📢 2 MILLONES DE HECTÁREAS BAJO EL AGUA EN BS. AS.: "LOS ANIMALES DEBEN IR A UN LUGAR SECO"

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👉 Las intensas lluvias han provocado inundaciones masivas en el centro-sur de la provincia de Buenos Aires, afectando cerca de 2 millones de hectáreas. Las zonas más impactadas incluyen Olavarría, General La Prida y Benito Juárez, donde los daños productivos son significativos. Cultivos como girasol, soja y maíz están en riesgo, mientras que la ganadería enfrenta desafíos para trasladar animales a terrenos secos. Las pérdidas económicas se estiman en miles de millones de pesos. La situación es crítica con caminos rurales intransitables y un impacto social considerable.  👉 Seguí en #OtraMañana

Transcript

00:00I was telling you a while ago that all the rains that were falling

00:06almost hit a corridor to the south of the province of Buenos Aires

00:12for many days.

00:15And what you see are floods in many areas.

00:18Because not only in Bahia Blanca, of course,

00:21it's an urban center, so it's a tragedy.

00:24But look at what the fields are like.

00:27La Madrina.

00:57Pablo Antonio Araje, good morning.

01:00Good morning, how are you? Nice to talk to you.

01:03Two million hectares are calculated under water throughout the province?

01:07Or does it include La Pampa as well?

01:10No, no.

01:11These two million hectares are only in the central-southwestern sector of the province,

01:16which is what would be Olavarría, General Laprida, La Madrid, Benito Juárez,

01:21Chaves, Pringles, Deró, which is where the epicenter of the flood is today.

01:27But there are very complicated areas, especially for the center of the province,

01:32such as Enderson, Carlos Casares, Nueve de Julio and Peguajó,

01:37which are not yet appreciated because it is a more agricultural area,

01:41where the water is, but it is below the crops

01:44and images have not yet been able to determine what the real damage is.

01:49But in the areas of Carlos Casares and Nueve de Julio, for example,

01:53in the last 30 days, between 500 and 700 millimeters have fallen,

01:57which is also totally crazy because more or less around a thousand rain in the year,

02:03and that in 30 days such a large amount of water has fallen,

02:07it is going to be seen in the same way that it is being seen in these images,

02:10that there are other types of flatter fields with other types of vegetable cover,

02:15but the situation is the same.

02:17Pablo, and what are the most affected crops at this time?

02:22And in this particular area that we were talking about, which is the southwest area,

02:27let's say a predominantly cattle area, where 70-75% is cattle,

02:32but there basically what there is today is sunflower that was about to be harvested,

02:37the machines should have already entered,

02:39but let's remember that it has been raining for 10-15 days,

02:42which the losses of the sunflower are going to be very important,

02:45there are already lots that have been completely lost

02:47and there are others that are not known when they will be able to be harvested.

02:50Then more towards the area of July 9, Carlos Cazares and that area,

02:55let's say there we have soy, corn and sunflower too,

02:59we are in what is corn and sunflower soon to harvest,

03:03which will also have important losses, the same for soy.

03:06And then, well, everything that has to do with livestock,

03:09that in that area that we saw there, the images show it,

03:12you have to go out with the animals to dry places,

03:16there are places that animals have been inside a sea of water for 5 days,

03:21people are carrying them as best they can, taking them to higher areas,

03:26you can't get there with trucks,

03:29there are obviously people who have been isolated at the time,

03:32they have already been able to leave the fields,

03:34but hey, the situation has also been very, very serious,

03:38in terms of the social impact it has had,

03:40obviously it is not comparable to what happened in Bahía Blanca, but hey.

03:43No, because it is an urban center, logically,

03:45but in terms of productivity,

03:47it is also dramatic what is happening in the province of Buenos Aires.

