Philadelphia Battles Mets for NL East Lead: Key Insights

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00:00Battle, of course, between two teams we expect to contend for the NL East Divisional Crown this year.

00:07Philadelphia on the road, a very slight underdog, but Aaron Nola gets the start.

00:12Even money price on that money line, plus 100, minus 118 on the other side for the Amazons,

00:18who send out Tyler McGill.

00:19Eight is that total today, DRS, up in Queens.

00:22What's the play?

00:24Yeah, the Phillies blew a game yesterday, but also Saturday as well.

00:27Like, that bullpen has been chewed up and spit out.

00:29They hold on for an 11-10 victory, and they're up 11-4 in that game.

00:32And yesterday, a 4-1 lead against the lowly Marlins.

00:34The bullpen gives it up on an error that should have been called by Bryce Harper late in that game,

00:39but wasn't.

00:39They lose in extras yesterday.

00:41Now they head to New York.

00:42Now, if you're looking at old-school numbers, like ERA-wise, they don't like Aaron Nola.

00:46But new-school numbers and analytics, Aaron Nola isn't that bad.

00:49Case in point, Tyler McGill, 19 innings pitched this season, a 140 ERA, which is fantastic,

00:55and a 340 XFIP number, which is decent as well.

00:57Aaron Nola comes in at 21 and two-thirds innings pitched.

01:00His ERA close to a 7, but his analytical number, right next to Tyler McGill.

01:05So that should be interesting to find out.

01:06So for me, I look at the price point.

01:08I'm probably going to lean more towards the New York Mets, even though I'm cheering for

01:10the Phillies.

01:11Just don't like what I saw the past two days out of that bullpen, and maybe it is a close

01:15game late.

01:16Are you still going to trust that Phillies bullpen to get it done on the road?

01:19Right now, it looks like Francisco Lindor waking up.

01:21Juan Soda's there.

01:22Pete Alonzo.

01:23Aaron Nola needs to reach back and give him one of those Aaron Nola starts that we know he has.

01:27But again, just based on the bullpen of what I saw this weekend, that's playing better

01:31baseball.

01:32Going to give the nod to the Metropolitans today at home up there at Citi Field.