Commanders vs Lions Game Analysis: Impact of Player Props

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00:00We are now going through the Commanders and the Lions.

00:02This game was posted last night

00:04when I was doing this exact post-game show

00:06after the Commanders came away

00:08with a doink field goal to win it.

00:11The line was posted last night,

00:12but the player props were not posted.

00:14Now we do see player props posted,

00:17and the market that immediately jumps out

00:20would be the rushing market for a few reasons.

00:23Number one, there's no props posted for Jameer Gibbs,

00:27not in the rushing, nor in the receiving.

00:30This is obviously solely hinging

00:32on the David Montgomery news.

00:34There have been some reports and positive speculation

00:38that David Montgomery, who's been out for a couple of weeks,

00:41he will be back for the divisional round.

00:43Now, this is not confirmed.

00:44It's just speculation and reports at this point.

00:48Jameer Gibbs has been not only awesome

00:50throughout the entirety of the season,

00:51but he has been specifically great

00:54over these last few weeks

00:55when Montgomery has been out an absolute beast

00:58in the backfield, a hundred plus yards on the ground,

01:00the combined rushing plus receiving.

01:02I would assume if Montgomery doesn't play

01:04that rushing plus receiving line's gonna be sitting

01:06at 110, 109, somewhere around there,

01:09it's going to be very, very high.

01:11So the lack of rushing props from the lines

01:15is the first note.

01:16The second note, Brian Robinson Jr.,

01:19the lead running back for the Commanders,

01:21is sitting at 37 and a half rushing yards.

01:26That is insanely low for a lead running back.

01:29Last night against the Bucs, I spoke about him

01:33on in-game live at 7.30.

01:35I spoke specifically about Brian Robinson

01:37going under 47 and a half rushing yards.

01:39He ended the game with 16,

01:42and now his number, which was 47 and a half,

01:44is now down to 37 and a half.

01:46Obviously not the same game.

01:48I'm saying last night's game against the Bucs was at 47.

01:51For this upcoming week, it's at 37 and a half,

01:54showing that Brian Robinson

01:55does not have a level of consistency.

01:56So if no one in the backfield, essentially,

02:01for the Commanders is expected to run the ball.

02:03Now, Daniel's line is sitting at 52 and a half.

02:06Austin Ackler's sitting at 21 and a half.

02:09But essentially, if no one in the backfield

02:11for the Commanders is expected to run the ball,

02:14and we see the Commanders as eight and a half point

02:17underdogs, and what do we know the Lions offense can do?

02:21The Lions offense can go out there and score points,

02:25I don't wanna say with the best of them,

02:26because they are the best.

02:28They can go out and drop 30 points before you know it.

02:32So I think this game is setting up for Daniels

02:35to have to pass the ball at a high volume.

02:37So right now his passing yards is sitting at 234 and a half.

02:42I really like that line.

02:44What I'm going to be most interested in

02:46is his passing attempts, which is not posted yet.

02:50So it is 234 and a half for Jayden Daniels

02:52over on his passing yards.

02:54That I've interest in right now,

02:55that's where I'm gonna jump in now.

02:57But the market I'll have the most interest in

02:59will be his passing attempts.

03:02I think he'll have to get the ball out at a higher rate

03:05because they're not gonna be able to move the ball

03:07on the Browns, combined with the fact that

03:09they will not be able to run it.

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