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Commanders vs Lions Game Analysis: Impact of Player Props
SportsGrid
Follow
1/14/2025
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
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00:00
We are now going through the Commanders and the Lions.
00:02
This game was posted last night
00:04
when I was doing this exact post-game show
00:06
after the Commanders came away
00:08
with a doink field goal to win it.
00:11
The line was posted last night,
00:12
but the player props were not posted.
00:14
Now we do see player props posted,
00:17
and the market that immediately jumps out
00:20
would be the rushing market for a few reasons.
00:23
Number one, there's no props posted for Jameer Gibbs,
00:27
not in the rushing, nor in the receiving.
00:30
This is obviously solely hinging
00:32
on the David Montgomery news.
00:34
There have been some reports and positive speculation
00:38
that David Montgomery, who's been out for a couple of weeks,
00:41
he will be back for the divisional round.
00:43
Now, this is not confirmed.
00:44
It's just speculation and reports at this point.
00:48
Jameer Gibbs has been not only awesome
00:50
throughout the entirety of the season,
00:51
but he has been specifically great
00:54
over these last few weeks
00:55
when Montgomery has been out an absolute beast
00:58
in the backfield, a hundred plus yards on the ground,
01:00
the combined rushing plus receiving.
01:02
I would assume if Montgomery doesn't play
01:04
that rushing plus receiving line's gonna be sitting
01:06
at 110, 109, somewhere around there,
01:09
it's going to be very, very high.
01:11
So the lack of rushing props from the lines
01:15
is the first note.
01:16
The second note, Brian Robinson Jr.,
01:19
the lead running back for the Commanders,
01:21
is sitting at 37 and a half rushing yards.
01:26
That is insanely low for a lead running back.
01:29
Last night against the Bucs, I spoke about him
01:33
on in-game live at 7.30.
01:35
I spoke specifically about Brian Robinson
01:37
going under 47 and a half rushing yards.
01:39
He ended the game with 16,
01:42
and now his number, which was 47 and a half,
01:44
is now down to 37 and a half.
01:46
Obviously not the same game.
01:48
I'm saying last night's game against the Bucs was at 47.
01:51
For this upcoming week, it's at 37 and a half,
01:54
showing that Brian Robinson
01:55
does not have a level of consistency.
01:56
So if no one in the backfield, essentially,
02:01
for the Commanders is expected to run the ball.
02:03
Now, Daniel's line is sitting at 52 and a half.
02:06
Austin Ackler's sitting at 21 and a half.
02:09
But essentially, if no one in the backfield
02:11
for the Commanders is expected to run the ball,
02:14
and we see the Commanders as eight and a half point
02:17
underdogs, and what do we know the Lions offense can do?
02:21
The Lions offense can go out there and score points,
02:25
I don't wanna say with the best of them,
02:26
because they are the best.
02:28
They can go out and drop 30 points before you know it.
02:32
So I think this game is setting up for Daniels
02:35
to have to pass the ball at a high volume.
02:37
So right now his passing yards is sitting at 234 and a half.
02:42
I really like that line.
02:44
What I'm going to be most interested in
02:46
is his passing attempts, which is not posted yet.
02:50
So it is 234 and a half for Jayden Daniels
02:52
over on his passing yards.
02:54
That I've interest in right now,
02:55
that's where I'm gonna jump in now.
02:57
But the market I'll have the most interest in
02:59
will be his passing attempts.
03:02
I think he'll have to get the ball out at a higher rate
03:05
because they're not gonna be able to move the ball
03:07
on the Browns, combined with the fact that
03:09
they will not be able to run it.
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