Based on THIS research, you can guess how either CJ Carr or Kenny Minchey will do in their first year as starter!

AtoZ Sports

Ryan Roberts bases his predictions for CJ Carr and Kenny Minchey on Notre Dame Fighting Irish QBs of the past!

Transcript

00:00C.J. Carr, Kenny Minchie, for the first time in a very long time,

00:03Notre Dame football will have a first-year starter with zero career starts

00:08under their belt heading into the season.

00:10Let's talk about expectations and what we should fully look for

00:14entering the 2025 season.

00:19Ryan Roberts from A to Z Sports bringing down everything Notre Dame football.

00:23Folks, with Steve Angeli transferring to Syracuse this offseason,

00:27we now know one certainty in this Notre Dame quarterback battle.

00:31Whether it is Richard Freshman C.J. Carr, Richard Sophomore Kenny Minchie,

00:35we are going to have a starting quarterback in the blue and gold this year

00:39that has no previous starts in their career entering the season.

00:45Now, I went back to the year 2005, so I wanted a 20-year sample size.

00:51Obviously, Brady Quinn was the starting quarterback in 2005,

00:54and I went through every single year to try to find guys that fit this criteria.

01:00Players that were starting quarterbacks that had no previous starting experience

01:05entering the season.

01:06And what I found was some very good, some not as good, and some in between.

01:13And I want to work through this data to show that we need to kind of cite expectations

01:19and understand that there are going to be ups and downs this year,

01:22whether it's Carr or Minchie under center.

01:25Now, the players that I look back on, and the article I wrote at A to Z Sports

01:28is actually in the description.

01:30If some of you guys are more visual learners like I am,

01:33go check out that article so you can see the numbers

01:35that I'm going to roll through here very quickly.

01:37So we have the first-year starters with no previous experience.

01:412007 with Jimmy Clawson.

01:43We got Dane Crist in 2010.

01:46You have Ever Golson in 2012.

01:48I counted Deshaun Kaiser in 2015, even though he was taking over for Malik Zaire.

01:532017 with Brandon Wimbush.

01:56I also included Desmond Ritter 2018 for the Cincinnati Bearcats

02:01because who was his offensive coordinator in 2018?

02:04It was Mike Denbrock.

02:05And it actually helped the numbers a little bit

02:07because when you average everything out,

02:08this is the first year as starters for these players

02:11with no previous starting experience.

02:132,149 passing yards.

02:18You have 16 touchdown passes, 7 interceptions,

02:21so a low interception total.

02:22You also have a 58.2 completion percentage,

02:25so a little bit lower.

02:26And that group averaged out at 347 yards rushing on the ground

02:31and 7 touchdowns.

02:33Now, so context speaks.

02:35Some people will say,

02:37I don't want to include Clawson in the 2007 conversation

02:40because he played on a really bad football team

02:42and he also split some time with Evan Sharpley.

02:44And that's fine.

02:46That context, I'm okay with you having that perspective.

02:48But I also added Desmond Ritter into this conversation,

02:51even though he's not a Notre Dame quarterback

02:53and he actually had a pretty good year his first year

02:54through 20 touchdowns and only 5 interceptions for Cincinnati.

02:57I threw that one in there to negate that little bit of potential pulldown

03:01that Clawson would have.

03:03But regardless, I think we have a pretty decent sample size.

03:07Now, obviously, Coach Denbrock was a part of a couple of those

03:09Notre Dame staffs that we talk about.

03:11Obviously, 2015 was the most successful quarterback we've seen

03:14from a full-scope production perspective with Deshaun Kizer

03:17with 21 touchdowns, only 10 interceptions, over 2,800 yards,

03:20and also had over 500 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground.

03:25So all of this is to say, what is the expectations that you have

03:29for C.J. Carr or Kenny Minchie entering 2025?

03:33Because I do think that we need to just kind of take a step back for a second

03:36and understand whether it is Carr, who a lot of people view as the favorite

03:41and totally fine, or if it is Minchie,

03:43there is going to be growing pains here, folks.

03:45There is going to be.

03:46I feel like there's a part of the fan base out there that just assumes

03:49in a regular season, I'm not talking about the full playoff run,

03:51but in a regular season that C.J. Carr is just going to go out there

03:54and throw for 3,000 yards, 30-something touchdowns,

03:57and he is going to be the best quarterback Notre Dame has seen

04:00in a very long time.

04:01Maybe he ends up doing that, but there is no track record

04:04of his situation, a guy coming in seamlessly

04:07and being that type of player.

04:09Will the pass protection be better?

04:11Will the wide receiver play be better?

04:13Will Marcus Freeman, Mike Denbrock take the shackles off the offense

04:16a little bit and become a little bit more of a passing-centric offense?

04:19Because you also have Jeremiah Love, Jadarian Price,

04:21and this great backfield behind you.

04:23I personally believe that Notre Dame will lean into the run game this year

04:26and make quarterbacks comfortable, especially early on in the season.

04:30So that's the thought process that I have for the quarterback position.

04:33But I want to hear from you ultimately.

04:36What are your expectations for 2025 from either Carr or Minchie?

04:41Give me some production predictions.

04:43How many touchdowns, yards passing, rushing yards, all of the good stuff.

04:47I also want to see just how excited are you for the season overall?

04:51If it's Carr, Minchie, whoever, which one personally would you like to start?

04:57But ultimately, whoever does start, what do you think Notre Dame is going to be in 2025?

05:0111-1, 12-0, national champion.

05:04I want to hear your predictions in the chat.

05:06Quarterback conversations.

05:08Put it in there while you're there.

05:09Make sure to hit that like button and subscribe on the way out.

05:11And as always, go Irish.

05:13Go Irish.

05:15Go Irish.

05:17Go Irish.

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