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Oregon WR Tez Johnson Is A VERY RISKY Pick: 2025 NFL Draft
AtoZ Sports
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3/12/2025
Joe DeLeone and Ryan Roberts break down 2025 NFL Draft prospect from Oregon football Tez Johnson. Tune in for a full Tez Johnson Scouting Report
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Transcript
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00:00
Tez Johnson might be way too small to succeed in the NFL. Here's why we're worried.
00:08
We're incredibly concerned about Tez Johnson's size. How does it affect his draft stock after
00:14
coming into the NFL combine at 151? Ryan, should we be more worried about this?
00:21
We should be very, very worried about this, Joe. I was literally looking at mock draftable this
00:25
morning, and since the year 1999, there have only been three wide receivers drafted that are less
00:31
than 160 pounds. That is J.J. Nelson out of UAB in the 2015 class, Tutu Atwell, 2021 class,
00:38
who's only 155 pounds, and then Aaron Lockett in the 2002 class out of Kansas State was the only
00:45
other wide receiver below 160 pounds. And my biggest concern, though, is not necessarily
00:50
the weights, right? Because we talk about betting on outliers occasionally, and if there is a guy
00:55
that has a overcompensating trait, like if Tez Johnson went to the combine and ran
01:00
4-3, you'd be like, okay, look, he's small, but he's still fast, right? And you can overcompensate,
01:07
you can find a role for him. The fact that he, and I know he tested well in the short area stuff,
01:11
the fact though that we are talking about a undersized, historically wide receiver that
01:16
also isn't a burner by all those metrics, right? That worries you because ultimately,
01:23
this is an outlier and an outlier of the most epic proportions.
01:28
Right. I think that's the biggest part about this. People always, I don't think truly understand
01:33
the purpose of having the testing and what we're supposed to do with it. When you have concerns
01:38
about a guy's size, if he runs well, or he has really prolific numbers in particular categories,
01:44
it can maybe help us restructure our projection and our thoughts on him.
01:49
Long speed for receiver is very, very important. He was very shifty, and we knew coming into this
01:53
that he was going to be very shifty. He better have tested well in the short
01:57
area testing numbers like he did running a 6-6-5 in the three cone, a 4-1-5 in the 20 yard shuttle,
02:03
some of the best times amongst receivers at the 2025 NFL Combine. But the 4-5-1 that he runs
02:09
does call into question, does he really have that extra gear to separate?
02:14
I take this really even further. Even though he has on film a lot of instances where he's
02:19
blown past dudes, that's on there. For him to last in the NFL, he can't be 154 pounds.
02:26
He has to put on more weight. Tank Dell, who we're going to get to at the very end of this,
02:30
is a good example of how when you're that light, your body quite literally cannot sustain
02:36
NFL hits, NFL contact without getting broken down and suffering a lot of injuries.
02:41
So Tez Johnson has to put on weight, and putting on weight makes him even slower than 4-5-1.
02:47
So that's where we need to bring all this up and talk about, because something has to change here.
02:51
He either has to play at a very low weight and risk injury, or he has to add more weight and
02:56
risk getting slower. And let's forget the injury part for a second, because I want to
03:01
come at it this way, of the size and the profile he brings. By his testing numbers,
03:08
we can at least come to a conclusion potentially that this is a quicker player than he is
03:13
straight line fast, which is fine. We've seen guys be quicker than fast. But the problem is,
03:17
is that when we're talking about quick separators, guys that run and break off routes and are really
03:22
clean and short to intermediate separators, that's perfect, except when you're 154 pounds.
03:26
Because what's happening, Joe, you're playing within traffic. You're a middle of the field
03:30
separator. You're probably going to play mostly in the slots. And in that situation,
03:34
you're playing against linebackers. You're playing against safeties.
03:36
They're blasting you.
03:37
Yes. And you're playing in tighter windows, ultimately. And that work for me is really
03:44
troubling. I don't want to see slot receivers that are 154 pounds. I want to see a guy that
03:48
has a little bit more meat on the bone that can sustain contact, that can work through contact.
03:52
The fact that he isn't that type of physical athlete does worry me about the projection for
03:58
him to be that short intermediate separator from the slot.
04:01
It's a common misconception that when we have a really small receiver,
04:04
that he automatically plugs into the slot. But some of the best slot receivers in the NFL today
04:10
and in NFL history might've been short, but they were strong and they carried good weight.
04:15
Tyreek Hill is like a really easy example. He is really freaking strong as he is fast.
