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War could end with ceasefire implemented
AlArabiya English
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1/15/2025
Negotiations seek a two-phased ceasefire between Israel and Hamas with the war ending once the second phase is over, former Israeli hostage and peace negotiator Gershon Baskin says.
#Israel #Hamas
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00:00
Just to be clear, of course, we're not talking about a full ceasefire, a permanent ceasefire
00:05
at this stage.
00:06
We're talking about this...
00:07
Well, we are, kind of.
00:08
You know, there is an agreement that there will be a 42-day ceasefire, and on day 16
00:13
they will talk about the next 42 days.
00:17
My understanding is that Hamas until now has not agreed to begin a ceasefire without obligations
00:22
that the war would end at the end of the second phase.
00:26
I am assuming here, and perhaps this is a false assumption, but everything in my analysis
00:30
says that it's correct, that the Americans have promised the Egyptians and the Qataris,
00:35
who have told Hamas, that they will assure that the war will end at the end of the second
00:41
ceasefire period.
00:42
In other words, 42 days, and then another 42 days, and the war will end.
00:46
Israel won't go in.
00:47
This, of course, can all break down, and if there is a breakdown in the ceasefire, then
00:51
Israel can renew its fighting, Hamas can renew its fighting.
00:54
But assuming that the deal is implemented, we're looking at what will be the end of the
00:58
war, because at the end of the second 42-day period, Hamas is required to release all of
01:03
the Israeli hostages, or all of those that they can find.
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