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Is a recession on the way?
AlArabiya English
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3/15/2025
Is a recession on the way? The US economy appears to be slowing but experts are divided, and the signals are mixed. #Economy #recession #stockmarket
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00:00
Is a recession on the way?
00:02
Well, the U.S. economy appears to be slowing,
00:05
but experts are divided, and the signals are mixed.
00:14
This week, when asked, President Donald Trump
00:17
said he wasn't ruling out the possibility.
00:19
Both Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan seem
00:22
to think the odds of a recession have risen slightly,
00:24
but others are more cautious, predicting slower growth
00:28
but no immediate downturn.
00:30
So what's behind all of this?
00:32
Well, on the one hand, the job market remains strong,
00:36
but if layoffs start rising and businesses pull back,
00:39
that could change.
00:40
And then there are some other factors,
00:43
like flagging retail spending, wavering business confidence,
00:47
low consumer confidence, and market volatility,
00:51
which have some people raising the alarm.
00:54
Some of this volatility is due to uncertainty
00:57
surrounding President Trump's economic policies,
00:59
including tariffs, though that's not the whole story.
01:03
Well, many economists seem to agree
01:05
the risk of recession is higher
01:08
than it was a couple of years back,
01:10
but for now, the world's top economy is still holding on.
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