04:20
He's able to work through contact if he needs to. And he's able to like really quickly separate
04:25
from linebackers and safety so they can't even get hands on him. So the concerns for
04:30
Tez Johnson, they are legitimate. I think that we can't completely look past him,
04:34
but he can still go on to have a successful career in the NFL.
04:37
What are some of the strengths though that we can highlight here? I think that it's
04:41
a little tricky to like really pinpoint what he did well at Oregon that translates to the NFL,
04:46
because Will Stein's system does accentuate and help these guys get open a lot easier than they
04:52
will in the NFL. Hence why Troy Franklin took a little bit to get going with the Denver Broncos
04:57
in his first season. We discussed it though. He's really quick footed. He is super, super
05:02
quick footed. Oh, he's, he's going to be able to get open. There's no doubt about it. He's
05:06
quick footed. And I think the big thing is, is even though, even if he doesn't have like a true
05:10
crazy long gear, he does get up to top speed very fast, right? Like he's a quick,
05:15
quick, quick separator and he's good with the ball in his hands ultimately. Right?
05:19
So there's way to design touches, whether it's in the screen game, whether it's shallow crosses,
05:22
like that type of stuff. I do think that he has the opportunity to win after the catch at a pretty
05:27
nice rate. So this is a guy that you're going to try to work into space. And if he gets some space,
05:32
I do think that he is a dynamic short area mover and a quick accelerator.
05:36
Ryan, let's talk about his background. Very interesting story on how he got here to Oregon,
05:41
to the NFL draft. We've heard a lot about how he moved in with Bo Nix's family. They went to the
05:47
same high school, uh, adopted family. He ended up at Troy originally as a three-star recruit was
05:54
actually the 275th ranked receiver in his class, the 2020 class. And then he goes on to Oregon to
06:02
have a fantastic career to finish things off as one of the best receivers in the country in 2024.
06:09
Well, and Joe, do you know why he was ranked so low as a recruit? Because out of high school,
06:13
out of Pinson Valley in Alabama, he was 138 pounds, Joe, 138 pounds. Obviously he ends up at
06:21
Troy. He did some really good stuff, especially his last two years to Troy. And then he goes on
06:25
to Oregon and he's a dynamic player. The last two years, just in the last two years, 2080 yards,
06:29
receiving and 20 touchdowns at Oregon. Funny enough, that's more receptions, receiving yards
06:34
and touchdowns in his two years at Oregon than he had in three years at Troy. So he was a good
06:39
player at Troy. He was an even better player at Oregon, which gives you some thought of like,
06:43
Hey, maybe he can continue to grow and potentially put on good weight and continue to, to kind of
06:48
prove doubters wrong. Ultimately, we are talking about 138 pound G5 wide receiver who turned into
06:55
one of the best and most productive wide receivers on the power forward level the last two years.
07:00
And it all started with a under-recruited background that has now led him to potential
07:05
draft pick in the NFL. Yeah, definitely a story that you can root for. I know it sounds like we're
07:10
being super critical of Tez Johnson, but he is an outlier who has found success, which makes it fun
07:15
to at least hope for his success, that things do work out. I hope he does end up sticking,
07:20
maybe as at least as a kick returner for a team. Another guy that was an outlier that found success
07:26
that's going to get direct comparisons. And that is our pro comp is tank Dell with the Houston
07:30
Texas. Now he has been inconsistently available, but he has had spurts of tremendous, just
07:36
explosive highlight, real plays that make you excited for what he could be.
07:40
I actually forgot this, that his 40 time actually wasn't super exciting for his weight. He's not
07:45
that far off from Tez Johnson running a four, four nine during his combine and at a 10 foot,
07:52
one inch broad. It's pretty easy to look at these two dudes as being quicker than fast and seeing
07:57
how their deployment can be pretty similar in the NFL. And here's the thing at the end of the day
08:01
is that tank Dell has been a good football player when healthy for the Houston Texans, but the
08:06
physicality of the NFL level has been something that is going to be tough for a guy, his size
08:11
continuously withstands. And that's the ultimate concern with Tez Johnson. Do I think that Tez
08:16
Johnson can't be productive at all in the NFL? That no, I don't believe that. I think that he
08:20
can be productive in a role in the NFL. The question is, can he withstand the physicality
08:25
and will he maintain availability? Those are the biggest things at 154 pounds.
08:30
Folks, let us know in the comments, what team do you want to see Tez Johnson play for
08:34
hit that like button and subscribe. We'll talk to you later.
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