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Reds vs. Braves: Chris Sale's Pitching Examined Today
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5/8/2025
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00:00
Expected to be rather easy today, DRS, in the A.
00:03
Chris Sale on the mound for Atlanta.
00:06
Minus 220, that money line price in favor of the Braves today.
00:11
Total stands at 8.
00:12
Will it be that simple for the Braves against the Reds?
00:15
Yeah, take a look at Sale in the season.
00:16
Again, this is interesting where you're using some of those analytical numbers
00:19
that sort of confuse some people just starting to learn.
00:21
What are the ERA?
00:22
Does it give up a lot of runs?
00:23
It makes some sense.
00:23
The expectations are some of the ERAs don't make too much sense.
00:26
Look at Chris Sale in the season.
00:28
35 and a third innings pitch.
00:29
Look at his ERA, close to 5.
00:30
Like, that's terrible.
00:31
But his XFIP number is 3.25.
00:33
The expected ERA out of that 4.84, Ben, is at a 3.32.
00:37
Then you sort of slide it down and say, where's Abbott at this year?
00:39
19 innings pitch, a 2.84 ERA.
00:42
That's tremendous.
00:43
But his XFIP number, much higher, at a 4.48.
00:46
When we take a look at the batting matchups today,
00:48
Chris Sale struggling a little bit with right-handed batters.
00:50
And good thing there'll be a lot of righties in the lineup today
00:52
to sort of counterback that.
00:53
But McLean's got good numbers.
00:55
And Trevino, that's it.
00:57
That's it for the Reds today.
00:58
So it's like, okay, where are the runs coming from?
01:00
For the Atlanta Braves, the matchup, not fantastic,
01:02
but also understand this.
01:04
You take a look at Andrew Abbott, it's a good strikeout pitcher.
01:06
Maybe he walks a little bit too much from the right-hand side.
01:08
But the lineup, Austin Riley starting to come into his own
01:10
a couple home runs in the past couple games.
01:12
Ozuna, Olsen in that lineup.
01:14
A better lineup for the Braves.
01:16
And maybe the better pitcher overall.
01:18
Don't love the game, but it seems like it's going to be a Braves line
01:20
at minus 215.
01:21
Maybe the runs stay under 8 in this game because, you know,
01:24
I just don't trust those Reds bats.
01:26
That's probably where I'd go in this one.
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