Exploring Futures in NBA Betting: Strategic Insights

SportsGrid

Watch Exploring Futures in NBA Betting: Strategic Insights - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00If I were to reinvest into the longer-term futures market, right,

00:07I'd have to be very picky and choosy about it.

00:11I don't think I would be able to invest in the presently very low Oklahoma City

00:16or Boston numbers.

00:17Even the Cleveland number might be a tick too low.

00:21For you right now, and so I'll go back to you first, Coach,

00:24though, kind of having an open slate in front of you tickets-wise,

00:28is there a team that is calling your name?

00:32You know, the east bracket is sad.

00:34A lot of the west is, we have a good idea.

00:37I keep looking at Minnesota.

00:39Maybe it's just wild that I'm just over-projecting what I think they can become

00:44and what they could be.

00:46But as wild as it sounds, like I wish that they were sitting

00:51and they're going to end up at 6 or 7.

00:53Because I think for them, that pathway, I could see them, you know,

00:57probably going 7 and taking out Houston and then maybe getting an award

01:01with the Lakers and then going a pathway there.

01:05But to me, that would be the only one I'm sitting on.

01:08Listen, you go to the east, you know, I can't take Boston.

01:13I don't believe in Cleveland.

01:15I'm a Knicks fan.

01:16Could the Knicks go to the NBA Finals?

01:17Kevin Durant thinks so.

01:18They could also lose 4-1, 4-2 to Detroit.

01:21I don't know where they're going.

01:22I don't even know who's going to do what on that team, namely the coach.

01:26So to me, it's Minnesota, Tom, and the rest of it I kind of stay away from

01:30at this point.

01:31So if we're buying into the matchups and the bracket in the west,

01:35you know, I know, Kevin, you want to make an argument for the Lakers

01:37at 15-1 currently?

01:39No.

01:40Not at the current price, no.

01:41So here's how I'd go about that.

01:43If there's one bet to make that I wouldn't mind,

01:46you actually wouldn't bet on the Lakers to win the NBA championship.

01:49You'd actually bet on Luka at 24-1 to win Finals MVP.

01:53No, I don't agree with that.

01:54Yes.

01:55If you were trying to extract the most value,

01:57the only way Luka gets that award,

02:00you're getting a better number compared to the 15-1.

02:02You're getting it at 24-1 effectively.

02:04The problem is that if he gets to the Finals,

02:07there's also the LeBron fact.

02:09And that's fine.

02:10And that's fine.

02:12That's a risk grab.

02:12We're talking about long shot perspective.

02:14Yeah, but wouldn't you rather take, what's the LeBron ticket?

02:17It's 50-1.

02:18You wouldn't rather that?

02:19Sure, but I also want to talk about

02:20which player do I actually think is going to get it done?

02:23If we're talking about who's the best player in the series,

02:25it would be Luka 1, and then it would be LeBron Tatum.

02:28Yeah, until the Finals MVP is on the line.

02:30I mean, I...

02:31So the argument I'm making is the same thing for LeBron at 50-1.

02:38Sure.

02:38I think the LeBron number is interesting at 50-1, quite frankly.

02:42The...

02:43Look, here's the other thing.

02:45What happened last year with Boston is a very rare instance

02:50where, like, the best guy actually didn't win it.

02:54And I don't mean the best guy in the series.

02:56I mean, like, we all know who the best player on the Boston Celtics is.

02:59Tatum not winning either one of those is an astonishing upset,

03:02which we don't have to...

03:03I spent an hour unpacking with my guy Pat before the show.

03:07So, um...

03:10Like, what's the SGA price?

03:13To win a Warden?

03:14To the Finals MVP.

03:15Plus 175.

03:16That's an insane number.

03:17That's an atrocious...

03:18Like, but he is...

03:20If it is going to be the Thunder, it is going to be him.

03:22Yes.

03:23I guess I...

03:24To me,

03:25as much as I say the benefit for LeBron is that Luka is better than him,

03:30right, or at least in theory,

03:32it'll allow LeBron to be the second-best player,

03:34I still don't know what happens when you get...

03:37If they get to the Finals and they match up with Boston,

03:40the Celtics, to some degree, will feel better about probably,

03:43I would think, what they can throw at Luka

03:45versus what they can throw at LeBron

03:47just due to LeBron's power and size.

03:50Yeah.

03:50Right?

03:51If that's the matchup that you're projecting.

03:53I think to, though, copy a little bit of what you're saying

03:56of how can we just get bigger tickets,

03:59an example would be OKC to beat Cleveland.

04:02Exact result plus 720, right?

04:06I think that same wager,

04:08which is on FanDuel at plus 1020,

04:11is like 17-1, 18-1 on DraftKings, right?

04:13OK.

04:14So that would be a little bit more interesting for me right now

04:19than the Finals MVP...

04:21For me right now than the Finals MVP market.

04:24OK.

04:25What's the Brunson cat gap for Finals MVP?

04:29That would be...

04:30I mean, we're talking big numbers here now.

04:31For Brunson...

04:33Because the Knicks are 34-1.

04:3555, cat is 80.

04:36So 55 for Brunson, 80 for cat.

04:40I mean, if it were to...

04:41I know this sounds crazy as a Knick fan.

04:44If the Knicks are going to make the Finals

04:47and win the Finals...

04:50Cat has to do more than Brunson.

04:50It's got to be cat.

04:51Cat has to do more than Brunson.

04:53Because that means cat is going to have to destroy Hartenstein

04:56or Schengen or have a big matchup advantage.

05:01Let's say it's the Lakers.

05:03So to me, I would look at...

05:05And the fact that all those teams have premier guards

05:08that I think Brunson is going to get hidden or abused defensively.

05:11So to me, if the Knicks win the Finals,

05:14which I may cry on air.

05:17I may not come on air.

05:18You may not see me for...

05:20You want to talk about a celebration.

05:21Between me being a Jet, Matt, and Knicks fan,

05:23you may not see me for a month.

05:25Go find me a milk box carton.

05:26But I would look at cat at 80-1.

05:29Like, it's very funny, man.

05:32Like, Jalen Brown is 21-1 as the reigning Finals MVP.

05:36And then Chris Stapps is 25.

05:38Who bet the Chris Stapps number?

05:40Why is Chris Stapps as the third option 25-1?

05:44That's wild.

05:45What's the Chet Holmgren price?

05:4795-1?

05:48You got to consider it.

Category

Transcript

Recommended