX,

05:03the most important futures exchange for precious metals,

05:05have fallen to historic lows.

05:08In the last 5 years, these stocks have more than halved.

05:12This is closely related to the first point.

05:15Because if more silver is sold than is mined,

05:18so inventory levels must inevitably decrease.

05:21Some experts estimate that they could be completely empty by 2033.

05:283. Institutional investors are beginning to discover silver.

05:33BlackRock, JP Morgan and other giants

05:36have massively increased their silver holdings.

05:40And often in silence,

05:41so that the price does not rise too quickly,

05:43while they build up their stocks.

05:46So silver is becoming scarcer and scarcer.

05:47Part 3. The fair value of silver

05:51But what is a fair price for silver?

05:55To understand this,

05:56we need to take a look at different valuation models.

05:59Model 1. The historical relationship to gold

06:03If we look at the average of the last 100 years,

06:06The gold-silver ratio is approximately 15 to 1.

06:10At the current gold price of roughly $3,000

06:13that would mean a silver price of $200.

06:16So far above the current level.

06:19A real price explosion is imminent.

06:23Model number 2. The production costs

06:26The all-in costs, AISC for short,

06:28for the production of one ounce of silver

06:30are located at the primary silver mines

06:32currently between 17 and 22 dollars per ounce.

06:35Traditionally, the fair market price

06:37at approximately 1.5 to twice the production costs.

06:41This indicates a fair price

06:43between 30 and 44 dollars per ounce.

06:46If you only look at the funding stocks.

06:48But I have already mentioned,

06:49that the production stocks are massively depleting

06:52and more is consumed than produced.

06:55Realistically, the price of silver should

06:57are still far beyond that.

06:59This is explained in Model 3.

07:02Supply and demand.

07:04Since 2020, we have had a structural deficit in the silver market.

07:07We consume more silver than we produce.

07:09This deficit will increase further as a result of the Industrial Revolution.

07:13The Silver Institute predicts for the next few years

07:16a silver deficit of over 200 million ounces per year.

07:21With limited supply and increasing demand

07:24There is no way around rising prices.

07:27My conservative estimate for a fair silver price

07:31is therefore at least 50 US dollars per ounce.

07:34But in a market euphoria, as we often experience with gold,

07:3880, 100 or even 200 dollars are also quite possible.

07:42Especially if the central banks continue to print money

07:45and thus fuel inflation.

07:47Part 4. The Psychology of the Silver Market

07:50What many don't understand is that silver is a tiny market.

07:54The total annual turnover of all silver mines

07:57is approximately $25 million.

07:59For comparison, that is less than a tenth

08:02Apple's market capitalization.

08:03This small size makes the silver market extremely volatile.

08:08When large amounts flow into this small market,

08:11the price can rise explosively.

08:13We have already seen this in the past,

08:15than the silver price within a few months

08:18shot up from $18 to $49.

08:22I still think such an explosion is likely.

08:25But most private investors

08:26do not understand this silver dynamic.

08:29You will only have Silbermiest on your radar when

08:31when the major mainstream media reports on it.

08:34But then it is usually already too late

08:36for the big wins.

08:38The early stages of a precious metal rally

08:40usually occur in silence.

08:42The masses only get on board

08:44when prices have already risen significantly.

08:47This is exactly the phase we are currently experiencing with silver.

08:5090% of investors only become active

08:52when prices have already exploded.

08:54Do you want to be part of this 90%

08:57or rather one of the 10% who are prepared?

09:00Then you should subscribe now.

09:02Part 5

09:03The associated risks

09:05Of course, we also have to talk about the risks.

09:08Because silver is not a risk-free investment.

09:11You should consider the following points.

09:131. Silver is volatile

09:16Price fluctuations of 5% in one day

09:20are not uncommon.

09:22If you can't sleep at night,

09:24because your investment fluctuates in value,

09:25then silver is not for you.

09:272. There are powerful market participants,

09:30who have an interest in low silver prices.