03:51No, no, totally, because, and above all,

03:54that is an area, now we are at the entrance,

03:56practically from autumn, where temperatures drop

04:00and the evaporation of what one can expect from the environment is much lower,

04:04it is the shortest days and so on,

04:06which means that the water will remain practically in many places all winter,

04:10and obviously the productive losses of infrastructure,

04:14let's say, all the forage will be lost,

04:17the reserves that were being planned, which is livestock for winter,

04:20that is, we have to see how that issue can be solved for the animals,

04:24let's say, many of the disasters that this will cause,

04:27we will be seeing the impact in the next weeks and months,

04:31because it will really be very, very big,

04:34and it is not yet known, as I repeated before,

04:36how the situation is in the area that is a little more productive,

04:39from agriculture, such as Carlos Cazares,

04:42Nueve de Julio, part of Henderson, Peguajó, right?

04:44Pablo, and how did you estimate the number of hectares?

04:47Do you have any projection of the economic losses?

04:50How much do they rise?

04:52No, no, there is still no determination,

04:54because now we have to see how many animals are really lost,

04:59how everything is left,

05:02let's say, in the agricultural part, in a few days,

05:05with a couple of more satellite images of another type of resolution,

05:09it can be estimated in what is agriculture,

05:12livestock will take longer, because it has other complications,

05:17but surely we are talking about very large losses, in millions, right?

05:23Surely they will exceed the billions of pesos.

05:28And this, beyond impacting at a fundamental moment,

05:31that we are close to harvest,

05:33do you think it can also impact on wheat sowing,

05:36in the next winter crop?

05:39Surely it will impact, because let's say, as I mentioned before,

05:43let's see, a lot of this water, in some places,

05:46there are no necessary works to be able to evacuate it,

05:49and it will remain all winter,

05:51the wheat begins to be sown in 60 days,

05:54and the situation of flooding and others,

05:59it will be impossible to enter with machinery,

06:01in addition to the fact that, obviously, where there is water,

06:04it cannot be sown, but sometimes, where there is no water,

06:07the floor is not firm, the soil is not adequate,

06:09to be able to enter with that machinery,

06:11then, clearly, in this area, there will be an impact,

06:15in terms of what is wheat sowing,

06:17we are a few weeks from starting,

06:20in the area, apart from what we saw towards Coronel Suárez,

06:24Pringles and others, which are also wheat and barley areas,

06:29there, the flow is a little different, faster,

06:32maybe, by the time the wheat has to be sown, it is solved,

06:36but surely it will cause problems,

06:39and a minor sowing can be expected in these areas.

06:42Pablo, thank you very much for your time, very attentive.

06:45No, thank you for spreading the situation.

06:50A producer who has a field under water,

06:52lost absolutely everything.

06:54Yes, and it is also interesting that it shows,

06:57let's see, there is talk of 500,000 hectares directly under water,

07:01and then a million and a half that are very flooded.

07:05Not only that, but Antonio, the rural roads,

07:08that you have to access with machinery,

07:10and this is a fundamental harvest date

07:12of the main production in Argentina, which is soy and corn.

07:14Rural roads that rain and you can no longer enter,

07:16imagine now.

07:17Of course, imagine with ...

07:19Yes, but a producer who has the field under water,

07:21that's it, he lost everything.

07:24He lost his main annual crop, surely.

07:27Yes, but you don't know when,

07:29or you lost it, you have to see what you did with the cattle.

07:31Cattle.

07:32And you don't know when you can plant again,

07:34because I don't know the water, once it is removed,

07:36how long does it take ...

07:37To drain, because in addition,

07:39streams here in Ancho de Salmás are already very loaded.

07:41In addition, you have to wash nutrients, everything.

07:44As far as meteorological is concerned,

07:46I am following practically every 15 days

07:48the meteorological situation,

07:49because there is no phenomenon of Niña,

07:51nor the phenomenon of La Niña,

07:52that is, there is no phenomenon on a global scale

07:54that is anticipating that autumn and winter

07:57can be more rainy or drier than normal.

08:00Then the smaller scales predominate.

08:02The cold front passage is what happens

08:05with the intensity of the winds in the Antarctic region,

08:07and that will be prevailing and predominating

08:11the rain or the precipitation regime

08:13during the next 5 or 6 months.

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