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OKC Favored in West Finals at -375: Is It Justified?
SportsGrid
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5/24/2025
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🥇
Sports
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00:00
OKC, though, DRS has been a hefty favorite to win the West basically since December,
00:05
a minus money favorite for the last two to three months and at its peak throughout the postseason,
00:11
a minus 270 favorite. That number altered slightly after Denver won game number six to extend this
00:18
series in force a game seven yesterday. But after the Thunder take care of business, winning by 32,
00:25
what's the number? What's the series outright price for the Western Conference finals between the
00:31
Thunder and the T-Wolves? You see it there. Minus 375 in favor of OKC. Is that justified in your
00:40
estimation? It is justified based on like the seedings, right? And also understand this,
00:45
like we're all OKC'd up now because they just beat Denver and Denver's a good team. They got
00:49
Nicole Jokic game seven. They were impressive. And it's almost like you forget, like the Timberwolves
00:53
easily dispatched to the Los Angeles Lakers. But they're not going to get any credit for beating
00:57
the Warriors without Steph Curry. And that's the issue. Now, also, they didn't have an extended
01:01
series with them, Ben. It's not like it went six or seven games like, man, we had to fight and beat
01:05
them without Steph Curry. Like they easily handled them. But I don't think the credit is going to be
01:09
there. The minus 375 seems impressive saying, well, I don't know if I want to take that and maybe take
01:14
the plus 300. But just ask yourself this, like if you're just looking at the series itself without any
01:19
odds, do you actually think the Minnesota Timberwolves can go in and beat Oklahoma
01:23
City when Oklahoma City has home court advantage? I like Minnesota. They got good defense. They got
01:28
a superstar on offense in Ant-Man, Anthony Edwards. But at the same time, I just don't think they have
01:32
enough to beat OKC. But again, the question is, will you lay the 375 as a favorite? And are you that
01:38
excited to take OKC? Or is there a chance that you can play this series as all right? Give me the
01:43
Timberwolves plus 300 here. Hopefully the Timberwolves can win one game in OKC. Now I have the advantage
01:48
with hedging options. And apparently then that they'll be back into the series with home court advantage
01:52
on their side as opposed to OKC. I expect this to be a longer series. This will be six or seven games
01:59
unless we get a catastrophe type injury on each side. We just saw seven games between the Denver
02:04
Nuggets and OKC evenly matched opponents. And I think you'll get the same. So for me, I see that
02:09
number at minus one and a half, minus 162. It does make some sense. But I'll be honest, I'll be surprised
02:14
if this game does go five. I think it's at least going six or seven games in this one. But I do think once
02:19
again, you play the entire season, Ben, to get a home court advantage and a decisive game number
02:24
seven on your home court. OKC wins the series, but I do believe it will be an extended series.
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