09:34Large banks partly hold

09:36massive short positions on the futures market.

09:39These can push down the price in the short term,

09:41even if the long-term trend is upward.

09:44Some banks have even been sued and convicted,

09:47because they demonstrably

09:49manipulated downwards.

09:503. A global recession

09:53industrial demand for silver could

09:55temporarily stagnate or flatten.

09:58But in my opinion the question is not,

10:00whether the price of silver will rise,

10:01but when.

10:02And that’s exactly why a proper strategy is so important.

10:06Part 6

10:07The psychology of investing

10:09Let's talk about you.

10:12Why are you still hesitating to invest in silver,

10:14although all signs point to an increase?

10:17The answer lies in human psychology.

10:21We tend to focus on those investments

10:23which are currently doing very well.

10:25When tech stocks boomed,

10:26everyone only wanted to buy tech stocks.

10:29When the Bitcoin price exploded,

10:31Suddenly everyone was only talking about Bitcoin.

10:34Silver, on the other hand, was rather unspectacular for years,

10:37wrongly in my opinion.

10:39And then there is the herd behavior.

10:41People follow the crowd.

10:42If no one around you talks about silver,

10:45it is unlikely

10:46that you consider it for yourself.

10:48The irony is,

10:49precisely these psychological facts

10:51make silver such an incredible opportunity.

10:54While the masses are still focused on other assets,

10:57Informed investors can build their position in silver.

11:01And at prices

11:02which will seem ridiculously low in just a few years.

11:05Part 7

11:06Concrete forecasts and timeframes

11:09Let's get specific.

11:11How do I think the price of silver will develop?

11:14Based on my analysis, I expect the following scenarios.

11:18In the short term, i.e. in 6 to 12 months.

11:21Here the silver price will remain volatile,

11:23but with a clear upward trend.

11:26I see a very realistic goal

11:28at $40 to $50 per ounce.

11:30Medium term, i.e. 3 to 5 years.

11:34If central banks continue to pursue expansionary monetary policy

11:38and industrial demand continues to rise too strongly,

11:40I expect the first breakthrough

11:42through the psychologically important mark of 50 dollars.

11:45The price target is then between 50 and 100 US dollars per ounce.

11:49Long-term, i.e. 3 to 5 years.

11:52This is where things get really interesting.

11:53With the structural deficit of silver

11:55and its importance for the energy transition

11:58the price of silver could truly explode during this period.

12:01I think a price of 200 to 250 dollars per ounce

12:05could then be realistic in the near future.

12:08Of course, these are only predictions and not guarantees.

12:11The path to the top will not be a straight line either.

12:14There will be setbacks,

12:16probably even painful.

12:17The smartest investors will take advantage of these setbacks

12:20to buy more while the masses sell in panic.

12:24The fact is, the silver market is

12:26in a perfect storm

12:27increasing industrial demand,

12:30stagnating production,

12:31increasing investor interest

12:33and macroeconomic tailwind

12:35through rising inflation and monetary expansion.

12:38But what does all this mean for you?

12:41If you have never thought about silver as an investment,

12:44Now is the time to seriously consider it.

12:47Not with all your wealth,

12:48but with your strategic share,

12:50your portfolio.

12:52The next few years will be challenging for silver investors

12:54extremely interesting.

12:55While the general public

12:56still lagging behind the classic systems,

12:59a situation is developing in the silver market,

13:01which could lead to a historic price explosion.

13:04Remember,

13:05the biggest profits are not made,

13:07by following the crowd,

13:08but by being informed

13:10and is willing to swim against the tide.

13:12And I am sure

13:14who invests in silver now,

13:15will be grateful in the future

13:17and regret it,

13:18not to have invested more.

13:19If you liked the topic

13:21and you don’t want to miss anything,

13:23Leave a free subscription now.

13:25You should also share the video with your friends,

13:27to inform them too.

13:29Never before has it been so important

13:30To have knowledge about silver.

13:32Oh, and one more thing,

13:33You will love this video.

13:35Why not give it a try?

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